Realized P&L
-$186
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
1,085
Trades
4,931
lifetime
Volume
$11.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-28 02:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Politics
53% 70% -$195
Crypto
23% 52% +$35
Other
20% 61% +$44
Sports
4% 56% -$61
Tech
0% 33% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $2 59¢ $4 +$1 10-28 02:23
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +4 $1 86¢ $4 +$2 08-13 00:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 09-02 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 $0 10-12 17:10
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $0 10-03 16:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $0 10-03 16:50
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 79¢ $1 $0 10-05 00:50
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $0 07-14 22:11
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-05 03:30
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-27 21:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 09-29 20:22
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +2 $1 36¢ $1 -$1 09-29 21:19
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 08-16 03:40
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-23 15:41
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +2 $1 23¢ $0 $0 09-18 22:47
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 09-28 19:09
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 09-28 06:29
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-27 03:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +0 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-24 09:11