Fake-Polyester 0x25257a…4eb919
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$951
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
13
Trades
12,843
lifetime
Volume
$3.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$249
Open exposure
$36.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 09:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
74% 60% $-1,453
Other
25% 67% +$2,674
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +6,037 $3,601 100¢ $6.0K +$2,429 06-20 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +14,386 $5,928 30¢ $4.2K $-1,684 06-29 18:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,654 $2,447 82¢ $3.0K +$568 06-13 17:18
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -3,347 $-2,745 86¢ $-2862 $-117 06-04 18:02
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026? No +2,619 $2,564 98¢ $2.6K +$6 06-24 22:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,691 $3,513 44¢ $2.5K $-1,038 06-19 14:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2,980 $1,326 76¢ $2.3K +$954 06-30 21:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,910 $1,405 100¢ $1.9K +$499 06-30 17:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,040 $1,628 86¢ $1.8K +$137 06-14 22:23
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +1,390 $1,213 99¢ $1.4K +$163 06-16 01:33
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +1,709 $975 67¢ $1.2K +$176 06-07 23:17
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +1,102 $1,029 97¢ $1.1K +$41 06-18 04:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -5,555 $-801 18¢ $-972 $-171 06-19 00:44
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,653 $1,021 54¢ $885 $-136 06-17 20:13
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -3,429 $-1,300 22¢ $-758 +$542 06-23 17:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +483 $330 97¢ $468 +$138 06-27 23:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +574 $550 70¢ $405 $-145 06-19 20:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $700 18¢ $350 $-350 06-12 04:01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +300 $216 99¢ $297 +$80 06-09 13:10
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +1,326 $239 20¢ $272 +$33 06-27 21:33
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +810 $195 33¢ $264 +$69 06-17 18:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -860 $153 30¢ $-254 $-407 06-20 08:06
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -215 $-209 98¢ $-211 $-2 06-27 15:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +667 $750 25¢ $167 $-584 06-08 05:30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +340 $127 30¢ $102 $-25 06-08 13:45
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -533 $-101 8¢ $-45 +$56 06-11 17:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1,331 $-134 3¢ $39 +$174 06-30 17:58
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -320 $-45 9¢ $-29 +$17 06-11 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +3,100 $487 0¢ $11 $-476 05-29 15:12
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -500 $-10 1¢ $-6 +$3 06-19 15:12