Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$817
Open exposure
$13.7K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-12 16:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? No -8,056 $-7,506 93¢ $-7505 +$1 05-11 11:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +2,819 $2,058 92¢ $2.6K +$550 05-06 14:45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +3,678 $1,021 54¢ $2.0K +$947 05-11 20:43
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? Yes +589 $570 100¢ $588 +$18 05-12 16:47
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? No -521 $-167 74¢ $-388 $-222 05-11 20:48
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +584 $420 40¢ $237 $-184 05-11 17:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes -820 $-361 24¢ $-201 +$160 05-10 10:05
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 Yes +836 $107 18¢ $151 +$43 05-10 19:19
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026? Yes -34 $-26 74¢ $-25 +$1 05-11 19:04
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -41 $-17 27¢ $-11 +$6 05-10 20:41
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? Yes -50 $-4 $-2 +$2 05-11 05:23