Sparkling-Self 0xf257a0…073ed5
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$238
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
346
Trades
887
lifetime
Volume
$31.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 08-07 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
66% 72% +$304
Politics
25% 67% -$36
Tech
5% 74% +$60
Crypto
3% 40% -$70
Sports
1% 67% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -123 -$116 96¢ $-119 -$3 08-07 17:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -102 -$83 77¢ $-79 +$5 08-07 17:34
Discord IPO before 2027? No -77 -$55 94¢ $-72 -$17 08-07 17:34
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -60 -$54 94¢ $-56 -$2 08-07 17:34
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -48 -$13 97¢ $-47 -$34 05-21 19:44
Ledger IPO before 2027? No -46 -$41 96¢ $-44 -$4 08-07 17:35
Deel IPO before 2027? No -44 -$42 100¢ $-44 -$2 08-07 17:35
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -43 -$40 98¢ $-42 -$2 08-07 17:35
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -40 -$39 97¢ $-39 +$0 08-07 17:34
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No -38 -$35 97¢ $-37 -$2 08-07 17:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -41 -$36 90¢ $-37 -$1 08-07 17:36
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No -38 -$32 97¢ $-36 -$5 08-07 17:35
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -37 -$33 98¢ $-36 -$3 08-07 17:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -37 -$44 94¢ $-35 +$9 08-07 17:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -36 -$36 86¢ $-31 +$5 08-07 17:34
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -34 -$28 90¢ $-31 -$3 08-07 17:35
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -30 -$26 99¢ $-29 -$3 08-07 17:35
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No -32 -$28 92¢ $-29 -$1 08-07 17:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -30 -$28 97¢ $-29 -$1 08-07 17:36
Maduro guilty of all counts? No -42 -$31 68¢ $-28 +$3 08-07 17:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -42 -$16 67¢ $-28 -$11 07-17 13:56
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -28 -$31 97¢ $-27 +$4 08-07 17:34
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -28 -$22 94¢ $-26 -$4 08-07 17:36
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -147 -$26 18¢ $-26 +$1 05-25 10:08
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -26 -$29 92¢ $-24 +$5 08-07 17:34
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No -23 -$21 98¢ $-23 -$2 08-07 17:36
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No -24 -$22 97¢ $-23 -$1 05-04 16:29
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -24 -$21 97¢ $-23 -$2 08-07 17:35
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -24 -$24 96¢ $-23 +$1 08-07 17:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -27 -$22 83¢ $-22 $0 08-07 17:36