Realized P&L
+$3.32K
Unrealized P&L
-$495
Hit rate
82.1%
Resolved
30
Trades
15,567
lifetime
Volume
$2.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$17.8K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
58% 36% +$402
Other
35% 53% +$3,202
Crypto
4% 0% $-282
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -9,957 $-9,340 96¢ $-9604 $-264 05-29 17:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,200 $5,389 44¢ $5.0K $-405 07-20 07:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -3,677 $-3,051 78¢ $-2886 +$165 06-23 22:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -800 $-207 20¢ $-156 +$51 05-30 19:13
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 $16 30¢ $-91 $-107 07-07 10:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +234 $59 22¢ $50 $-9 07-13 12:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -500 $-115 $-42 +$72 05-28 09:21