Realized P&L (30d)
-$8.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.88K
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved (30d)
179
Trades (30d)
2,435
26,369 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$663.4K
$4.73M lifetime
Avg / trade
$179
Open exposure
$8.04K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 13:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Politics
49% 35% +$31,908
Other
45% 35% -$8,908
Sports
3% 38% +$824
Crypto
2% 32% +$6,298
Tech
1% 43% +$2,413
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,551 $5,210 72¢ $5.4K +$189 10-30 11:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,600 -$2,290 96¢ $-2497 -$208 05-04 15:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,000 $113 12¢ $125 +$12 10-10 15:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +21 $16 89¢ $19 +$3 10-15 21:34
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +21 $5 11¢ $2 -$3 10-17 19:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $99 100¢ $0 -$98 10-26 20:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$128 98¢ $0 +$128 05-29 17:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 $3 99¢ $0 -$3 10-26 23:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$292 42¢ $0 +$292 10-28 08:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 -$5 81¢ $0 +$5 05-27 17:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 -$536 96¢ $0 +$536 09-25 12:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $110 16¢ $0 -$110 06-26 19:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 -$151 97¢ $0 +$151 07-29 04:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$35 82¢ $0 +$35 10-30 19:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 -$1,985 2¢ $0 +$1,985 10-30 00:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $6 33¢ $0 -$6 10-28 15:20
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +0 $30 3¢ $0 -$30 07-17 20:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-25 17:15