Sparkling-Self — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

748

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-07 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

68% 50% $-47

Politics

26% 40% $-19

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	7	$923	596	588	+8	open	—	04-17 15:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$817	778	705	+74	open	—	04-21 18:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	5	$730	405	402	+2	open	—	04-24 22:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$691	905	905	+0	open	—	03-08 21:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$621	337	336	+1	open	—	04-09 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$568	413	296	+116	open	—	04-13 16:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	9	$532	383	379	+4	open	—	04-27 17:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$443	307	307	+0	open	—	04-26 13:01
Iran leadership change by December 31?	4	$398	239	283	-44	open	—	08-07 17:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$378	217	217	+0	open	—	04-21 18:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	5	$329	203	169	+34	open	—	04-24 22:19
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$321	254	254	+0	open	—	03-14 19:17
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$318	195	195	+0	open	—	04-09 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$300	168	168	+0	open	—	05-28 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$299	266	368	-102	open	—	06-15 19:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$280	168	167	+1	open	—	04-29 20:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$258	135	205	-70	open	—	08-07 17:33
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$239	841	841	+0	open	—	03-08 21:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$227	131	134	-3	open	—	08-07 17:33
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$226	142	142	+0	open	—	08-07 17:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$226	175	72	+103	open	—	05-25 10:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$223	0	229	-229	open	—	06-02 15:49
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	4	$221	135	135	+0	open	—	08-07 17:33
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$209	115	115	+0	open	—	08-07 17:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	3	$205	119	119	+0	open	—	08-07 17:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$204	108	107	+0	open	—	04-09 16:05
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$202	117	117	+0	open	—	08-07 17:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$201	103	103	+0	open	—	04-09 16:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	2	$200	217	0	+217	open	—	06-01 15:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$196	118	118	+0	open	—	08-07 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 17:37:52	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x5cf8df…
08-07 17:37:37	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaa0e81…
08-07 17:37:34	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x33cc42…
08-07 17:37:33	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa717ac…
08-07 17:37:19	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x001ea1…
08-07 17:37:09	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x64a01c…
08-07 17:37:06	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	23	71¢	$16	0x9dd3ec…
08-07 17:36:58	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0x994706…
08-07 17:36:55	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xfcc269…
08-07 17:36:51	Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x3ac959…
08-07 17:36:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x7fc2ec…
08-07 17:36:45	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	37	91¢	$33	0x38188b…
08-07 17:36:43	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x9f89fb…
08-07 17:36:40	Remote IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	42	83¢	$34	0x763fcc…
08-07 17:36:37	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	41	89¢	$36	0xbeecc0…
08-07 17:36:34	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0x83c2dd…
08-07 17:36:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xa3cade…
08-07 17:36:21	Glean IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xb314eb…
08-07 17:36:18	Rippling IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x939cc8…
08-07 17:36:15	Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x5962e2…
08-07 17:36:10	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xe185cd…
08-07 17:36:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	109	25¢	$27	0x731cd9…
08-07 17:35:57	Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x9e232e…
08-07 17:35:54	Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x9fedc4…
08-07 17:35:51	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0xda39b6…
08-07 17:35:48	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	34	80¢	$28	0x9e6486…
08-07 17:35:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0xea08d3…
08-07 17:35:42	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	80¢	$25	0x233725…
08-07 17:35:40	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x2d9e5e…
08-07 17:35:37	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0x984d93…
08-07 17:35:33	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x040750…
08-07 17:35:31	Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x8f8fac…
08-07 17:35:28	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	56¢	$24	0xd19d8f…
08-07 17:35:25	Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xefd4cb…
08-07 17:35:22	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0xdc31c1…
08-07 17:35:19	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xef2d8f…
08-07 17:35:16	Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xb8b394…
08-07 17:35:13	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xdaff4f…
08-07 17:35:09	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x1bc0c3…
08-07 17:35:06	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0x4a7a3b…
08-07 17:35:06	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x2bb8a3…
08-07 17:35:01	Ledger IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	46	88¢	$41	0xf6ea4b…
08-07 17:35:00	Deel IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x3a2b2c…
08-07 17:34:52	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	57	90¢	$51	0xdb2f0b…
08-07 17:34:49	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	57	92¢	$52	0x247616…
08-07 17:34:46	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	59	89¢	$53	0xec2ec7…
08-07 17:34:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xe91c2c…
08-07 17:34:42	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	79	94¢	$74	0xf99219…
08-07 17:34:39	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$89	0xe14234…
08-07 17:34:31	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	77	72¢	$55	0xe2c331…
08-07 17:34:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	66	86¢	$57	0xcaed0d…
08-07 17:34:24	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0xfc0357…
08-07 17:34:22	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	SELL	81	70¢	$56	0x53baf8…
08-07 17:34:18	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?	No	SELL	74	81¢	$60	0x3579db…
08-07 17:34:16	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	79	79¢	$62	0xb8a3fe…
08-07 17:34:12	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	77	90¢	$69	0xb95a6f…
08-07 17:34:09	Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0xc26f0e…
08-07 17:34:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	117	87¢	$102	0xcdc0a0…
08-07 17:34:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	118	82¢	$96	0x8aaf67…
08-07 17:33:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	116	91¢	$106	0xd26b6b…
08-07 17:33:51	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	119	88¢	$105	0x7b2f66…
08-07 17:33:46	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0xb04de5…
08-07 17:33:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	119	93¢	$110	0x3d1b2c…
08-07 17:33:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	136	84¢	$114	0xba996e…
08-07 17:33:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0x844e46…
08-07 17:33:31	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	SELL	135	90¢	$121	0x42b2ec…
08-07 17:33:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	134	91¢	$122	0x30f91f…
08-07 17:33:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	130	96¢	$125	0x19a40e…
08-07 17:33:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	142	89¢	$126	0x305bbf…
08-07 17:33:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	205	77¢	$158	0x1dcc19…
08-07 17:33:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	283	78¢	$221	0xdb40a0…
06-15 20:00:16	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	84	82¢	$68	0x847128…
06-15 19:59:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	270	34¢	$92	0x1849ef…
06-14 11:39:58	will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	SELL	96	37¢	$36	0xd87c96…
06-07 19:17:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x49e141…
06-07 19:15:03	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	118	31¢	$37	0x662353…
06-07 18:57:45	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9cfe29…
06-07 18:56:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xa4ac7b…
06-07 18:55:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x85b43b…
06-07 18:47:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0xb4ea8e…
06-07 18:47:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x5f70a4…
06-07 18:47:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	127	51¢	$66	0x0be227…
06-07 18:45:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x3d8b54…
06-07 18:44:18	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	30¢	$22	0x01fdcd…
06-07 13:29:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xf32508…
06-07 13:28:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xd924c7…
06-06 11:53:52	Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xe69f39…
06-06 11:53:34	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x47efab…
06-06 11:53:15	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x96867f…
06-06 11:52:36	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0xf35c6d…
06-06 11:51:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xfc2542…
06-06 11:48:19	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xd1ce36…
06-06 11:48:13	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in june 2026	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x531ce6…
06-06 11:48:09	will trump meet with elon musk in june 2026	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xebe280…
06-06 11:47:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xd92123…
06-06 11:44:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xf8a2c9…
06-06 11:44:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xa7ecbc…
06-06 11:43:57	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x353250…
06-06 11:42:22	will oman send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x5b1aff…
06-06 11:42:03	will bahrain send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0xf54bef…