Fuzzy-Peek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.8%

Resolved

183

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$879

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-21 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

68% 7% -$147

Politics

18% 11% -$47

Sports

9% 17% -$55

Crypto

5% 12% +$5

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	7	$109	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	06-15 19:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$57	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	06-20 18:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	50	50	+0	No	+$20	05-29 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	2	$33	30	30	+0	Yes	+$27	08-01 06:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$20	06-01 12:41
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	06-25 18:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$21	150	150	+0	No	-$6	05-29 04:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 17c	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	-$20	04-06 18:34
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	2	$17	319	319	+0	No	-$3	05-26 14:44
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	2	$17	200	0	+200	No	-$17	06-17 18:48
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	1	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	06-16 19:17
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$14	603	0	+603	No	-$14	07-04 11:37
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	07-15 19:35
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	3	$13	370	0	+370	No	-$13	06-15 17:16
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	3	$13	200	200	+0	No	-$1	06-26 19:02
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	2	$12	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-26 10:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$10	530	180	+350	Yes	-$2	05-28 18:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$10	120	0	+120	No	-$10	05-29 19:32
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	2	$9	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$8	200	200	+0	No	-$7	06-13 05:11
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	3	$7	138	0	+138	No	-$7	07-22 18:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	3	$6	73	0	+73	No	-$6	06-02 23:37
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	5	$6	80	0	+80	No	-$6	07-20 17:56
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	3	$6	200	0	+200	No	-$6	08-13 17:02
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$6	80	0	+80	No	-$6	07-03 19:03
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	1	$6	79	0	+79	No	-$6	07-02 18:07
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	265	265	+0	No	+$0	06-26 19:04
will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	1	$6	50	0	+50	No	-$6	06-17 19:09
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	1	$6	500	0	+500	No	-$6	05-23 09:51
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	2	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	06-23 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 03:55:15	Will Dogecoin reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x80889c…
10-19 18:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe499db…
10-19 16:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8bbe5f…
10-19 16:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xf14d03…
10-19 16:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x614a4d…
10-17 11:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x02f14e…
10-10 19:23:58	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2ac708…
10-10 14:29:24	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3f7fad…
10-02 09:28:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x801350…
10-02 09:28:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x35701b…
10-02 06:36:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x865bee…
09-26 09:20:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x6984b0…
09-24 02:07:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5a5609…
09-23 06:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xe99b67…
09-23 06:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xbbb221…
09-22 07:32:10	will trump say ballroom during his ribbon cutting ceremony	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xc673de…
09-21 09:07:42	Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x62c9db…
09-21 09:04:45	Will Dogecoin reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x07f959…
09-18 17:57:36	Will Solana reach $150 in September?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x53b47b…
09-16 14:51:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7331b9…
09-16 14:51:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2756c1…
09-16 14:51:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4b2a62…
09-16 14:43:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2a1380…
09-16 12:45:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x089144…
09-15 14:25:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x290887…
09-15 08:42:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x404aa1…
08-26 18:04:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc18339…
08-13 17:02:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x195d89…
08-11 14:52:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x63624e…
08-08 07:03:43	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3c6972…
08-06 16:21:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xd041a1…
08-05 12:47:56	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x31bfd4…
08-05 08:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x802d78…
08-05 08:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xff5e53…
08-05 08:36:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x4362f3…
08-03 13:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x919f2b…
08-01 06:18:05	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x95e9dd…
07-31 12:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x440eb9…
07-31 07:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x31de85…
07-29 20:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x47b77c…
07-29 18:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8b3fa4…
07-29 18:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3590e5…
07-29 18:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe393c6…
07-29 17:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x34d55a…
07-28 17:07:29	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4e6e74…
07-28 17:07:04	Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1cae64…
07-28 17:02:20	will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump 20260724180650962	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x353e9a…
07-28 12:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9d6b21…
07-28 11:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xd30a0e…
07-28 11:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x72a974…
07-28 11:17:38	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x9d72ea…
07-25 17:02:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x092b97…
07-25 08:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc2dc93…
07-25 02:37:37	will trump say six seven during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255823	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa00c07…
07-25 02:35:54	will trump say tough cookie during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255819	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8a3644…
07-25 00:57:06	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x175cd1…
07-25 00:49:21	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xb80d5c…
07-24 09:15:51	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x118caf…
07-23 09:43:12	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xe9356a…
07-22 18:58:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0xc04cd4…
07-22 07:53:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x4f631e…
07-21 14:09:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xcddc1b…
07-20 18:50:22	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x83ab2c…
07-20 18:50:19	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x0681a8…
07-20 17:56:06	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6008ed…
07-20 16:11:31	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xe80b9e…
07-20 15:19:37	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xbcaa3b…
07-20 11:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0xccbbd2…
07-20 10:13:34	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x8d0793…
07-20 05:19:27	will trump say six seven during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255823	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0a1f5a…
07-19 20:14:30	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xd795af…
07-19 19:04:21	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xce01bb…
07-19 19:04:00	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x26f5e0…
07-18 23:45:36	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xfc7f22…
07-18 23:45:36	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcd55f7…
07-18 23:45:33	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xccfe9c…
07-18 23:45:31	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x624a85…
07-18 23:45:28	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1c06c5…
07-18 23:45:22	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb831ea…
07-18 23:45:21	Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0db02a…
07-18 21:37:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x1840f7…
07-18 21:37:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xbd8774…
07-18 11:02:22	Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x94cd8a…
07-18 06:37:00	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2ecc96…
07-18 06:26:09	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xefed17…
07-18 06:25:31	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4da592…
07-18 04:58:16	Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x144c94…
07-17 20:04:55	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf9f850…
07-17 20:01:06	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3fdfe8…
07-17 19:32:39	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xfbf8cd…
07-17 19:04:31	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6765c6…
07-17 15:03:07	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf10e0a…
07-17 14:41:27	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x69ab0e…
07-17 13:19:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x66dca0…
07-17 13:10:43	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc9ca4c…
07-17 09:33:30	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x04b830…
07-17 08:04:43	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x0ad05d…
07-17 07:59:34	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xacdf90…
07-17 03:40:15	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xdbd784…
07-17 03:40:15	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcf54a5…