Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
937
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$195
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 13:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
60% 33% $-17
Other
27% 40% +$12
Sports
10%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -110 $-96 70¢ $-78 +$18 07-15 09:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -70 $-56 80¢ $-56 $-0 07-13 14:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +170 $20 11¢ $19 $-2 06-22 16:23
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -145 $-10 $-11 $-1 07-13 14:18
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +110 $18 $9 $-9 06-26 11:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -220 $-5 $-8 $-3 07-16 09:58
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -28 $-0 22¢ $-6 $-6 07-17 20:29
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +50 $11 11¢ $6 $-6 06-24 11:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +302 $40 $3 $-37 07-11 19:43