Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
565
lifetime
Volume
$302
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$27
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 11-01 14:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55% — —
Other
41% 0% -$6
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +833 $3 1¢ $5 +$2 11-01 14:20
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +944 $4 0¢ $4 +$0 11-01 01:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +60 $3 6¢ $3 +$1 10-31 17:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +336 $2 1¢ $3 +$0 11-01 13:31
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +35 $4 5¢ $2 -$2 11-01 12:18
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +58 $2 2¢ $1 $0 11-01 11:53
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +175 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-01 13:06
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-28 14:25
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +4 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 10-28 14:13
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 10-31 09:50
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +29 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-31 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +34 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-01 00:58
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-31 21:04
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$2 5¢ $0 +$2 11-01 14:45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-28 13:39
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-28 13:24
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 12:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 22:40
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-31 17:39
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-28 10:30
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 03:32