Sweet-Artificer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$225

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

238

Trades

1,368

lifetime

Volume

$438.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

$1.63K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

55% 86% +$8,541

Politics

35% 84% +$6,729

Tech

3% 100% +$316

Crypto

3% 77% +$1,071

Sports

3% 83% +$1,151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	+500	$415	91¢	$455	+$40	09-04 13:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+500	$285	74¢	$372	+$88	04-28 15:16
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+300	$271	98¢	$295	+$24	05-18 11:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+300	$204	82¢	$248	+$43	05-18 12:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+448	$158	38¢	$171	+$12	11-02 10:25
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+100	$74	91¢	$91	+$17	05-18 16:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$25.9K	26,000	0	+26,000	No	+$78	01-01 20:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	98	$22.4K	37,449	29,449	+8,000	Yes	-$154	03-10 16:42
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	+$20	02-03 19:25
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	+$40	01-01 20:52
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	37	$14.3K	14,328	0	+14,328	Yes	+$14	02-11 22:29
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	16	$12.9K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$112	03-04 17:50
will the us strike somalia next 656	4	$12.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$25	01-25 02:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$10.2K	5,224	5,224	+0	No	+$129	03-19 21:03
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	32	$8.9K	4,030	4,938	-908	No	+$34	01-24 16:15
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	5	$8.3K	4,729	3,729	+1,000	No	+$37	01-25 14:37
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	5	$8.1K	8,700	0	+8,700	No	+$565	03-26 09:35
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$25	03-14 22:40
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	13	$7.1K	3,800	3,800	+0	No	+$292	04-29 18:28
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	2	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$37	03-12 20:11
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	18	$6.9K	3,598	3,598	+0	No	+$158	03-20 07:59
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	16	$6.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$21	01-20 21:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	33	$6.6K	4,945	3,652	+1,293	Yes	+$3,025	02-28 22:27
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	3	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$12	03-06 18:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$70	03-19 23:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	36	$5.7K	3,817	4,000	-183	Yes	-$402	01-28 22:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$5.3K	4,700	3,000	+1,700	No	+$1,003	03-27 21:03
ncaa tournament perfect bracket	2	$5.1K	5,200	0	+5,200	No	+$78	03-20 09:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	24	$5.1K	5,663	0	+5,663	No	+$606	03-01 12:33
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$10	01-21 18:28
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$10	02-03 11:46
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	25	$4.9K	2,426	2,478	-52	No	+$26	03-23 18:07
will khamenei leave iran by friday	7	$4.1K	4,200	0	+4,200	No	+$83	01-06 20:59
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$8	03-17 10:46
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$3.8K	4,022	0	+4,022	No	+$185	01-08 22:55
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	15	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$25	01-25 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 10:25:37	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	448	35¢	$158	0xdf445b…
10-25 23:36:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xf73a0b…
10-25 23:35:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	215	94¢	$203	0x00c316…
10-25 23:35:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe6db33…
10-25 23:35:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,320	94¢	$1,246	0xe74d7e…
09-25 09:25:15	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	387	89¢	$345	0xd90228…
09-21 09:11:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	345	100¢	$345	0x2b1d32…
09-15 19:34:31	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x540ec0…
09-15 19:34:24	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x35398e…
09-04 13:12:58	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xa211d3…
08-16 23:34:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$290	0xe75f21…
08-16 10:54:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xd7ff90…
08-16 10:12:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0x4c0588…
08-16 09:10:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x12f269…
08-16 08:52:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xbdc6c1…
08-16 07:25:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd9dffb…
07-21 19:06:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xbf5290…
06-15 15:05:36	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	BUY	558	95¢	$528	0x371166…
06-05 17:57:36	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	735	100¢	$734	0x07d398…
06-05 10:02:36	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0x303855…
06-03 15:36:42	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x99e6fd…
05-29 07:59:01	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?	Yes	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x2a3ab8…
05-29 07:41:30	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$958	0x454374…
05-20 21:00:21	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x1d6991…
05-20 12:53:35	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x1f14fd…
05-18 16:47:06	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xca8970…
05-18 15:34:58	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	84¢	$106	0xf16692…
05-18 12:20:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x0cc6ff…
05-18 11:30:05	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xddf6ef…
05-18 11:16:56	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x072709…
05-18 11:16:31	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x83997c…
05-18 10:24:24	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x9c43bb…
05-18 10:23:58	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xeb1d57…
05-18 10:23:49	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$31	0xcc2504…
05-18 10:15:35	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x42c622…
05-18 10:06:22	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0xa3c6a4…
05-18 10:06:01	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0xa30c7f…
05-18 10:03:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x5e442f…
05-18 09:58:04	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$33	0x666603…
05-18 09:19:42	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	224	93¢	$209	0xc33158…
05-18 09:12:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x992a86…
05-18 09:07:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	883	2¢	$18	0x01a246…
05-18 09:03:56	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	360	97¢	$349	0xd5bb1d…
05-18 08:49:24	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x6371a2…
05-18 08:45:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	700	2¢	$13	0xa73da4…
05-18 08:36:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x5e9791…
05-18 08:32:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x7515b7…
05-18 08:26:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xadc1ba…
05-18 08:26:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x11ca96…
05-18 08:16:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xb25146…
05-18 08:16:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xdaa63c…
05-18 08:16:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xbd28d6…
05-18 08:07:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	264	3¢	$7	0xa028f4…
05-18 08:07:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0xf20bee…
05-18 08:07:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1512be…
05-18 08:00:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xb04059…
05-18 07:58:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xcc417e…
05-18 07:56:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb663db…
05-18 07:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x1712b2…
05-18 07:55:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0xb102aa…
05-18 07:54:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa5cba5…
05-18 07:54:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0cb1d6…
05-12 20:19:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	865	98¢	$847	0xf95029…
04-30 22:34:10	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	408	100¢	$406	0x93ea87…
04-30 20:11:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	353	100¢	$351	0xa1ec4e…
04-30 19:15:04	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x1eb2ac…
04-30 18:33:50	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff93d1…
04-30 16:59:58	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x4d65b9…
04-30 11:14:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x004749…
04-30 10:30:40	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x176c8b…
04-30 10:25:50	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	99¢	$403	0xdce79e…
04-30 10:25:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x259ca2…
04-30 10:21:48	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	289	99¢	$287	0xadb7ba…
04-30 10:20:36	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	906	99¢	$902	0xc21b93…
04-29 18:28:04	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x543e00…
04-29 18:27:42	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	2,236	99¢	$2,216	0xb176ff…
04-29 18:27:02	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x1081f5…
04-29 18:26:28	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x9d9894…
04-29 18:25:22	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x662cab…
04-29 18:16:38	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$904	0x0c850c…
04-29 18:12:20	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$468	0xf46838…
04-29 18:10:52	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	395	92¢	$365	0xdf9108…
04-29 18:10:52	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	105	92¢	$97	0xa35340…
04-29 18:10:32	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$464	0x486d1f…
04-29 18:09:28	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x333b62…
04-29 18:09:18	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	1,508	90¢	$1,354	0x75090f…
04-29 18:09:08	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	292	73¢	$213	0xfe7dff…
04-29 18:04:02	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	No	BUY	163	90¢	$147	0xfa024f…
04-29 17:58:00	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x4854ea…
04-29 17:37:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x0f8efb…
04-28 15:16:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x0ccfbf…
04-28 15:16:26	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x30faa0…
04-28 15:10:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xae57b6…
03-30 06:53:24	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb4c32b…
03-30 05:09:42	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8f06b1…
03-29 22:20:42	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7f53eb…
03-29 02:52:04	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0x974a8f…
03-28 14:02:57	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xbe3478…
03-28 01:56:13	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xed87a9…
03-27 21:03:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x9094da…