Fake-Polyester 0x25257a…4eb919
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.76K
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
13
Trades
13,597
lifetime
Volume
$3.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$26.9K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-15 18:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% $-1,453
Other
27% 67% +$2,674
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 282 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +6,037 $3,601 100¢ $6.0K +$2,429 06-20 16:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3,654 $2,447 86¢ $3.2K +$714 06-13 17:18
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -3,347 $-2,745 88¢ $-2962 $-218 06-04 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -5,555 $-801 48¢ $-2694 $-1,893 06-19 00:44
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2,980 $1,326 82¢ $2.4K +$1,103 06-30 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,691 $3,513 36¢ $2.0K $-1,493 06-19 14:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,151 $4,918 12¢ $1.3K $-3,580 07-10 04:53
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +1,102 $1,029 98¢ $1.1K +$53 06-18 04:33
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,653 $1,021 64¢ $1.1K +$45 06-17 20:13
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -3,429 $-1,300 26¢ $-886 +$413 06-23 17:25
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +1,312 $688 53¢ $691 +$3 07-15 18:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +740 $523 72¢ $529 +$6 07-08 20:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +574 $550 78¢ $451 $-99 06-19 20:05
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +810 $195 47¢ $383 +$188 06-17 18:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $700 14¢ $270 $-430 06-12 04:01
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -215 $-209 98¢ $-212 $-3 06-27 15:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +1,326 $239 16¢ $206 $-33 06-27 21:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -860 $153 22¢ $-185 $-338 06-20 08:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +667 $750 18¢ $123 $-627 06-08 05:30
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? Yes +545 $59 15¢ $82 +$23 07-08 13:19
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +340 $127 18¢ $61 $-66 06-08 13:45
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -533 $-101 8¢ $-40 +$61 06-11 17:47
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -320 $-45 6¢ $-18 +$28 06-11 17:33
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -500 $-10 1¢ $-6 +$4 06-19 15:12
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +5,816 $1,560 0¢ $6 $-1,554 06-18 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -360 $3,421 1¢ $-3 $-3,425 07-05 22:24
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -4 $-9 6¢ $-0 +$8 06-09 18:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $84 52¢ $0 $-84 07-11 22:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-08 13:14