Sparkling-Self 0xf257a0…073ed5
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Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
674
lifetime
Volume
$22.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-07 19:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% $-47
Politics
27% 40% $-19
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -229 $-223 98¢ $-225 $-2 06-02 15:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +217 $200 98¢ $212 +$12 06-01 15:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +266 $150 72¢ $190 +$40 06-07 18:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +239 $177 72¢ $171 $-6 06-06 11:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -143 $-139 98¢ $-140 $-1 05-31 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +139 $100 90¢ $126 +$26 05-31 09:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +133 $107 91¢ $121 +$14 06-01 15:49
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +136 $102 88¢ $121 +$19 06-07 18:56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +142 $100 77¢ $109 +$9 05-30 12:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -107 $-105 99¢ $-106 $-1 06-02 15:49
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? No +114 $100 93¢ $106 +$6 05-31 09:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +131 $105 80¢ $106 +$1 06-06 11:51
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +115 $100 90¢ $103 +$3 06-02 16:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +119 $100 84¢ $100 +$1 06-06 11:38
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +135 $100 74¢ $100 +$0 06-03 17:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +117 $100 84¢ $99 $-1 06-06 11:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +135 $100 73¢ $99 $-1 06-06 11:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +118 $100 82¢ $96 $-4 06-06 11:33
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +110 $100 86¢ $95 $-5 05-31 09:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +99 $86 94¢ $93 +$7 06-07 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +111 $70 73¢ $81 +$11 06-02 16:03
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +83 $70 92¢ $76 +$6 06-01 15:54
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +82 $75 91¢ $74 $-1 06-06 11:31
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +100 $80 74¢ $74 $-6 06-01 15:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +75 $70 95¢ $72 +$2 06-03 17:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +81 $70 86¢ $70 $-0 05-31 09:25
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +109 $73 64¢ $69 $-4 06-02 16:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -82 $-60 80¢ $-66 $-6 06-06 11:39
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +69 $60 88¢ $61 +$1 06-02 16:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +79 $55 72¢ $57 +$2 05-31 09:57