(anonymous) 0xaa06f6…af1e0f
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
5,242
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$163
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 06-30 11:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
57% 80% $-0
Politics
32% 33% $-2
Sports
8% — —
Crypto
2% 33% $-0
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +46 $45 100¢ $46 +$1 05-28 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +248 $39 15¢ $36 $-3 06-14 22:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 06-02 21:08
Trump out as President by June 30? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 06-02 21:25
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-30 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +16 $6 68¢ $11 +$5 06-24 15:26
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 12:10
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-02 09:35
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-30 11:20
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-13 07:32
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +10 $4 18¢ $2 $-2 06-30 05:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-20 19:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-14 07:25
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes +28 $5 3¢ $1 $-4 06-10 14:02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 13:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$0 06-18 06:11
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +33 $5 2¢ $1 $-4 06-15 23:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +24 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-18 03:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-21 10:43
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-10 14:25