Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
217
Trades
302
lifetime
Volume
$5.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$591
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-29 03:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
63% 89% +$113
Politics
27% 89% -$44
Crypto
5% 88% -$30
Tech
5% 100% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +22 $20 99¢ $22 +$2 10-18 13:02
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +22 $20 97¢ $22 +$2 10-21 02:01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-18 13:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-18 02:10
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +25 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 10-21 06:26
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-18 13:02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-18 13:02
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 10-18 13:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-20 02:06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-21 02:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-19 10:49
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-18 13:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-20 02:07
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +24 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 10-20 02:06
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-19 10:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-19 10:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-20 02:07
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-21 02:01
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 10-29 03:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 $0 10-27 02:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $0 10-29 03:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +21 $20 93¢ $20 $0 10-26 02:19
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +24 $20 82¢ $19 -$1 10-22 02:04
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +24 $20 79¢ $19 -$1 10-21 06:26
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +24 $20 79¢ $19 -$1 10-22 02:03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +24 $20 72¢ $17 -$3 10-21 06:26
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +25 $20 70¢ $17 -$3 10-21 06:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +25 $20 68¢ $17 -$3 10-21 06:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +25 $20 60¢ $15 -$5 10-24 02:32
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +24 $20 61¢ $15 -$5 10-22 02:03