Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.54K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.49K
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved (90d)
403
Trades (90d)
4,865
26,223 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.12M
$4.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$178
Open exposure
$11.0K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 05:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 290 days
Categories
Politics
49% 35% +$32,245
Other
45% 36% -$8,140
Sports
3% 37% +$424
Crypto
2% 32% +$6,298
Tech
1% 43% +$2,413
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,551 $5,210 72¢ $5.5K +$264 10-30 11:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,600 -$2,290 97¢ $-2515 -$226 05-04 15:28
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +1,515 $969 82¢ $1.2K +$266 11-01 05:10
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +1,500 $960 58¢ $878 -$82 10-31 20:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +4,107 $575 15¢ $596 +$21 10-31 16:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,000 $113 12¢ $115 +$2 10-10 15:18
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +543 $120 18¢ $100 -$20 11-01 00:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +1,062 $654 5¢ $55 -$599 11-01 01:25
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +21 $16 93¢ $20 +$4 10-15 21:34
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,445 $3,791 0¢ $5 -$3,786 10-31 17:24
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? No +378 $183 1¢ $4 -$179 11-01 00:45
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +21 $5 7¢ $1 -$3 10-17 19:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $99 100¢ $0 -$98 10-26 20:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$128 98¢ $0 +$128 05-29 17:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$292 40¢ $0 +$292 10-28 08:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 -$5 82¢ $0 +$5 05-27 17:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 -$536 96¢ $0 +$536 09-25 12:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $110 16¢ $0 -$110 06-26 19:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 -$151 97¢ $0 +$151 07-29 04:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$35 80¢ $0 +$35 10-30 19:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $6 35¢ $0 -$6 10-28 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$1,985 1¢ $0 +$1,985 10-30 00:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $30 2¢ $0 -$30 07-17 20:57
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +0 $42 0¢ $0 -$42 10-31 16:21