Realized P&L
-$390
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
204
Trades
331
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$241
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-30 00:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
70% 95% -$248
Other
27% 80% -$72
Tech
2% 77% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% 75% -$7
Crypto
1% 0% -$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 -$90 97¢ $-97 -$7 06-24 11:25
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +22 $20 99¢ $22 +$2 10-26 00:14
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 09-30 00:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 10-16 00:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-25 00:10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-23 00:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 10-23 00:15
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -11 -$10 96¢ $-10 $0 09-25 10:35
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 06-24 16:55