Realized P&L
-$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,778
lifetime
Volume
$403.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$2.77K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 11:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
54% 36% $-1,467
Other
44% 67% $-104
Crypto
2%
Sports
1% 100% +$318
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +1,141 $632 52¢ $593 $-39 07-20 11:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +5,500 $480 11¢ $577 +$97 07-08 13:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +3,788 $536 12¢ $474 $-62 07-08 13:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,314 $127 22¢ $289 +$162 07-16 19:02
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +1,636 $339 16¢ $270 $-69 07-10 02:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,043 $-434 24¢ $-245 +$189 07-08 20:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +12,046 $1,611 $187 $-1,424 07-10 23:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +500 $95 12¢ $62 $-32 06-09 21:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 14¢ $27 $-25 06-18 03:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $56 27¢ $27 $-29 05-27 21:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $6 15¢ $15 +$9 05-29 08:52