Realized P&L
-$5.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.86K
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
1,108
Trades
4,017
lifetime
Volume
$390.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$23.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-05
last 10-26 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
43% 65% +$3,766
Politics
23% 77% +$791
Crypto
16% 75% -$710
Tech
15% 53% -$9,526
Sports
2% 50% -$543
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$299
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +17,367 $15,910 98¢ $17.0K +$1,109 10-26 15:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +3,127 $2,730 96¢ $3.0K +$284 10-22 00:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $266 95¢ $380 +$114 10-15 12:30
israeli airspace closed by october 31 2026 No +329 $300 98¢ $324 +$24 10-14 16:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +400 $308 76¢ $306 -$2 10-24 10:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +312 $296 93¢ $290 -$6 10-26 13:55
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31 No +241 $200 96¢ $230 +$30 09-27 08:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +172 $140 96¢ $165 +$25 07-27 07:48
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +131 $100 96¢ $127 +$27 10-06 15:18
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +122 $100 97¢ $118 +$18 10-01 13:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +119 $100 98¢ $117 +$17 09-26 22:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +108 $100 99¢ $107 +$7 10-03 15:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $81 99¢ $99 +$18 10-06 22:53
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 31 2026 copy No +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 10-14 16:34
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +100 $80 95¢ $95 +$15 07-16 10:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +100 -$27 84¢ $85 +$111 10-24 16:43
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +90 $64 93¢ $84 +$20 09-14 12:37
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +71 $53 95¢ $67 +$14 07-15 20:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $79 66¢ $66 -$12 10-15 02:22
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +61 $50 95¢ $58 +$8 07-12 18:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +58 $46 99¢ $57 +$11 09-27 15:36
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 10-06 19:51
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +40 $35 100¢ $40 +$5 07-13 04:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $32 68¢ $34 +$2 10-13 07:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25 $21 86¢ $21 +$1 07-11 21:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 07-11 16:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 07-14 00:51
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$1 07-14 15:54
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 07-14 09:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +20 $14 78¢ $16 +$1 07-13 23:27