(anonymous) 0x5ecde7…420787
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$121.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.72K
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
1,471
Trades
17,744
lifetime
Volume
$10.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$564
Open exposure
$96.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
52% 82% +$4,802
Politics
38% 84% -$142,501
Sports
6% 92% +$19,151
Crypto
2% 78% -$3,823
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$114
Tech
1% 83% +$1,367
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -50,000 -$43,425 80¢ $-40250 +$3,175 09-22 08:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -20,000 -$18,500 94¢ $-18700 -$200 09-18 02:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15,000 $3,960 29¢ $4.4K +$390 10-28 19:57
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +4,669 $2,876 88¢ $4.1K +$1,233 10-28 21:17
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +4,230 $3,791 90¢ $3.8K +$6 09-28 10:35
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +3,772 $3,386 94¢ $3.5K +$160 09-25 02:16
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +4,150 $2,732 72¢ $3.0K +$235 10-28 19:05
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +2,360 $2,152 99¢ $2.3K +$176 10-28 14:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $1,610 60¢ $1.8K +$190 10-28 04:20
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,859 $1,524 95¢ $1.8K +$242 09-29 11:10
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +2,000 $1,548 74¢ $1.5K -$78 10-28 15:10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -5,000 -$1,400 29¢ $-1450 -$50 10-11 20:16
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1,450 -$1,338 96¢ $-1391 -$52 09-13 08:55
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +1,313 $814 98¢ $1.3K +$466 09-28 06:58
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +1,000 $869 95¢ $953 +$84 10-28 04:28
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +7,328 $799 13¢ $949 +$150 10-29 14:31
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +919 $561 87¢ $800 +$239 09-28 06:58
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +1,300 $6 60¢ $780 +$774 10-21 07:49
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +954 $458 74¢ $706 +$248 09-15 10:15
will nuscale announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027 No +746 $687 90¢ $668 -$19 09-18 02:06
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,198 -$713 9¢ $-555 +$158 09-18 02:05
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes -4,000 -$560 12¢ $-500 +$60 09-18 02:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +500 $266 67¢ $335 +$69 10-28 17:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +351 $150 95¢ $333 +$183 09-29 08:35
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes -4,000 -$200 6¢ $-240 -$40 09-18 19:27
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +237 $212 90¢ $213 +$1 09-25 02:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +1,859 $353 8¢ $158 -$195 09-29 11:10
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +200 $82 63¢ $126 +$45 09-28 10:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +703 $66 17¢ $119 +$53 10-06 10:33
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +100 $69 87¢ $87 +$18 10-06 16:41