Sparkling-Self 0xf257a0…073ed5
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Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$86
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
677
lifetime
Volume
$22.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$1.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-15 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% $-47
Politics
27% 40% $-19
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +239 $177 76¢ $183 +$6 06-06 11:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +142 $100 86¢ $123 +$23 05-30 12:26
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +135 $100 89¢ $120 +$20 06-03 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +131 $105 88¢ $115 +$10 06-06 11:51
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +115 $100 94¢ $109 +$9 06-02 16:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +135 $100 80¢ $107 +$7 06-06 11:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +119 $100 86¢ $102 +$2 06-06 11:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +117 $100 86¢ $100 +$1 06-06 11:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +111 $70 82¢ $92 +$22 06-02 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +118 $100 74¢ $88 $-12 06-06 11:33
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +69 $60 94¢ $64 +$4 06-02 16:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +63 $50 94¢ $59 +$9 05-29 16:47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +79 $55 70¢ $55 +$0 05-31 09:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +55 $50 94¢ $52 +$2 06-06 11:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +57 $50 90¢ $51 +$1 06-03 17:03
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +57 $50 89¢ $51 +$1 05-31 09:28
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +53 $45 92¢ $49 +$4 06-02 15:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +109 $73 42¢ $45 $-28 06-02 16:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +49 $40 88¢ $43 +$3 06-02 15:57
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +49 $40 84¢ $41 +$1 06-06 11:53
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +46 $40 90¢ $41 +$1 06-06 11:53
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +44 $40 92¢ $40 +$0 05-31 09:38
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +37 $30 88¢ $32 +$2 06-02 16:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +34 $25 78¢ $27 +$2 06-06 11:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +44 $22 57¢ $25 +$3 06-07 13:29
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $20 87¢ $21 +$1 05-31 09:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +19 $17 90¢ $17 +$0 06-02 16:11
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +12 $10 79¢ $10 $-0 06-06 11:53
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +20 $16 47¢ $10 $-6 06-07 18:57
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +9 $7 55¢ $5 $-2 06-02 16:05