Sparkling-Self 0xf257a0…073ed5
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Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
+$284
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
677
lifetime
Volume
$22.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-15 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% $-47
Politics
27% 40% $-19
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -229 $-223 100¢ $-229 $-5 06-02 15:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +217 $200 100¢ $217 +$17 06-01 15:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +239 $177 84¢ $202 +$25 06-06 11:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -143 $-139 100¢ $-143 $-4 05-31 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +139 $100 99¢ $138 +$38 05-31 09:24
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +136 $102 99¢ $136 +$34 06-07 18:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +133 $107 100¢ $133 +$25 06-01 15:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +142 $100 84¢ $119 +$19 05-30 12:26
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +135 $100 88¢ $118 +$18 06-03 17:02
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? No +114 $100 99¢ $112 +$12 05-31 09:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +131 $105 84¢ $111 +$6 06-06 11:51
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +110 $100 99¢ $108 +$8 05-31 09:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -107 $-105 100¢ $-107 $-2 06-02 15:49
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +115 $100 92¢ $106 +$6 06-02 16:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +119 $100 88¢ $105 +$5 06-06 11:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +118 $100 86¢ $102 +$2 06-06 11:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +117 $100 86¢ $101 +$2 06-06 11:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +99 $86 100¢ $99 +$13 06-07 19:17
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +100 $80 98¢ $98 +$18 06-01 15:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +135 $100 72¢ $97 $-3 06-06 11:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +111 $70 80¢ $88 +$18 06-02 16:03
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +82 $75 99¢ $81 +$6 06-06 11:31
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +83 $70 97¢ $81 +$11 06-01 15:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +75 $70 100¢ $75 +$5 06-03 17:02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +79 $55 84¢ $66 +$11 05-31 09:57
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +69 $60 90¢ $62 +$2 06-02 16:04
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +109 $73 56¢ $61 $-12 06-02 16:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +63 $50 90¢ $57 +$7 05-29 16:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -53 $-52 100¢ $-53 $-1 06-02 15:49
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +53 $50 100¢ $53 +$3 06-01 15:53