Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
closed
Total volume
$72,892
Trades
1,280
Unique wallets
257
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-31
First seen
2026-03-04
last 04-08 09:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+17.5¢
(top1%: 74% YES on $12.1K
vs crowd: 56% YES on $45.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 38 | $19.6K | $11.2K | +$8.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 46 | $3.2K | $6.0K | $2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 73 | $1.9K | $2.3K | $382 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 100 | $585 | $307 | +$278 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $8.9K | $3.2K | +$5.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $1.3K | $2.3K | $969 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $725 | $337 | +$388 |
| Median | 32 | $749 | $202 | +$547 |
| Below median | 78 | $1.5K | $969 | +$541 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $1.5K | $1.0K | +$474 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 21 | $340 | $4.7K | $4.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $10.0K | $6.0K | +$4.0K |
| unranked | 37 | $342 | $1.1K | $755 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | Yes | +6,777 | $6,770 | $6,770 | 1 | 04-08 06:40 |
| Willing-Arm 0x97f3…0eba | No | +4,839 | $3,400 | $3,400 | 1 | 04-04 08:48 |
| Sardonic-Lentil 0x88c4…129a | Yes | +2,629 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 1 | 03-10 13:12 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | +1,500 | $730 | $730 | 1 | 04-03 18:04 |
| Youthful-Tug 0xcb59…0a22 | Yes | +1,072 | $366 | $366 | 8 | 03-20 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | +1,072 | $534 | $534 | 2 | 04-07 22:53 |
| Far-Flung-Channel 0x0042…321e | Yes | +1,041 | $538 | $538 | 2 | 03-10 09:17 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +1,001 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 04-08 09:09 |
| Sneaky-Grandparent 0x5c53…8c30 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 09:09 |
| Oblong-Junk 0xb555…4841 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x72f1…8f0e | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 08:27 |
| Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | No | +1,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-08 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b01…95a9 | No | +995 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-08 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | No | +676 | $366 | $366 | 3 | 03-17 18:31 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | Yes | +642 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 04-04 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | +640 | $224 | $224 | 9 | 04-03 18:04 |
| Sweet-Artificer 0xfbff…5830 | Yes | +600 | $273 | $273 | 2 | 03-12 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +535 | $39 | $730 | 60 | 04-07 22:57 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | No | +510 | $87 | $1,408 | 8 | 04-05 17:45 |
| Huge-Brain 0x5011…220e | Yes | +500 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 04-04 08:48 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | +500 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 04-08 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ecd…0787 | No | +500 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 03-09 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x496d…345e | No | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 06:00 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 06:23 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +443 | $308 | $424 | 5 | 04-06 02:25 |
| Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | No | +417 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 04-02 14:53 |
| Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | +403 | $390 | $390 | 1 | 04-07 23:00 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | +382 | $371 | $371 | 2 | 04-07 23:26 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | +340 | $301 | $884 | 16 | 04-07 16:59 |
| Admired-Initial 0x1403…3715 | Yes | +329 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 03-27 07:06 |
| Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | No | +324 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 04-08 06:23 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | +275 | $-4,239 | $17,101 | 48 | 04-08 06:40 |
| Snoopy-Option 0xb0c2…3ea3 | No | +250 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-08 00:58 |
| Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | No | +250 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2c4…e132 | Yes | +200 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 04-07 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bb…c9f5 | No | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-08 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | No | +200 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-08 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf40…38b8 | No | +200 | $140 | $402 | 16 | 03-17 15:10 |
| Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | +179 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-08 00:48 |
| Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | No | +176 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 04-03 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xcda6…3f07 | No | +170 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 03-09 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd10…06d9 | No | +156 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 04-08 00:55 |
| Ugly-Butcher 0x2af6…ff10 | Yes | +154 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 03-05 07:12 |
| Miserable-Sound 0x9384…45e0 | No | +151 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 04-08 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +145 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 04-07 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | +140 | $28 | $104 | 17 | 03-29 18:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +133 | $62 | $148 | 5 | 04-07 20:55 |
| Insignificant-Priesthood 0x62e8…c7f6 | Yes | +128 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 03-07 05:13 |
| Silly-Men 0x695c…10a1 | No | +118 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 04-07 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8402…3c46 | Yes | +105 | $37 | $37 | 5 | 03-15 23:10 |
| Quarrelsome-Lynx 0x3d50…b75c | Yes | +100 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 04-04 08:48 |
| Pastel-Guacamole 0xf808…6e99 | Yes | +100 | $45 | $298 | 3 | 03-08 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd31c…7424 | Yes | +100 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 03-15 14:46 |
| Pastel-Guacamole 0xf808…6e99 | No | +100 | $69 | $128 | 4 | 03-08 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cdf…5bc1 | Yes | +82 | $40 | $134 | 7 | 03-10 18:28 |
| Whole-Ceremony 0x25a7…8b7c | Yes | +60 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 04-05 03:35 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +57 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 04-05 01:11 |
| Creamy-Dig 0x5f53…41bd | Yes | +55 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 04-06 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x49b1…0f4d | Yes | +50 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 04-03 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +49 | $39 | $82 | 5 | 03-05 22:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 09:09:27 | Sneaky-Grandparent 0x5c53…8c30 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x19a97e… |
| 04-08 09:09:27 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 151 | 100¢ | $151 | 0x19a97e… |
| 04-08 09:09:27 | Miserable-Sound 0x9384…45e0 | No | SELL | 849 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x19a97e… |
| 04-08 08:27:35 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6658a2… |
| 04-08 08:27:35 | (anonymous) 0x72f1…8f0e | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6658a2… |
| 04-08 08:27:35 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6658a2… |
| 04-08 08:27:35 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 850 | 100¢ | $849 | 0x6658a2… |
| 04-08 06:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x24bb…c9f5 | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x766762… |
| 04-08 06:40:13 | Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | SELL | 4,977 | 100¢ | $4,972 | 0x766762… |
| 04-08 06:40:13 | Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | Yes | BUY | 6,777 | 100¢ | $6,770 | 0x766762… |
| 04-08 06:40:13 | Miserable-Sound 0x9384…45e0 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x766762… |
| 04-08 06:40:13 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x766762… |
| 04-08 06:40:13 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x766762… |
| 04-08 06:23:41 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 461 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb4b32a… |
| 04-08 06:23:41 | Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | No | SELL | 39 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4b32a… |
| 04-08 06:23:41 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb4b32a… |
| 04-08 06:23:03 | Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | No | SELL | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98b86a… |
| 04-08 06:23:03 | Dark-Passage 0x7173…0550 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x98b86a… |
| 04-08 06:00:31 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x17b1be… |
| 04-08 06:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x496d…345e | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x17b1be… |
| 04-08 02:45:13 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f8199… |
| 04-08 02:45:13 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f8199… |
| 04-08 02:45:13 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | SELL | 666 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3f8199… |
| 04-08 02:45:13 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | No | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f8199… |
| 04-08 02:45:13 | Oblong-Junk 0xb555…4841 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3f8199… |
| 04-08 00:58:07 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b6084… |
| 04-08 00:58:07 | Snoopy-Option 0xb0c2…3ea3 | No | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b6084… |
| 04-08 00:58:07 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | SELL | 834 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2b6084… |
| 04-08 00:58:07 | Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | No | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b6084… |
| 04-08 00:58:07 | Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | No | BUY | 324 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b6084… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Bleak-Outrun 0x78b9…a5fb | No | BUY | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | BUY | 1,500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xbd10…06d9 | No | BUY | 156 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 5,251 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | (anonymous) 0x4b01…95a9 | No | BUY | 995 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:55:35 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96acdb… |
| 04-08 00:48:51 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb4a916… |
| 04-08 00:48:51 | (anonymous) 0xbd10…06d9 | No | SELL | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb4a916… |
| 04-08 00:48:51 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 179 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb4a916… |
| 04-08 00:48:51 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4a916… |
| 04-08 00:48:51 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4a916… |
| 04-08 00:31:03 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75e940… |
| 04-08 00:31:03 | (anonymous) 0xbd10…06d9 | No | BUY | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75e940… |
| 04-08 00:31:03 | Meaty-Philosopher 0x6110…41d7 | No | SELL | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75e940… |
| 04-08 00:10:25 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | SELL | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4ab342… |
| 04-08 00:10:25 | Meaty-Philosopher 0x6110…41d7 | No | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4ab342… |
| 04-07 23:39:01 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3bb3fe… |
| 04-07 23:39:01 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3bb3fe… |
| 04-07 23:37:17 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa90856… |
| 04-07 23:37:17 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa90856… |
| 04-07 23:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x023c…805d | No | SELL | 339 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa90856… |
| 04-07 23:37:17 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa90856… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | BUY | 326 | 99¢ | $321 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | (anonymous) 0xe179…b701 | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3644b6… |
| 04-07 23:14:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2536b4… |
| 04-07 23:14:23 | (anonymous) 0x5b5d…adc4 | No | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2536b4… |
| 04-07 23:10:03 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | SELL | 94 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xd45a25… |
| 04-07 23:10:03 | Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | SELL | 94 | 95¢ | $89 | 0xd45a25… |
| 04-07 23:09:43 | Punctual-Lipid 0x027c…b158 | Yes | SELL | 185 | 95¢ | $176 | 0x06f4f7… |
| 04-07 23:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x06f4f7… |
| 04-07 23:09:43 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x06f4f7… |
| 04-07 23:09:43 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | SELL | 156 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x06f4f7… |
| 04-07 23:04:21 | (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | No | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6992e0… |
| 04-07 23:04:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6992e0… |
| 04-07 23:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x02604c… |
| 04-07 23:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x9298…8002 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x02604c… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | No | BUY | 250 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 23:00:43 | Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | BUY | 403 | 97¢ | $390 | 0xc46e60… |
| 04-07 22:57:45 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xb64426… |
| 04-07 22:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x64ce…49d3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x9ba4f4… |
| 04-07 22:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb64426… |
| 04-07 22:57:45 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9ba4f4… |
| 04-07 22:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb64426… |
| 04-07 22:57:45 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0xb64426… |
| 04-07 22:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x680806… |
| 04-07 22:53:29 | Impressionable-Self 0x2d72…e6d4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x680806… |
| 04-07 22:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 82¢ | $71 | 0x8aa20c… |
| 04-07 22:53:27 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x8aa20c… |
| 04-07 22:53:27 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x8aa20c… |
| 04-07 22:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x8aa20c… |
| 04-07 22:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x8aa20c… |
| 04-07 22:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xe1fa52… |
| 04-07 22:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x0c43…7466 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 79¢ | $37 | 0xe1fa52… |