Realized P&L
+$3.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$817
Hit rate
82.1%
Resolved
30
Trades
12,033
lifetime
Volume
$1.78M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$22.8K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
57% 36% +$402
Other
36% 53% +$3,202
Crypto
5% 0% $-282
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -9,957 $-9,340 95¢ $-9415 $-75 05-29 17:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -4,256 $-3,530 86¢ $-3639 $-109 06-01 11:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +4,512 $3,481 70¢ $3.2K $-300 06-09 16:18
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -8,507 $-2,212 24¢ $-2084 +$128 06-08 14:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +2,240 $1,912 92¢ $2.0K +$138 06-05 05:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -700 $-533 88¢ $-620 $-86 06-07 18:13
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +565 $396 72¢ $404 +$8 06-09 18:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -3,845 $-1,302 10¢ $-365 +$937 05-31 13:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -800 $-207 27¢ $-216 $-9 05-30 19:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +178 $160 96¢ $170 +$11 05-31 22:55
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -1,811 $-248 $-154 +$94 05-30 19:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -500 $-115 24¢ $-120 $-5 05-28 09:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +4,000 $100 $104 +$4 06-08 20:58
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes -555 $-59 14¢ $-75 $-16 06-08 07:53
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,037 $-127 $-68 +$58 06-08 07:56
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? Yes -2,958 $-89 $-56 +$33 05-28 12:47
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +30,000 $82 $30 $-52 06-07 22:53
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -215 $-79 10¢ $-21 +$58 06-01 02:50