Fluffy-Toast 0xc327cc…dc31f5 Create alert
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$254
Unrealized P&L
+$151
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved (30d)
40
Trades (30d)
444
3,768 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.45K
$74.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.68K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-06 02:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
47% 45% +$1,376
Politics
42% 37% +$299
Tech
8% 32% -$658
Sports
2% 33% -$133
Crypto
1% 25% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31? No +219 $128 80¢ $175 +$47 10-20 01:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +320 $22 52¢ $165 +$142 11-03 12:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +260 $99 60¢ $157 +$59 10-26 08:18
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? No +1,143 $171 13¢ $153 -$18 10-18 15:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,080 $247 11¢ $122 -$126 11-04 21:00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +343 $133 32¢ $112 -$22 10-26 11:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +114 -$41 87¢ $99 +$140 11-02 09:11
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +130 $64 74¢ $96 +$32 10-26 07:38
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +142 $56 56¢ $79 +$23 10-30 10:34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +132 $97 55¢ $73 -$24 11-05 21:58
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +410 $105 16¢ $66 -$40 11-06 02:31
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? No +105 $66 60¢ $62 -$4 10-29 10:50
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No +265 $40 22¢ $57 +$17 11-04 18:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,153 $78 2¢ $50 -$27 11-06 02:15
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes +200 $42 22¢ $44 +$2 11-05 10:46
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027? Yes +749 $45 6¢ $43 -$2 11-06 03:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +860 $52 5¢ $43 -$9 11-03 11:58
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +268 $23 12¢ $32 +$9 11-05 01:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? No +84 $12 29¢ $24 +$12 11-03 14:04
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $27 13¢ $14 -$13 11-05 16:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,293 $8 1¢ $9 +$1 10-11 21:13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,000 $22 0¢ $3 -$19 10-28 14:04
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? Yes +76 $1 2¢ $1 +$1 09-30 11:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +0 $31 8¢ $0 -$31 09-18 02:33