Ready-Progression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.13K

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

2,121

Trades

26,475

lifetime

Volume

$4.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

$11.1K

21 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Politics

49% 35% +$27,989

Other

45% 36% -$8,289

Sports

3% 37% +$424

Crypto

2% 32% +$6,218

Tech

1% 43% +$2,413

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+7,551	$5,210	72¢	$5.4K	+$189	10-30 11:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-2,600	-$2,290	97¢	$-2525	-$235	05-04 15:28
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+1,515	$1,000	67¢	$1.0K	+$15	11-01 20:47
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	+1,184	$697	82¢	$977	+$280	11-01 08:38
Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	+1,803	$1,000	54¢	$965	-$35	11-01 22:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$113	13¢	$130	+$17	10-10 15:18
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	+543	$120	18¢	$95	-$25	11-01 00:22
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+21	$16	94¢	$20	+$4	10-15 21:34
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+21	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	10-17 19:38
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	+300	$18	0¢	$0	-$18	11-01 18:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	-$128	98¢	$0	+$128	05-29 17:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	-$292	36¢	$0	+$292	10-28 08:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	-$5	82¢	$0	+$5	05-27 17:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$536	96¢	$0	+$536	09-25 12:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$110	15¢	$0	-$110	06-26 19:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$151	97¢	$0	+$151	07-29 04:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+0	-$35	74¢	$0	+$35	10-30 19:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$6	43¢	$0	-$6	10-28 15:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+0	-$1,985	1¢	$0	+$1,985	10-30 00:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+0	$30	2¢	$0	-$30	07-17 20:57
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$42	0¢	$0	-$42	10-31 16:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	286	$97.1K	180,927	166,530	+14,397	No	-$360	05-31 15:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	137	$77.9K	165,526	165,526	+0	Yes	+$9,741	06-17 12:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	143	$66.1K	90,813	90,812	+0	open	—	10-30 00:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	57	$61.1K	40,139	40,139	+0	No	+$275	10-25 17:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	128	$59.7K	49,576	49,576	+0	open	—	10-29 09:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	134	$58.6K	36,622	36,622	+0	open	—	05-29 17:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	69	$50.3K	45,159	45,159	+0	No	+$856	05-08 07:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	27	$45.9K	29,456	29,456	+0	No	-$364	05-11 18:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	80	$44.8K	54,698	40,698	+14,000	No	+$11,097	06-02 19:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	128	$43.9K	94,978	81,036	+13,942	Yes	+$2,972	08-12 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	100	$43.6K	48,026	48,026	+0	open	—	07-28 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	183	$43.1K	67,330	63,217	+4,112	No	-$814	06-29 14:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	103	$41.9K	37,311	42,611	-5,300	Yes	+$1,507	04-04 23:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	69	$39.8K	48,101	48,101	+0	No	+$3,215	07-29 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	66	$38.7K	38,021	38,021	-0	open	—	10-29 17:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	122	$35.0K	70,694	70,693	+0	Yes	-$460	10-30 11:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	124	$32.5K	66,688	55,640	+11,049	No	+$2,654	05-26 23:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	94	$32.1K	23,248	23,248	+0	No	+$272	10-25 10:45
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	35	$30.8K	19,111	19,111	+0	No	+$1,683	08-01 03:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	256	$30.0K	35,295	31,115	+4,180	No	-$1,457	06-22 11:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	185	$29.5K	50,207	45,718	+4,490	Yes	+$2,011	07-07 18:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	133	$29.0K	38,736	30,860	+7,876	No	+$1,687	07-03 20:15
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	183	$28.7K	38,398	38,398	+0	Yes	-$1,296	09-14 15:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	68	$28.2K	34,245	34,245	+0	No	-$1,331	06-29 14:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	63	$28.1K	28,659	16,763	+11,895	Yes	+$1,617	10-25 23:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$27.8K	17,534	17,534	+0	Yes	+$172	07-15 15:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	189	$27.7K	35,749	41,337	-5,588	Yes	-$3,076	06-14 19:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	28	$25.7K	15,538	15,538	+0	Yes	-$7	10-29 12:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	17	$23.6K	12,808	14,008	-1,200	No	+$321	05-14 17:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	75	$23.2K	28,703	28,703	+0	Yes	+$1,168	04-07 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:06:39	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x9cbaf6…
11-01 22:04:30	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x1e779d…
11-01 21:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x9e1937…
11-01 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xef542c…
11-01 21:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xfa4891…
11-01 21:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8f52da…
11-01 21:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x8e425a…
11-01 21:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8a52dc…
11-01 21:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x221f0e…
11-01 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xcba7cb…
11-01 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf06168…
11-01 21:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xf63295…
11-01 21:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x221449…
11-01 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xdc7ebd…
11-01 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	196	79¢	$155	0x5f8f42…
11-01 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xef7166…
11-01 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x2ccbc3…
11-01 21:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x891d63…
11-01 21:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3ab7b8…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xffd4dc…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xd720a2…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa193e4…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x867477…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x58ab40…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0b1874…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x05bb9c…
11-01 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x054237…
11-01 21:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xd05c4c…
11-01 21:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xa9ba1e…
11-01 21:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8b5365…
11-01 21:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x1ac10e…
11-01 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xda2a59…
11-01 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xcb5eb1…
11-01 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xb34efa…
11-01 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x696bf1…
11-01 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5d1302…
11-01 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x4086c6…
11-01 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe63148…
11-01 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd3e3dc…
11-01 21:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x25b23c…
11-01 21:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe898a2…
11-01 21:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x416209…
11-01 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x550165…
11-01 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x402b54…
11-01 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x135793…
11-01 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0d2d6a…
11-01 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0b4879…
11-01 21:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xdf2a28…
11-01 21:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xae95f5…
11-01 21:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8596e5…
11-01 21:35:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	2,500	6¢	$141	0xd903cc…
11-01 21:35:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	2,250	9¢	$202	0xc5a9df…
11-01 21:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa0d559…
11-01 21:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xadbd9e…
11-01 21:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x267a7e…
11-01 21:23:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xf8a9aa…
11-01 21:22:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	2,250	4¢	$90	0x7e20e4…
11-01 20:47:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0xdb40a9…
11-01 20:06:51	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x732bef…
11-01 20:05:15	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xcd0daa…
11-01 20:03:57	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	299	27¢	$81	0x809830…
11-01 20:03:57	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x62cdca…
11-01 20:03:55	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	153	27¢	$41	0x60a146…
11-01 19:56:36	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x696e5b…
11-01 19:53:49	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0x5cea78…
11-01 18:54:31	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	SELL	832	9¢	$75	0x71bd06…
11-01 18:53:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x4304e6…
11-01 18:29:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	2,500	11¢	$275	0x70725d…
11-01 18:23:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xf146e7…
11-01 18:06:13	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	BUY	832	24¢	$200	0xc67f10…
11-01 17:42:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	2,500	10¢	$250	0x18c15a…
11-01 17:34:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	814	10¢	$81	0x28e8e8…
11-01 17:32:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0xc10b4e…
11-01 17:16:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xaec98a…
11-01 17:07:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x3d2f4e…
11-01 16:55:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	2,500	3¢	$75	0x47b978…
11-01 16:37:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0xb9a90f…
11-01 16:33:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x6c5dd8…
11-01 16:29:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x2aa5b3…
11-01 15:54:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xc51ff6…
11-01 15:45:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	240	10¢	$24	0x6003f0…
11-01 15:33:21	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0x7bdc07…
11-01 13:58:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	2,923	3¢	$88	0xb8b89c…
11-01 13:52:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0x3d67c4…
11-01 13:45:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x728c68…
11-01 13:45:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x14a969…
11-01 13:39:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xb7ecd4…
11-01 13:37:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x171fe7…
11-01 13:22:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x254dac…
11-01 13:03:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xbdb54b…
11-01 12:56:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	72	9¢	$6	0xec820b…
11-01 12:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc702c5…
11-01 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf22a5b…
11-01 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8fc372…
11-01 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd296eb…
11-01 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0cd7b7…
11-01 12:38:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	3,000	10¢	$300	0x4efd49…
11-01 12:15:25	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	810	54¢	$437	0x898cbf…
11-01 11:05:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x58386c…
11-01 11:05:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x95830b…