Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.22K
Hit rate
52.2%
Resolved (7d)
35
Trades (7d)
713
26,327 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$273.3K
$4.71M lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$3.34K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 01:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Politics
49% 35% +$31,883
Other
45% 35% -$9,796
Sports
3% 38% +$824
Crypto
2% 32% +$6,298
Tech
1% 43% +$2,413
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,600 -$2,290 97¢ $-2515 -$226 05-04 15:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +4,369 $656 13¢ $564 -$93 10-29 23:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,000 $113 15¢ $145 +$32 10-10 15:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,262 $439 4¢ $90 -$348 10-30 01:19
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +21 $16 82¢ $18 +$2 10-15 21:34
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +766 $48 1¢ $5 -$43 10-29 17:27
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +21 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-17 19:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $99 96¢ $0 -$98 10-26 20:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$128 98¢ $0 +$128 05-29 17:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 $3 98¢ $0 -$3 10-26 23:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$292 40¢ $0 +$292 10-28 08:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$1,985 10¢ $0 +$1,985 10-30 00:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 -$5 83¢ $0 +$5 05-27 17:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +0 -$43 96¢ $0 +$43 10-26 15:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $110 16¢ $0 -$110 06-26 19:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 -$536 94¢ $0 +$536 09-25 12:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 -$151 97¢ $0 +$151 07-29 04:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $6 32¢ $0 -$6 10-28 15:20
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $30 3¢ $0 -$30 07-17 20:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-25 17:15