Realized P&L (7d)
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$147
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
136
3,686 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.11K
$73.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.10K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-31 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
46% 44% +$1,519
Politics
43% 37% +$383
Tech
8% 32% -$658
Sports
2% 33% -$133
Crypto
1% 25% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +228 $58 82¢ $186 +$128 09-24 16:01
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +248 $169 68¢ $170 +$1 10-12 17:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +770 $195 22¢ $166 -$30 10-28 12:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +260 $99 56¢ $144 +$46 10-26 08:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +343 $133 35¢ $120 -$13 10-26 11:35
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +142 $56 56¢ $79 +$23 10-30 10:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,753 $56 4¢ $68 +$13 10-28 17:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +420 $95 15¢ $63 -$33 10-23 02:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +640 $38 8¢ $54 +$16 10-15 22:49
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +380 $41 5¢ $21 -$20 09-01 02:35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,293 $8 1¢ $16 +$9 10-11 21:13
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by october 31 20260929 No — +291 $154 4¢ $10 -$144 10-31 20:50
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,000 $22 0¢ $3 -$19 10-28 14:04
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +330 $52 1¢ $2 -$50 10-15 23:33
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +550 $44 0¢ $1 -$43 10-26 16:03
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +0 $31 12¢ $0 -$31 09-18 02:33