Fake-Polyester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

14,405

lifetime

Volume

$3.55M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$246

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

70% 60% $-1,453

Other

27% 67% +$2,674

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	201	$89.7K	135,613	136,546	-933	open	—	05-25 19:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	77	$80.6K	57,909	61,656	-3,747	open	—	06-17 23:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	179	$76.4K	168,628	127,918	+40,710	open	—	04-07 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	128	$68.6K	93,442	26,334	+67,108	open	—	04-18 08:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	194	$62.9K	61,290	69,393	-8,103	open	—	01-17 18:44
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	66	$57.6K	65,593	28,125	+37,468	open	—	04-16 16:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	188	$54.4K	59,773	64,221	-4,448	open	—	07-05 22:24
will iran strike cyprus in march	174	$50.2K	39,482	40,737	-1,256	open	—	03-02 15:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	128	$49.9K	40,452	27,060	+13,392	open	—	06-19 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	110	$47.3K	26,880	33,857	-6,978	open	—	05-29 14:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	159	$47.3K	58,039	40,931	+17,107	open	—	02-28 06:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	107	$46.7K	43,518	31,915	+11,603	open	—	04-06 18:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	86	$44.4K	51,633	30,968	+20,665	open	—	05-29 16:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	152	$41.3K	56,973	59,997	-3,024	open	—	04-03 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	68	$40.9K	27,815	22,805	+5,011	open	—	07-02 19:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	76	$35.3K	41,902	41,902	+0	open	—	05-10 12:22
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	189	$34.7K	51,881	57,579	-5,698	open	—	04-21 21:10
Fed rate hike in 2026?	96	$33.8K	36,755	33,448	+3,307	open	—	07-29 20:23
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	52	$32.7K	23,327	19,605	+3,722	open	—	06-11 20:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	49	$32.2K	29,191	17,248	+11,942	open	—	06-12 19:36
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	61	$31.9K	27,440	23,306	+4,133	open	—	07-06 00:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	63	$31.3K	19,588	16,782	+2,806	open	—	05-28 15:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	99	$30.9K	52,813	8,668	+44,146	open	—	04-20 17:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	179	$30.8K	54,288	24,061	+30,226	open	—	04-21 17:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	67	$30.6K	42,356	23,246	+19,110	open	—	04-25 20:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	103	$28.7K	74,460	67,361	+7,100	open	—	08-11 19:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	78	$27.2K	38,178	28,178	+10,000	open	—	04-07 23:09
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	51	$27.0K	29,727	23,030	+6,696	open	—	07-09 14:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	59	$26.2K	19,715	16,827	+2,888	open	—	04-20 21:18
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	26	$26.0K	30,143	30,143	+0	open	—	02-27 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:42:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	707	17¢	$120	0x1e8aaf…
08-11 18:27:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xa2e032…
08-11 18:24:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	139	17¢	$24	0x20f36e…
08-11 18:23:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0xabbea3…
08-11 17:18:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	150	17¢	$26	0x0336de…
08-11 17:17:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0x5f747a…
08-11 17:17:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,200	17¢	$204	0x036b4d…
08-11 17:16:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,200	17¢	$204	0xade60f…
08-11 17:12:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	700	17¢	$119	0x0ebb11…
08-11 16:47:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x1f83ff…
08-11 16:47:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	6,619	17¢	$1,108	0x924572…
08-11 15:39:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	4,413	19¢	$838	0x843e16…
08-11 13:36:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0x967ecb…
08-11 13:35:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	615	20¢	$123	0x271bbe…
08-11 13:24:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x20b9a1…
08-11 12:54:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	63	20¢	$13	0x470fd1…
08-11 12:28:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x95934a…
08-11 12:22:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x00606f…
08-11 12:12:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	933	20¢	$187	0xe0353f…
08-11 12:05:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x6e8651…
08-11 12:00:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	702	20¢	$140	0x935ff4…
08-11 11:42:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	8,546	20¢	$1,709	0xb74524…
08-11 11:42:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x6cd88d…
08-11 11:42:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xf59e3c…
08-11 11:42:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xcf5f8e…
08-11 11:42:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	296	20¢	$59	0xca3544…
08-11 11:42:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	4,444	19¢	$844	0x4cf5bf…
08-11 11:05:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xc2905f…
08-11 11:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	32,639	15¢	$4,896	0xf06a9f…
08-11 11:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x402a4a…
08-11 11:04:37	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	548	67¢	$367	0xa2b811…
08-11 11:03:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,160	14¢	$162	0x41ab0a…
08-11 11:00:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	2,000	14¢	$280	0x9a91d7…
08-11 10:40:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x1addc4…
08-11 10:07:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,351	14¢	$189	0x5683be…
08-11 09:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	8,127	14¢	$1,138	0xa2cdfc…
08-11 01:04:31	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	621	25¢	$155	0xfa7bd0…
08-11 00:57:15	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	25¢	$16	0x35778f…
08-10 20:03:42	will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x9aac26…
08-10 18:20:43	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x5517ea…
08-10 17:02:52	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	39	76¢	$30	0xc3fa30…
08-10 13:26:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2,794	89¢	$2,487	0x5bfef5…
08-10 12:29:43	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x386f96…
08-10 09:54:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	276	76¢	$210	0x4cba3b…
08-10 09:28:21	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	36	76¢	$27	0xf8b2cf…
08-10 09:04:55	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	44	76¢	$33	0xc46754…
08-10 08:36:13	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	593	57¢	$337	0x56da9c…
08-10 00:51:13	will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	Yes	BUY	154	49¢	$75	0x77452b…
08-10 00:51:06	will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	Yes	BUY	959	49¢	$470	0x2e6e1f…
08-08 12:23:13	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	30¢	$14	0x484b25…
08-08 11:53:48	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	1,121	77¢	$863	0xe11e93…
08-08 04:00:01	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5,168	24¢	$1,240	0x5c8f51…
08-08 03:21:07	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,060	16¢	$330	0xbd92e6…
08-07 16:50:13	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	61	39¢	$24	0x833103…
08-07 16:36:00	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x45a5b7…
08-07 16:35:30	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x10fa95…
08-07 16:33:04	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	1,143	15¢	$173	0xeef9c2…
08-07 16:32:51	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	420	73¢	$306	0xfc89b3…
08-07 16:32:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	2,234	45¢	$1,004	0x46de85…
08-07 14:57:27	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x17c137…
08-07 14:57:16	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x662f85…
08-07 14:57:10	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x9e3833…
08-07 14:51:16	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xac8e32…
08-07 14:51:07	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	Yes	BUY	153	90¢	$137	0x89a4d9…
08-07 12:44:30	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x7fcbfe…
08-07 06:44:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0x5a94be…
08-07 06:43:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x143b6b…
08-06 23:37:08	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x4b9ae5…
08-06 23:34:51	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcf2333…
08-06 21:17:23	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xb3fdcf…
08-06 15:38:29	israel military action against yemen by august 31	Yes	BUY	504	8¢	$40	0xb9377c…
08-06 12:58:06	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xa8181e…
08-06 12:58:05	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x661a26…
08-06 12:02:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	10,460	30¢	$3,138	0xe6429d…
08-06 07:39:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x315410…
08-05 20:04:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x5ed617…
08-05 19:44:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	16¢	$35	0xb424bd…
08-05 19:24:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xac7fc6…
08-05 19:07:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	16¢	$12	0xc96628…
08-05 16:08:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x252107…
08-05 13:41:06	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x3e8fc9…
08-05 00:04:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	16¢	$24	0xcf073a…
08-04 19:55:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,654	91¢	$1,506	0x1e99b4…
08-04 19:47:54	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x57e11b…
08-04 19:47:21	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	16¢	$57	0x67f641…
08-04 16:57:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x0be5a4…
08-04 16:49:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	673	34¢	$229	0x158040…
08-04 16:28:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	124	34¢	$42	0xa40127…
08-04 15:43:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0x3ad323…
08-04 15:43:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	121	34¢	$41	0xcbe092…
08-04 14:21:05	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x2ad5cb…
08-04 13:02:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,510	28¢	$423	0xa4cefd…
08-04 12:54:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0xcf914f…
08-04 12:46:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	179	28¢	$50	0xcc2e1d…
08-04 12:42:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x3b3691…
08-04 12:38:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0x09aecd…
08-04 12:20:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x01ce06…
08-04 12:19:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,100	28¢	$308	0xbc5e22…
08-04 12:15:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	179	28¢	$50	0x5a3cdc…
08-04 12:15:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	179	28¢	$50	0x1d4da1…