Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

16,539

lifetime

Volume

$9.54M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$577

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-21 04:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$558

Politics

38% 100% +$2,191

Sports

7% 50% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	277	$494.6K	303,649	257,754	+45,895	open	—	01-31 09:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	279	$335.5K	218,072	175,784	+42,288	open	—	03-31 05:46
cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	43	$281.8K	167,455	130,388	+37,067	open	—	03-20 04:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	173	$269.8K	169,346	176,074	-6,728	open	—	03-29 19:52
lol gen ly 2026 03 19	43	$231.0K	115,720	115,719	+0	open	—	03-19 14:54
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	16	$229.9K	180,215	171,182	+9,033	open	—	03-19 18:29
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	47	$219.0K	110,000	110,000	+0	open	—	01-03 04:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	176	$218.8K	135,954	114,518	+21,436	open	—	03-01 08:16
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	50	$199.4K	100,000	100,000	+0	open	—	03-26 20:12
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	29	$193.9K	107,000	88,000	+19,000	open	—	01-08 03:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	227	$167.3K	191,403	191,403	+0	open	—	03-31 00:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	110	$160.7K	82,848	81,995	+854	open	—	03-02 23:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	123	$146.3K	80,000	88,740	-8,740	open	—	01-30 11:24
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	26	$145.9K	88,913	58,319	+30,595	open	—	03-21 04:12
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	28	$136.9K	64,364	74,236	-9,872	open	—	02-03 06:51
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$135.0K	250,000	250,000	+0	open	—	03-28 07:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	336	$133.4K	155,853	142,428	+13,425	open	—	02-28 07:31
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	4	$126.6K	82,000	47,000	+35,000	open	—	03-16 17:01
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	8	$113.8K	308,084	308,084	+0	open	—	03-21 19:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	72	$107.7K	54,969	54,969	+0	open	—	03-10 13:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	336	$101.3K	78,663	70,872	+7,791	open	—	01-30 12:08
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$95.5K	50,000	50,000	+0	No	+$543	03-05 02:25
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	16	$84.8K	112,908	32,908	+80,000	open	—	03-22 02:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	176	$82.8K	52,723	70,801	-18,077	open	—	02-14 06:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	126	$76.3K	75,009	55,079	+19,930	open	—	04-06 06:43
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	18	$76.2K	42,119	51,892	-9,773	open	—	03-26 11:15
cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20	42	$74.8K	218,032	214,000	+4,032	open	—	03-20 14:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	290	$73.9K	148,162	134,537	+13,625	open	—	04-05 03:55
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	27	$72.5K	73,743	0	+73,743	open	—	03-23 03:40
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	31	$72.1K	51,531	26,531	+25,000	open	—	02-19 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 04:12:12	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0xa2a336…
04-10 17:17:41	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	5,049	0¢	$5	0xfe4dcb…
04-10 17:16:09	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x057cc0…
04-10 17:15:53	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xd9a01b…
04-10 17:12:29	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5d17b3…
04-10 17:09:49	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	1,414	0¢	$3	0x97dd78…
04-10 17:09:15	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xa76461…
04-10 17:08:31	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x537bfd…
04-10 17:07:47	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	153	0¢	$0	0xfd7bac…
04-10 17:07:47	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaf4aaa…
04-10 17:07:33	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc52fe0…
04-10 17:07:15	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x64742a…
04-10 17:06:47	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	352	0¢	$1	0x64f85d…
04-10 17:06:15	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x5b5747…
04-10 17:05:45	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xfdd4bc…
04-10 17:05:45	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	729	0¢	$1	0x1c6be1…
04-10 17:05:35	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	399	0¢	$1	0xcfd624…
04-10 17:04:55	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	11,340	0¢	$11	0xdab504…
04-10 17:03:55	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	470	0¢	$1	0x86b781…
04-10 17:03:49	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	701	0¢	$1	0x515b40…
04-10 17:03:17	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0x17c9e0…
04-10 17:03:09	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x28770f…
04-10 17:02:27	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x87d944…
04-10 17:02:23	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x08cef7…
04-10 17:01:57	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	9,515	0¢	$45	0xcf2555…
04-10 05:15:43	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	421	35¢	$147	0xa7b753…
04-10 05:14:37	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x9eea1e…
04-10 04:02:07	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 56	Yes	SELL	1,646	0¢	$2	0xc974b8…
04-10 02:48:53	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x23d12a…
04-10 00:46:29	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	90	52¢	$46	0x850db7…
04-10 00:40:21	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	432	52¢	$224	0x2a2539…
04-10 00:13:33	will none of the eaglets hatch before april 17 823 292	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xd87e42…
04-10 00:07:01	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	1,743	48¢	$837	0x787a54…
04-10 00:05:57	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x24535d…
04-10 00:05:31	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34c894…
04-10 00:05:25	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0xd048a4…
04-10 00:04:43	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	167	47¢	$79	0x545aee…
04-09 23:57:59	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	296	50¢	$148	0xb3369a…
04-09 23:56:57	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0x80602b…
04-09 23:53:19	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	194	43¢	$83	0xeacc49…
04-09 23:51:45	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe2122a…
04-09 23:51:43	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	663	50¢	$331	0x9e91e8…
04-09 23:51:43	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x716265…
04-09 23:46:21	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	543	44¢	$239	0x0a4f7f…
04-09 23:46:09	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	532	44¢	$235	0x1c64a9…
04-09 23:45:57	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	182	45¢	$82	0x7b8b69…
04-09 23:44:27	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	551	45¢	$250	0x11856a…
04-09 23:43:31	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	173	46¢	$79	0x0de4c8…
04-09 23:43:21	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	121	46¢	$56	0xcca514…
04-09 23:24:55	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	4,148	50¢	$2,074	0x037bdc…
04-09 23:06:05	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	67	46¢	$31	0xe1e540…
04-09 22:09:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	69	93¢	$65	0xfc16e9…
04-09 09:06:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	1,580	82¢	$1,296	0x853639…
04-08 03:15:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	528	81¢	$428	0xeed23b…
04-08 02:29:19	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xfdc4ed…
04-08 02:20:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x83a3e6…
04-08 02:20:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	453	81¢	$367	0x113c22…
04-08 01:59:37	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,118	0¢	$4	0x8fc58b…
04-07 20:55:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$731	0x051f4e…
04-07 20:53:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,000	82¢	$2,445	0x0076c6…
04-07 20:51:37	will gemini 3pt1 pro preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026 367	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xc24ffd…
04-07 20:51:25	will qwen3pt5 max preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026 366	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xb31d9d…
04-07 20:51:07	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	2,343	0¢	$2	0x91c906…
04-07 20:50:57	will gpt 5pt4 high have the best ai model on april 10 2026 162	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xbd7b11…
04-07 20:50:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	16,874	84¢	$14,090	0x220466…
04-07 20:49:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,352	84¢	$1,129	0xd44b1a…
04-07 20:49:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,774	84¢	$1,482	0xad29d3…
04-07 18:14:03	will gemini 3 flash have the best ai model on april 10 2026 579	Yes	BUY	1,411	0¢	$1	0x9accca…
04-07 18:14:01	will gemini 3 flash have the best ai model on april 10 2026 579	Yes	BUY	1,634	0¢	$2	0xc16db9…
04-07 18:14:01	will gemini 3 flash have the best ai model on april 10 2026 579	Yes	BUY	1,314	0¢	$1	0x096c92…
04-07 18:13:59	will gemini 3 flash have the best ai model on april 10 2026 579	Yes	BUY	641	0¢	$1	0xd090ee…
04-07 18:09:51	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	628	0¢	$1	0x03f295…
04-07 18:09:49	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	901	0¢	$1	0x5b1e25…
04-07 18:09:37	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	927	0¢	$1	0xe91461…
04-07 18:09:37	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	866	0¢	$1	0xa0feea…
04-07 18:09:35	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	958	0¢	$1	0x70ddab…
04-07 18:09:33	will dola seed 2pt0 preview have the best ai model on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x32a524…
04-06 15:30:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	15,218	5¢	$730	0x5393df…
04-06 14:07:51	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x4a007a…
04-06 14:07:39	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	2¢	$7	0xc80541…
04-06 13:46:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	290	4¢	$13	0xd13719…
04-06 12:38:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	20,000	4¢	$900	0x0097bb…
04-06 12:38:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	671	4¢	$30	0xbc5af0…
04-06 08:53:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,601	5¢	$80	0x987941…
04-06 08:51:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0x23d8fb…
04-06 08:51:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0xd566a3…
04-06 08:51:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x716178…
04-06 08:49:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x679d8b…
04-06 08:49:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x883d9a…
04-06 08:49:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	249	5¢	$12	0x1d920b…
04-06 08:26:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xa6c1fe…
04-06 08:26:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	23,999	5¢	$1,214	0x34f3cb…
04-06 08:17:41	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$2	0xac350e…
04-06 08:13:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,700	7¢	$120	0x91cd43…
04-06 07:52:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	9,147	7¢	$613	0xd28b20…
04-06 07:41:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	23,969	14¢	$3,428	0xf72e70…
04-06 07:41:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,526	14¢	$361	0xc8c0d0…
04-06 07:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xf7abe4…
04-06 07:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x13117c…
04-06 07:41:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x60427d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	610	$67.3K	19,342	04-28 08:42
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	517	$45.3M	68,720	05-09 12:49
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	505	$979.3K	86,663	04-30 20:41
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	487	$2.49M	47,651	05-08 17:02
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	484	$153.8K	63,787	04-16 16:19
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	480	$485.3K	44,224	04-06 18:08
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	466	$20.9K	6,097	03-27 21:05
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	453	$383.1K	3,736	05-13 20:00