Willing-Arm 0x97f3f9…a60eba
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$500
Unrealized P&L
+$2.78K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
251
lifetime
Volume
$369.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.47K
Open exposure
$11.0K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Other
46% 0% $-500
Tech
4% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,695 $2,300 86¢ $4.0K +$1,738 07-13 09:19
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,595 $2,000 70¢ $3.2K +$1,217 07-20 11:49
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +2,906 $1,715 76¢ $2.2K +$479 07-10 08:04
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -938 $-271 51¢ $-482 $-212 07-15 18:05
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1,442 $772 29¢ $418 $-354 07-09 09:41
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +835 $280 44¢ $363 +$83 07-20 11:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -650 $-91 41¢ $-267 $-176 06-01 17:45