(anonymous) 0xaa06f6…af1e0f
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Realized P&L
+$776
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
864
Trades
7,457
lifetime
Volume
$18.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$942
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-29 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
47% 53% -$66
Politics
37% 63% +$825
Sports
14% 41% +$7
Tech
1% 75% +$11
Crypto
1% 62% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,654 $193 3¢ $176 -$17 06-19 20:09
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,080 $148 15¢ $157 +$9 07-17 14:23
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,480 $60 1¢ $79 +$19 07-11 00:18
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,138 $175 0¢ $73 -$103 06-15 00:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +73 $56 82¢ $60 +$4 08-03 12:06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +70 $50 68¢ $48 -$2 10-06 20:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +75 $42 56¢ $42 $0 10-28 18:54
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +766 $36 5¢ $39 +$3 06-07 01:08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +67 $26 40¢ $27 +$1 06-15 04:08
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +29 $20 86¢ $25 +$5 07-09 03:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $25 20¢ $22 -$3 07-03 09:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 06-02 21:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +269 $24 6¢ $17 -$7 07-29 06:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +25 $16 68¢ $17 +$1 10-21 01:03
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +18 $17 92¢ $17 $0 10-26 05:01
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 92¢ $16 +$1 05-17 02:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +398 $11 3¢ $13 +$2 07-30 16:11
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +523 $23 2¢ $11 -$11 10-15 03:04
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +33 $5 29¢ $9 +$4 07-15 23:40
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +22 $5 43¢ $9 +$4 10-01 20:39
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,435 $7 1¢ $9 +$2 06-17 09:05
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 06-01 12:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 08-05 03:11
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $5 26¢ $7 +$2 10-26 03:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 10-26 05:24
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 05-17 02:00
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +52 $15 11¢ $5 -$10 07-03 00:31
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$0 10-04 12:38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +9 $5 53¢ $5 $0 10-11 06:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -197 -$3 2¢ $-5 -$2 04-29 08:05