Ready-Progression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.44K

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

2,118

Trades

26,462

lifetime

Volume

$4.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

$9.60K

22 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Politics

49% 35% +$27,989

Other

45% 36% -$8,248

Sports

3% 37% +$424

Crypto

2% 32% +$6,273

Tech

1% 43% +$2,413

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+7,551	$5,210	72¢	$5.4K	+$189	10-30 11:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-2,600	-$2,290	97¢	$-2525	-$235	05-04 15:28
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	+1,184	$697	84¢	$989	+$292	11-01 08:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+2,250	$272	11¢	$236	-$36	11-01 17:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$113	12¢	$115	+$2	10-10 15:18
Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	+832	$200	12¢	$104	-$96	11-01 18:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+2,500	$691	4¢	$97	-$593	11-01 16:55
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	+543	$120	16¢	$90	-$30	11-01 00:22
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	+300	$18	7¢	$20	+$2	11-01 18:23
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+21	$16	94¢	$20	+$4	10-15 21:34
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+21	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	10-17 19:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	-$128	98¢	$0	+$128	05-29 17:34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	-$5	82¢	$0	+$5	05-27 17:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	-$292	34¢	$0	+$292	10-28 08:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$536	96¢	$0	+$536	09-25 12:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$110	16¢	$0	-$110	06-26 19:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$151	97¢	$0	+$151	07-29 04:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	-$35	72¢	$0	+$35	10-30 19:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$6	49¢	$0	-$6	10-28 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+0	-$1,985	1¢	$0	+$1,985	10-30 00:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+0	$30	2¢	$0	-$30	07-17 20:57
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$42	0¢	$0	-$42	10-31 16:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	286	$97.1K	180,927	166,530	+14,397	No	-$360	05-31 15:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	137	$77.9K	165,526	165,526	+0	Yes	+$9,741	06-17 12:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	143	$66.1K	90,813	90,812	+0	open	—	10-30 00:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	57	$61.1K	40,139	40,139	+0	No	+$275	10-25 17:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	128	$59.7K	49,576	49,576	+0	open	—	10-29 09:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	134	$58.6K	36,622	36,622	+0	open	—	05-29 17:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	69	$50.3K	45,159	45,159	+0	No	+$856	05-08 07:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	27	$45.9K	29,456	29,456	+0	No	-$364	05-11 18:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	80	$44.8K	54,698	40,698	+14,000	No	+$11,097	06-02 19:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	128	$43.9K	94,978	81,036	+13,942	Yes	+$2,972	08-12 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	100	$43.6K	48,026	48,026	+0	open	—	07-28 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	183	$43.1K	67,330	63,217	+4,112	No	-$814	06-29 14:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	103	$41.9K	37,311	42,611	-5,300	Yes	+$1,507	04-04 23:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	69	$39.8K	48,101	48,101	+0	No	+$3,215	07-29 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	66	$38.7K	38,021	38,021	-0	open	—	10-29 17:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	122	$35.0K	70,694	70,693	+0	Yes	-$460	10-30 11:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	124	$32.5K	66,688	55,640	+11,049	No	+$2,654	05-26 23:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	94	$32.1K	23,248	23,248	+0	No	+$272	10-25 10:45
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	35	$30.8K	19,111	19,111	+0	No	+$1,683	08-01 03:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	256	$30.0K	35,295	31,115	+4,180	No	-$1,457	06-22 11:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	185	$29.5K	50,207	45,718	+4,490	Yes	+$2,011	07-07 18:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	133	$29.0K	38,736	30,860	+7,876	No	+$1,687	07-03 20:15
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	183	$28.7K	38,398	38,398	+0	Yes	-$1,296	09-14 15:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	68	$28.2K	34,245	34,245	+0	No	-$1,331	06-29 14:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	63	$28.1K	28,659	16,763	+11,895	Yes	+$1,617	10-25 23:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$27.8K	17,534	17,534	+0	Yes	+$172	07-15 15:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	189	$27.7K	35,749	41,337	-5,588	Yes	-$3,076	06-14 19:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	28	$25.7K	15,538	15,538	+0	Yes	-$7	10-29 12:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	17	$23.6K	12,808	14,008	-1,200	No	+$321	05-14 17:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	75	$23.2K	28,703	28,703	+0	Yes	+$1,168	04-07 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:29:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	2,500	11¢	$275	0x70725d…
11-01 18:23:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xf146e7…
11-01 18:06:13	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	BUY	832	24¢	$200	0xc67f10…
11-01 17:42:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	2,500	10¢	$250	0x18c15a…
11-01 17:34:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	814	10¢	$81	0x28e8e8…
11-01 17:32:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0xc10b4e…
11-01 17:16:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xaec98a…
11-01 17:07:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x3d2f4e…
11-01 16:55:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	2,500	3¢	$75	0x47b978…
11-01 16:37:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0xb9a90f…
11-01 16:33:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x6c5dd8…
11-01 16:29:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x2aa5b3…
11-01 15:54:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xc51ff6…
11-01 15:45:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	240	10¢	$24	0x6003f0…
11-01 15:33:21	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0x7bdc07…
11-01 13:58:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	2,923	3¢	$88	0xb8b89c…
11-01 13:52:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0x3d67c4…
11-01 13:45:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x728c68…
11-01 13:45:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x14a969…
11-01 13:39:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xb7ecd4…
11-01 13:37:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x171fe7…
11-01 13:22:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x254dac…
11-01 13:03:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xbdb54b…
11-01 12:56:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	72	9¢	$6	0xec820b…
11-01 12:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc702c5…
11-01 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf22a5b…
11-01 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8fc372…
11-01 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd296eb…
11-01 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0cd7b7…
11-01 12:38:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	3,000	10¢	$300	0x4efd49…
11-01 12:15:25	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	810	54¢	$437	0x898cbf…
11-01 11:05:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x58386c…
11-01 11:05:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x95830b…
11-01 11:05:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	589	11¢	$65	0x18fd70…
11-01 10:59:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0x3f3509…
11-01 10:30:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x54070d…
11-01 09:38:06	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	285	56¢	$158	0xe98fc2…
11-01 09:36:19	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	405	56¢	$226	0x4aeacb…
11-01 09:27:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	4,107	13¢	$534	0xb8716e…
11-01 09:21:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	1,062	4¢	$38	0x90a4eb…
11-01 08:38:34	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	269	82¢	$220	0x55e3d5…
11-01 08:17:22	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xe97322…
11-01 07:18:37	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xec0056…
11-01 07:13:22	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x9ca607…
11-01 05:10:04	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe5e7ef…
11-01 05:07:55	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x6c57a7…
11-01 03:06:06	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x299ae1…
11-01 03:03:00	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x9dc9f2…
11-01 02:54:43	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xc9a613…
11-01 02:54:43	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0x3e5de9…
11-01 02:54:43	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	41	82¢	$34	0x131040…
11-01 02:11:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x416417…
11-01 02:05:46	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x55aa90…
11-01 01:27:34	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xb20c8a…
11-01 01:27:21	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x8b0e46…
11-01 01:26:58	Kings vs. Grizzlies	Kings	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x1930da…
11-01 01:25:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	780	6¢	$47	0x0ced83…
11-01 01:25:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x336d2e…
11-01 01:24:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf18099…
11-01 01:18:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xde2314…
11-01 01:12:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2b019f…
11-01 01:12:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x648df9…
11-01 01:06:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x36b52b…
11-01 01:06:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0x6394ea…
11-01 00:51:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xbd5d2b…
11-01 00:50:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xbc4f17…
11-01 00:45:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xfdc340…
11-01 00:45:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0xdf70e4…
11-01 00:44:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	171	78¢	$133	0xda9e61…
11-01 00:22:30	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	22¢	$120	0xb2bda9…
11-01 00:22:00	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x5485ca…
10-31 23:52:25	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x72d9d0…
10-31 23:50:39	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xaadc9d…
10-31 23:41:10	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	193	78¢	$150	0x3934ed…
10-31 20:07:24	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,500	64¢	$960	0x84fe43…
10-31 19:22:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	560	99¢	$554	0x22b7e2…
10-31 19:22:07	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	924	99¢	$915	0x0f65c7…
10-31 18:07:21	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x39abb7…
10-31 18:07:12	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0xdd7d76…
10-31 17:50:57	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	86¢	$111	0x2ae580…
10-31 17:50:13	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1bdb41…
10-31 17:50:09	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	86¢	$53	0xdfc8d8…
10-31 17:24:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,379	1¢	$24	0xc3d5d5…
10-31 16:59:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$0	0x48443b…
10-31 16:51:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	90¢	$273	0x087ae8…
10-31 16:28:15	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	60¢	$85	0x9873f1…
10-31 16:26:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$101	0xa4fc14…
10-31 16:25:30	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xcb07b7…
10-31 16:24:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,890	1¢	$50	0x7b3e22…
10-31 16:21:51	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	39¢	$24	0x02a27e…
10-31 16:20:45	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	62¢	$163	0xe4d516…
10-31 16:20:45	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0x669af9…
10-31 16:19:57	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	39¢	$35	0x4b0094…
10-31 16:13:46	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	151	67¢	$101	0x87ed1e…
10-31 16:00:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	4,107	14¢	$575	0xea8507…
10-31 15:17:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	2,540	71¢	$1,804	0x8cb4b4…
10-31 13:14:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	5,000	7¢	$328	0x1c0c6f…
10-31 09:19:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	5,000	8¢	$400	0x670993…
10-31 08:50:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	1,185	73¢	$865	0x89583a…
10-31 08:27:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	70	73¢	$51	0xb4371a…