Realized P&L
-$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
-$237
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,321
lifetime
Volume
$350.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$2.10K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 02:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
57% 36% $-1,467
Other
40% 67% $-104
Crypto
2%
Sports
1% 100% +$318
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2,387 $-668 29¢ $-680 $-12 05-27 21:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,333 $400 30¢ $393 $-7 06-08 11:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,018 $386 10¢ $192 $-194 06-08 13:31
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -3,200 $-256 $-138 +$118 05-27 21:17
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +436 $143 29¢ $126 $-17 06-09 00:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +500 $95 20¢ $98 +$2 06-09 21:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $166 38¢ $75 $-91 05-29 15:34
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +128 $74 58¢ $75 +$1 06-07 06:25
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +2,250 $170 $73 $-97 06-01 01:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $56 55¢ $55 $-1 05-27 21:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -450 $-126 12¢ $-53 +$73 06-08 02:35
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $48 24¢ $49 +$1 06-08 21:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $36 18¢ $37 +$1 06-09 12:46
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +839 $150 $30 $-120 06-01 14:59
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $6 14¢ $14 +$8 05-29 08:52
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +263 $10 $8 $-2 06-07 19:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -11 $-102 26¢ $-3 +$99 06-08 11:14