Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
438
Trades
998
lifetime
Volume
$7.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$62
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-28 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 73% -$5
Politics
3% 64% +$13
Other
3% 56% -$3
Sports
1% 53% -$26
Tech
1% 79% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +36 $20 52¢ $19 -$1 10-01 17:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-28 17:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 05-14 07:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 57¢ $3 $0 10-28 17:33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 09-29 09:37
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +3 $2 86¢ $3 +$1 05-02 22:28
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 10-14 18:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 10-28 17:33
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 09-29 09:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-13 20:16
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-02 22:24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-27 08:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-10 14:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-29 09:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 04-30 16:49
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-03 15:07
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 04-29 19:29
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 10-28 17:35
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-14 19:28
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 05-02 22:28
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 09-29 09:32
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 09-29 09:38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 41¢ $1 +$0 09-29 09:30
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-05 20:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 04-30 17:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-28 17:37
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 04-30 17:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 06-24 20:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $0 09-02 09:30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 10-14 18:10