(anonymous) 0xaa06f6…af1e0f
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
29
lifetime
Volume
$59
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$57
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% — —
Other
24% — —
Sports
12% — —
Tech
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 05-05 01:50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +276 $8 3¢ $8 $-0 05-05 10:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $6 56¢ $6 +$0 05-05 03:15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes +9 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 05-06 00:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 05-05 12:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 05-05 00:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 $-0 05-05 15:47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $-0 05-05 01:59
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +65 $3 5¢ $3 $-0 05-05 04:49
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? Yes -8 $-3 32¢ $-2 +$1 05-05 04:49
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 05-05 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +31 $2 5¢ $1 $-1 05-05 23:15
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-04 22:29
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-05 15:44
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 05-05 17:29