Ready-Progression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

Trades

16,775

lifetime

Volume

$2.65M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

57% 36% +$402

Other

36% 53% +$3,202

Crypto

3% 0% $-282

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	285	$96.7K	180,927	164,905	+16,022	open	—	05-31 15:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	106	$61.9K	124,772	145,094	-20,321	open	—	06-17 12:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	65	$49.8K	44,559	45,127	-567	No	+$667	05-08 07:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	27	$45.9K	29,456	29,456	+0	open	—	05-11 18:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	97	$43.6K	48,026	47,978	+49	open	—	07-28 16:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	103	$41.9K	37,311	42,611	-5,300	open	—	04-04 23:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	116	$41.0K	77,978	70,840	+7,139	open	—	08-10 14:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	66	$39.8K	47,568	48,101	-533	open	—	07-29 22:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	35	$37.8K	48,511	35,157	+13,355	open	—	06-02 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	94	$35.5K	55,528	55,261	+267	open	—	06-29 14:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	256	$30.0K	35,295	31,115	+4,180	open	—	06-22 11:10
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	31	$29.5K	17,550	19,111	-1,561	open	—	08-01 03:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	185	$29.5K	50,207	45,718	+4,490	open	—	07-07 18:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	133	$29.0K	38,736	30,860	+7,876	open	—	07-03 20:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	64	$28.1K	34,245	34,187	+58	open	—	06-29 14:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	115	$26.2K	60,248	50,100	+10,148	open	—	05-26 23:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	17	$23.6K	12,808	14,008	-1,200	open	—	05-14 17:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	75	$23.2K	28,703	28,703	+0	open	—	04-07 23:08
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	19	$21.5K	17,595	17,595	+0	open	—	01-31 18:14
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	41	$21.0K	16,224	16,220	+4	open	—	07-15 14:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	70	$20.2K	24,272	24,272	+0	open	—	04-21 14:54
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	45	$19.4K	14,109	14,109	+0	open	—	07-19 23:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	24	$18.7K	37,467	17,388	+20,078	open	—	05-23 12:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	68	$18.2K	17,638	18,638	-1,000	open	—	04-21 15:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	48	$17.9K	17,977	23,887	-5,909	open	—	05-25 23:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	64	$17.8K	19,448	21,048	-1,600	open	—	02-28 06:47
iran closes its airspace by june 8	64	$17.7K	39,302	25,261	+14,041	open	—	06-07 22:51
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	19	$17.0K	12,207	12,207	+0	open	—	04-22 00:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	45	$15.9K	25,359	25,359	+0	open	—	04-21 18:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	82	$15.9K	13,227	13,452	-225	open	—	05-23 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:19:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x82ee8b…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xde72e1…
08-10 14:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	600	60¢	$360	0xff62f8…
08-10 11:01:39	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	1,100	88¢	$968	0x5ce933…
08-10 08:20:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	6,180	1¢	$74	0x850817…
08-10 08:20:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,024	8¢	$82	0xa94ab5…
08-10 07:03:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x898044…
08-10 06:55:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x2b1843…
08-10 06:34:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xc68ee8…
08-10 06:29:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xb83754…
08-10 06:11:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$75	0xb0081a…
08-10 06:09:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	1,014	87¢	$882	0x21dc5f…
08-10 04:03:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	800	34¢	$272	0xc950e6…
08-09 22:49:34	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	1,530	6¢	$92	0x14de78…
08-09 21:22:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3,793	12¢	$460	0xe85aa0…
08-09 21:14:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,250	16¢	$200	0xd5d273…
08-09 21:13:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,337	15¢	$200	0x7618f4…
08-09 20:34:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,849	7¢	$199	0x502d39…
08-09 20:34:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,151	7¢	$151	0xd6f149…
08-09 18:27:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,557	2¢	$49	0x55826d…
08-09 18:06:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbd90db…
08-09 17:05:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,438	2¢	$46	0x9701b0…
08-09 15:46:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$100	0x145c68…
08-09 13:00:22	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0x2e5c94…
08-09 12:59:37	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xe4e18f…
08-09 12:31:27	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0x58175b…
08-09 11:42:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	1,750	63¢	$1,100	0x794531…
08-09 11:39:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	435	7¢	$30	0x2df0e5…
08-09 11:38:27	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$18	0x7c9b6c…
08-09 11:37:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	2,296	59¢	$1,355	0x179d99…
08-09 11:36:27	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x27d81c…
08-09 11:34:25	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x284f5e…
08-09 11:28:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	600	60¢	$360	0x3bbbb0…
08-09 11:15:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x2ce445…
08-09 11:07:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	220	73¢	$161	0xbfe70e…
08-09 11:07:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xab8654…
08-09 11:07:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	962	73¢	$702	0x9c7d14…
08-09 11:06:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x03c283…
08-09 11:06:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0xcf626f…
08-09 11:06:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xf95149…
08-09 11:06:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x42d703…
08-09 11:06:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3f6c31…
08-09 11:06:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	222	73¢	$162	0x5f91da…
08-09 11:06:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	221	73¢	$161	0x4a039a…
08-09 11:06:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	397	73¢	$290	0x472848…
08-09 11:05:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	1,187	74¢	$878	0xd2fa08…
08-09 10:43:28	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	847	22¢	$186	0x8f95f9…
08-09 08:24:18	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x989c5b…
08-09 04:37:49	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xfb7110…
08-09 04:31:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x27e4a7…
08-09 04:29:04	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xae412c…
08-08 23:42:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	575	2¢	$14	0x881b07…
08-08 23:20:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8d0ffa…
08-08 22:59:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	2,069	2¢	$50	0x0c89b3…
08-08 22:54:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	900	2¢	$22	0x3079cf…
08-08 22:37:25	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x4e2db7…
08-08 19:25:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x62579e…
08-08 19:24:13	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x22b76f…
08-08 18:59:24	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	350	7¢	$25	0x700bbc…
08-08 18:57:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x17f5da…
08-08 15:05:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,941	17¢	$500	0x2a7667…
08-08 14:16:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	928	56¢	$520	0x820921…
08-08 14:15:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0x847c7b…
08-08 12:48:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,941	17¢	$500	0x147d39…
08-08 12:20:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x6b1785…
08-08 12:17:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0x7ca0fc…
08-08 10:45:01	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x1bf90f…
08-08 10:44:49	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	180	35¢	$63	0x657ecc…
08-08 10:17:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,302	4¢	$100	0x71d8a3…
08-08 08:43:33	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7f8a26…
08-08 07:40:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	2,700	4¢	$104	0x1d1677…
08-08 05:00:01	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	1,392	77¢	$1,067	0xb2591c…
08-08 04:44:58	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7e6520…
08-08 04:40:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	240	20¢	$48	0x25c2ba…
08-08 04:40:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4a8181…
08-08 04:33:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10,535	10¢	$1,054	0x0fe5f4…
08-08 04:03:24	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	8¢	$163	0x02dd62…
08-08 00:58:33	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x69d132…
08-07 22:34:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0x701050…
08-07 22:22:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	2,097	3¢	$63	0x45d036…
08-07 22:21:07	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,669	8¢	$141	0xa48628…
08-07 21:56:25	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x1ba97a…
08-07 21:56:15	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x70be9e…
08-07 21:55:46	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0xc1490c…
08-07 21:51:00	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x5e9876…
08-07 21:21:31	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x6f76e9…
08-07 21:10:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	2,903	3¢	$87	0x94b4a2…
08-07 21:03:51	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0xab6678…
08-07 21:03:49	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0xe302b8…
08-07 21:03:34	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x0356e8…
08-07 21:03:27	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	177	9¢	$16	0x68cb0a…
08-07 20:47:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,419	16¢	$547	0x03dc07…
08-07 20:45:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x006db2…
08-07 20:45:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xa2723c…
08-07 20:44:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0x6e20f9…
08-07 20:44:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	67	16¢	$11	0x4f7e79…
08-07 20:44:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x284a6b…
08-07 20:44:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	184	16¢	$29	0xc389ff…
08-07 20:44:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xc142b4…
08-07 20:44:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x946741…