(anonymous) 0xaa06f6…af1e0f
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
5,459
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$222
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 07-21 05:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
54% 80% $-0
Politics
32% 33% $-2
Sports
10% — —
Crypto
2% 33% $-0
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +248 $39 26¢ $66 +$27 06-14 22:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $25 24¢ $26 +$1 07-03 09:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +29 $20 88¢ $26 +$6 07-09 03:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 06-02 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +16 $6 99¢ $16 +$10 06-24 15:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +52 $10 23¢ $12 +$2 07-16 22:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +26 $5 44¢ $11 +$6 07-01 13:53
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +33 $5 26¢ $9 +$4 07-15 23:40
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +179 $5 4¢ $6 +$1 07-09 05:56
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-01 12:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +16 $5 34¢ $5 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +35 $5 15¢ $5 +$0 07-15 23:39
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +14 $5 30¢ $4 $-1 07-10 15:41
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +16 $5 20¢ $3 $-2 07-02 23:18
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $1 57¢ $2 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-14 07:25
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 37¢ $1 $-0 07-11 01:45