Oblong-Junk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

149

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$329

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-10 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 39% +$2

Other

24% 45% -$9

Sports

18% 53% +$6

Politics

11% 33% -$1

Tech

4% 43% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$18	18	14	+4	Yes	+$6	04-06 06:16
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	8	$12	11	11	+0	Hornets	+$2	04-15 02:33
bitcoin above 66k on april 5	4	$10	120	112	+8	Yes	-$2	04-05 09:59
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$7	6	5	+0	Lakers	+$4	04-25 03:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$6	46	44	+2	No	+$0	04-06 01:38
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	04-12 17:10
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 21:10
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	4	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 00:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$1	04-08 00:48
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$5	11	2	+9	Yes	-$1	04-15 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:15 UTC	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-11 19:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$5	5	5	+0	No	-$1	04-15 04:00
dota2 heroic sar1 2026 04 14	3	$5	4	3	+2	Heroic	+$1	04-15 04:02
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$4	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-10 16:12
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	04-13 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:20 UTC	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	04-10 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:55 UTC	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	$0	04-12 21:01
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:10 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$0	04-11 19:14
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	4	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-25 00:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:45 UTC	3	$4	3	2	+2	Up	$0	04-11 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:00 UTC	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	$0	04-15 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:25 UTC	3	$3	4	1	+2	Up	$0	04-11 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:20 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	-$1	04-12 02:23
Will Solana reach $90 in April?	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:30 UTC	3	$3	5	1	+4	Down	-$1	04-11 14:35
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	4	$3	4	4	+0	No	-$1	04-15 06:02
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$3	18	0	+18	Thunder	-$2	05-03 00:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:35 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-11 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:20 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 11:25:43	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xd221a6…
05-10 11:25:36	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x951aa5…
05-10 11:25:31	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xed3131…
05-10 11:25:24	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xa49086…
05-10 11:22:17	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2f8b6c…
05-10 11:22:03	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x95777d…
05-10 11:21:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb41dee…
05-10 11:21:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x727587…
05-10 11:21:29	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xe288ce…
05-06 08:56:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb9f8ab…
05-03 00:40:38	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x755cac…
05-03 00:36:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x42b9cd…
05-03 00:36:40	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x389302…
04-30 21:14:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe3a7d9…
04-30 21:13:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4196cf…
04-30 21:13:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x096726…
04-30 21:11:56	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x1a1294…
04-30 21:11:06	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x81e075…
04-30 21:10:50	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x15b818…
04-30 21:10:36	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x46d33d…
04-30 08:01:36	Will Google have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc488f7…
04-30 08:01:18	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x4c1648…
04-29 20:36:10	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0b4fcd…
04-29 20:35:08	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf2a413…
04-29 20:34:06	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x33c7dd…
04-27 11:47:20	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x0dcf0d…
04-27 02:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1c540a…
04-25 23:57:38	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x532965…
04-25 03:11:48	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xab094c…
04-25 01:10:54	Bitcoin above 77,800 on April 24, 10PM ET?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x8a3c86…
04-25 01:10:36	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x74c1e8…
04-25 00:57:32	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xedefab…
04-25 00:51:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x99c39c…
04-25 00:21:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc8f746…
04-25 00:10:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x192c32…
04-24 02:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xc9de24…
04-24 02:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x64921c…
04-23 23:02:02	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x91dc7d…
04-23 22:59:34	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x3e610a…
04-23 17:41:58	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x741173…
04-23 15:26:38	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2099ed…
04-22 17:25:30	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb5bbc7…
04-22 12:07:48	col1 foc ad1 2026 02 08 ad1	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x12ce6a…
04-21 09:46:16	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x41c107…
04-21 02:25:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x76afd2…
04-17 04:21:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x29414e…
04-17 04:21:12	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5d86f0…
04-15 18:08:04	lol c9 dig 2026 04 15	Cloud9	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5341f6…
04-15 18:06:22	cs2 kol esc1 2026 04 15	ESC Gaming	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3d82dd…
04-15 18:01:42	cs2 furia mouz 2026 04 15	FURIA	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe4d95c…
04-15 18:00:08	cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	Vitality	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x41647b…
04-15 17:59:26	cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	Team Falcons	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb4bf9c…
04-15 06:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x522518…
04-15 06:02:38	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x000864…
04-15 06:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfa7c75…
04-15 06:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8564d2…
04-15 05:58:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xec188d…
04-15 05:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x157402…
04-15 05:51:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd422ae…
04-15 05:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf29eed…
04-15 05:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb00f0…
04-15 05:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd35314…
04-15 05:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0b72f6…
04-15 05:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6807de…
04-15 05:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f6eec…
04-15 05:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x718b90…
04-15 05:32:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x353c54…
04-15 05:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf9c257…
04-15 05:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x12a78f…
04-15 05:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x10cb46…
04-15 04:02:16	dota2 heroic sar1 2026 04 14	Heroic	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xae9f4b…
04-15 04:00:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xefbddc…
04-15 04:00:02	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xfaec23…
04-15 03:05:32	dota2 heroic sar1 2026 04 14	South America Rejects	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb0b0d8…
04-15 03:05:10	dota2 heroic sar1 2026 04 14	Heroic	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x999614…
04-15 03:01:10	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x739ca0…
04-15 02:53:54	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6f8d30…
04-15 02:50:42	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0383e9…
04-15 02:49:44	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x557988…
04-15 02:47:56	nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	Jets	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa7dec6…
04-15 02:40:24	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x36046e…
04-15 02:38:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x43a2e0…
04-15 02:37:20	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x72bac2…
04-15 02:35:26	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x5a7c25…
04-15 02:33:28	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeddad7…
04-15 02:33:08	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x221cd4…
04-15 02:29:42	nhl col cal 2026 04 14	Flames	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x3ec8cb…
04-15 02:24:48	nhl col cal 2026 04 14	Flames	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdf0dc7…
04-15 02:19:42	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3596da…
04-15 01:54:20	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x429dfe…
04-15 01:52:34	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Heat	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x84b5fa…
04-15 01:47:40	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x074f61…
04-15 01:46:56	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Heat	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x020937…
04-15 01:43:34	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Heat	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x99cbbb…
04-15 01:40:42	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Heat	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7b9981…
04-14 07:08:01	col1 foc ad1 2026 02 08 ad1	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd89c43…
04-13 16:29:27	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x92b5d9…
04-13 16:26:01	wti up or down on april 10 2026	Up	SELL	192	0¢	$0	0x7d81dd…
04-13 16:23:29	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xda5468…
04-13 16:23:15	cs2 m8 g2 2026 04 13	Gentle Mates	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x7706dd…