Cheerful-Nucleotidase 0x8df926…a0468c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,642
lifetime
Volume
$395.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$2.56K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
55% 36% $-1,467
Other
43% 67% $-104
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$318
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,971 $641 34¢ $1.0K +$385 06-27 00:18
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +651 $364 62¢ $400 +$37 06-29 19:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2,187 $-634 16¢ $-361 +$274 06-25 20:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,969 $316 12¢ $246 $-70 06-26 23:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,000 $190 10¢ $190 $-0 06-26 23:42
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +471 $151 18¢ $85 $-67 06-29 15:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +500 $95 16¢ $82 $-12 06-09 21:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +442 $7 10¢ $42 +$35 06-16 12:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $52 20¢ $39 $-13 06-18 03:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $56 34¢ $34 $-22 05-27 21:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $6 11¢ $11 +$5 05-29 08:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,541 $200 0¢ $9 $-191 06-11 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,911 $568 0¢ $-9 $-576 06-25 15:18
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +2,250 $170 0¢ $7 $-163 06-01 01:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -3,200 $-256 0¢ $-5 +$251 05-27 21:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,833 $200 0¢ $5 $-195 06-18 00:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,406 $800 0¢ $4 $-796 06-19 14:21
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +839 $150 0¢ $3 $-147 06-01 14:59
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $48 1¢ $2 $-46 06-08 21:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -450 $-126 0¢ $-1 +$124 06-08 02:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -0 $35 0¢ $-0 $-35 06-11 19:32