Cheerful-Nucleotidase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,817

lifetime

Volume

$405.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-03 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

54% 36% $-1,467

Other

44% 67% $-104

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$318

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iraq by february 28	49	$46.0K	56,814	53,814	+3,000	open	—	03-04 06:33
us strikes iraq by march 7	58	$22.3K	13,229	17,191	-3,962	open	—	03-08 17:54
will iran strike israel on march 10	92	$19.5K	124,220	126,983	-2,763	open	—	03-16 11:02
will iran strike nine or more countries in march	11	$10.3K	9,077	2,257	+6,820	open	—	03-05 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$10.3K	19,699	7,653	+12,046	open	—	07-10 23:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	20	$8.8K	7,773	7,773	+0	open	—	04-09 19:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$8.2K	4,573	4,573	+0	open	—	03-08 21:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	39	$7.4K	4,598	4,800	-202	open	—	05-29 23:02
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	70	$6.5K	4,186	4,367	-181	open	—	06-30 06:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	45	$6.4K	34,711	36,622	-1,911	open	—	06-25 15:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	16	$5.9K	2,900	3,200	-300	open	—	05-29 17:09
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	29	$5.4K	4,159	4,348	-188	open	—	04-21 11:32
iran closes its airspace by june 8	6	$4.5K	2,678	2,678	+0	open	—	06-11 21:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	22	$4.3K	86,953	64,020	+22,933	open	—	05-21 20:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$4.3K	6,470	2,600	+3,870	open	—	06-02 12:15
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	27	$4.3K	36,201	36,201	+0	open	—	04-13 22:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$4.2K	14,775	14,775	+0	open	—	04-21 18:37
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	12	$4.1K	3,820	3,820	+0	open	—	03-13 03:21
will iran strike cyprus in march	12	$4.1K	13,475	13,475	+0	open	—	03-11 18:06
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	82	$3.8K	4,497	5,086	-589	open	—	06-16 21:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$3.8K	5,023	3,023	+2,000	open	—	05-27 01:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	27	$3.7K	16,914	15,314	+1,601	No	$-1,192	05-09 00:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$3.4K	6,107	5,131	+977	open	—	04-30 20:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$3.3K	1,909	1,909	+0	open	—	05-24 21:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$3.0K	8,249	3,460	+4,789	open	—	04-15 21:40
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	11	$2.9K	1,573	1,573	+0	open	—	05-29 21:49
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	8	$2.9K	3,590	3,590	+0	open	—	03-09 21:29
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	8	$2.8K	5,609	5,609	+0	open	—	03-09 21:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	6	$2.8K	1,631	1,631	+0	open	—	04-21 19:57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	37	$2.7K	5,129	5,458	-329	open	—	05-26 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 12:01:00	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x5b4211…
08-03 09:23:15	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x0b3e58…
08-02 20:32:57	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x1fa189…
08-01 19:47:21	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x6227e8…
08-01 09:55:32	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x94dd1e…
07-30 22:48:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x78d008…
07-30 21:51:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x1b630b…
07-30 21:08:26	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x9d9a3a…
07-30 20:42:18	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x82861d…
07-30 18:42:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0xa64292…
07-30 18:15:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xdac04b…
07-30 03:35:57	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd6d812…
07-30 00:59:15	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xa15cc1…
07-29 23:54:38	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x96bf08…
07-29 23:54:32	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	1,536	0¢	$6	0x2a895d…
07-29 23:54:27	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	549	0¢	$1	0xab95a3…
07-29 21:47:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0x342b72…
07-29 20:05:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x71c7bf…
07-29 20:05:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x31f786…
07-29 19:58:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0xd3178d…
07-29 19:56:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x8153eb…
07-29 19:56:09	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	205	8¢	$16	0xf95957…
07-29 19:55:26	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	638	31¢	$200	0xf28b5b…
07-29 19:24:05	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x237d04…
07-29 18:20:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x5a84ae…
07-29 17:57:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,724	6¢	$100	0x8e3650…
07-29 17:57:27	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xde8438…
07-26 22:37:27	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf6fad1…
07-26 15:58:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,344	20¢	$269	0xbe03d0…
07-26 15:58:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	225	0¢	$1	0x55bdac…
07-26 15:58:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0x15fdbf…
07-26 15:57:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,325	15¢	$192	0x83095e…
07-24 16:36:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	569	4¢	$20	0xc650af…
07-24 00:32:28	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xec1166…
07-22 20:03:16	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe4e8d6…
07-22 18:27:30	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x3453a3…
07-22 16:55:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,515	9¢	$138	0xc65bd6…
07-20 11:45:55	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	315	55¢	$173	0x0af2c2…
07-20 08:23:48	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xc3a4b0…
07-19 21:58:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x36c8a5…
07-19 21:52:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x294b16…
07-19 21:51:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0xd8b2c3…
07-19 21:49:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	261	91¢	$238	0xfcd297…
07-19 21:38:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0x894bf4…
07-19 21:26:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xcab7e0…
07-19 21:14:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x9d00ff…
07-19 11:10:13	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xbd7f05…
07-18 22:50:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x838891…
07-18 22:31:43	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x5c3172…
07-18 22:14:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	226	9¢	$20	0x302782…
07-18 22:13:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xe8fa0e…
07-18 22:12:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x317187…
07-18 21:37:12	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x4a8283…
07-18 17:04:19	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x7c00a3…
07-18 16:36:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x9bfb15…
07-18 16:36:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	171	20¢	$34	0x6608d4…
07-18 16:30:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0x422885…
07-16 19:02:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x99e7e3…
07-15 21:11:59	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x72e097…
07-15 21:11:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$10	0xd5d0a2…
07-15 20:18:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	160	12¢	$20	0xfd9f79…
07-15 20:17:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x2d3444…
07-15 14:44:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8e1df3…
07-14 20:37:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x72d551…
07-14 19:21:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbcdcac…
07-14 19:19:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x0ddf3b…
07-14 15:52:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1,765	0¢	$4	0xfab8cf…
07-14 15:51:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,529	32¢	$484	0x25a961…
07-12 03:21:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	331	30¢	$100	0xed10fb…
07-12 03:20:40	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	Yes	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x62bd4e…
07-12 03:17:26	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	274	29¢	$80	0x6c4217…
07-12 03:14:37	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0xb750c3…
07-12 03:05:26	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x7b87be…
07-11 23:44:43	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,524	2¢	$23	0xf1c837…
07-11 23:16:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,507	7¢	$100	0x3c156d…
07-11 23:10:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x03fcb4…
07-11 22:54:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xd555cb…
07-11 22:43:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xd4537b…
07-11 22:30:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x9a2472…
07-11 21:51:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0xc14afb…
07-11 21:12:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	366	14¢	$50	0xe22b00…
07-11 21:11:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0362f2…
07-10 23:45:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x5cf80d…
07-10 20:55:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xc4d9ba…
07-10 20:11:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x086b08…
07-10 19:36:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xdaa99c…
07-10 19:35:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9277a2…
07-10 19:32:38	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0xea56b5…
07-10 19:31:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x4dfad9…
07-10 19:31:41	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xf343d4…
07-10 02:30:26	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xfc8c18…
07-10 02:01:43	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	92	16¢	$15	0x6a569b…
07-10 00:55:59	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x673416…
07-10 00:26:22	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x5421fd…
07-09 23:55:26	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x831789…
07-09 22:20:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xc47015…
07-09 22:18:17	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x34ba76…
07-09 22:03:26	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x530384…
07-09 21:37:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x4014e0…
07-09 21:36:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x10056d…