Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$82

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

Trades

34,548

lifetime

Volume

$1.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$6.82K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-09 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

60% 73% $-121

Politics

34% 60% $-128

Crypto

3% 75% +$117

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$127

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+6,829	$6,741	100¢	$6.8K	+$82	06-09 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	23	$74.5K	38,261	38,261	+0	open	—	04-28 13:59
will iran strike israel on march 6	238	$8.9K	6,456	6,442	+14	open	—	03-08 22:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$6.7K	6,829	0	+6,829	open	—	06-09 15:23
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	132	$5.6K	3,574	3,574	+0	open	—	03-06 09:47
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	160	$4.3K	3,448	3,333	+114	open	—	03-30 05:32
will kanye release bully by march 27	137	$4.1K	3,113	3,113	+0	open	—	03-28 06:18
will qatar strike iran by march 31	97	$4.0K	2,992	2,976	+16	open	—	03-09 19:32
italy nordio reform referendum passes	105	$3.7K	2,629	2,629	+0	open	—	03-23 14:55
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	81	$3.6K	2,447	2,289	+158	open	—	03-06 21:20
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	108	$3.6K	2,658	2,657	+0	open	—	03-29 22:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	101	$3.5K	2,791	2,547	+244	open	—	03-27 13:53
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	116	$3.5K	2,635	2,563	+72	open	—	03-05 09:51
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	97	$3.4K	2,206	2,206	+0	open	—	03-14 12:24
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	79	$3.3K	2,335	2,335	+0	open	—	03-28 15:22
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	90	$3.3K	2,280	2,278	+2	open	—	03-28 21:08
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	73	$3.1K	2,420	2,340	+80	open	—	03-05 13:37
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	99	$3.0K	2,754	2,554	+200	open	—	03-08 19:11
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	97	$3.0K	2,190	2,261	-71	open	—	03-28 08:45
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	82	$2.9K	1,924	1,921	+3	open	—	03-28 05:18
will uae strike iran by march 31	70	$2.9K	2,059	2,059	+0	open	—	03-23 11:34
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	78	$2.7K	1,832	1,576	+256	open	—	03-16 01:45
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	67	$2.7K	1,944	1,944	+0	open	—	03-25 04:20
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	62	$2.7K	1,688	1,688	+0	open	—	03-23 12:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	65	$2.7K	1,791	1,591	+200	open	—	03-03 22:14
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	45	$2.6K	1,634	1,544	+90	open	—	03-07 12:57
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	63	$2.6K	1,741	1,541	+200	open	—	03-30 01:33
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	58	$2.6K	2,256	2,256	+0	open	—	03-25 17:39
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 11c	83	$2.5K	1,443	1,423	+20	open	—	03-26 18:46
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	57	$2.5K	1,466	1,466	+0	open	—	03-20 08:51
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	65	$2.5K	1,620	1,469	+151	open	—	03-04 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:23:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$248	0x9bc2c2…
06-09 15:23:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6,578	99¢	$6,492	0x320076…
04-28 13:59:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	7,397	98¢	$7,227	0xf83596…
04-28 13:54:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$977	0xed76a0…
04-28 13:53:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	10,000	98¢	$9,770	0x036b05…
04-28 13:52:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x841cb8…
04-28 13:51:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$391	0x58ed2e…
04-28 12:58:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb7bd61…
04-28 12:57:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$977	0x669ff6…
04-28 12:49:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	778	96¢	$750	0x5f5f11…
04-28 12:39:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20,000	98¢	$19,540	0x54880c…
04-28 12:37:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	17,994	98¢	$17,634	0x2c3732…
04-28 12:36:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	17,994	98¢	$17,544	0x23c7c7…
04-26 20:05:54	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x0dc060…
04-25 17:40:08	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	71	64¢	$45	0xb95bad…
04-19 16:14:28	will velichie velichie win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5ec696…
04-19 12:22:46	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x24db4a…
04-17 18:26:02	will the dhs shutdown last 80 days or more 431	No	BUY	93	26¢	$24	0x7ff87b…
04-17 18:22:04	will the dhs shutdown last 80 days or more 431	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe8a5a5…
04-15 21:10:38	Will Kylian Mbappé record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x95efce…
04-14 19:34:20	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	No	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xc95f72…
04-13 19:00:47	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1f08b6…
04-13 18:34:39	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x534e82…
04-13 18:21:21	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 10 15	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x59b9a0…
04-13 16:05:35	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x969100…
04-13 07:14:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x639522…
04-12 17:45:21	will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2ae88c…
04-12 17:43:53	will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc328a4…
04-12 13:18:19	will tisza win 50 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xf8d928…
04-11 04:27:51	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x5bd9e8…
04-10 03:07:29	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x780aee…
04-09 01:19:25	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdedf20…
04-09 01:18:53	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x7b0af3…
04-08 20:29:11	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0x6aabf0…
04-08 16:54:39	Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x4bcd38…
04-08 10:16:47	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x45ea38…
04-08 05:56:25	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	176	98¢	$172	0xa444c4…
04-07 23:01:11	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x05c021…
04-07 22:56:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x34c1d2…
04-07 22:54:11	Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x701c32…
04-07 22:52:11	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x1a020b…
04-07 22:52:09	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x88a1ef…
04-07 22:52:09	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x0b7f6c…
04-07 22:23:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x06c6ed…
04-07 12:38:59	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x37c51f…
04-07 10:46:53	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1c9a31…
04-07 06:36:59	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xabb415…
04-06 23:13:01	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	98	80¢	$78	0xc7bda6…
04-06 21:33:07	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x55c68d…
04-06 20:26:31	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	90	84¢	$76	0x59f2a0…
04-06 14:35:01	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x0818f9…
04-06 14:06:09	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xeb88a1…
04-06 06:46:17	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcee5fb…
04-06 01:02:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xab5f6a…
04-04 19:34:33	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x832410…
04-04 06:57:23	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x4e2252…
04-04 06:51:21	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xdc39f5…
04-04 06:50:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0xd66f25…
04-04 06:35:41	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	161	84¢	$135	0xb5a547…
04-03 20:12:49	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x5f3f68…
04-03 20:03:27	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe4a61f…
04-03 20:03:19	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x546c3d…
04-03 20:03:07	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x1f2ea8…
04-03 05:07:57	Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x49eac9…
04-03 04:40:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x6625bf…
04-03 02:09:35	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	53¢	$28	0xd898aa…
04-03 00:55:55	will tisza win 46 50 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xc9e77d…
04-02 21:49:41	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xadf0e1…
04-02 21:49:23	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xa376ce…
04-02 19:16:49	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xef26f6…
04-02 19:11:29	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6dbb5a…
04-02 15:31:31	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0x8aa22d…
04-02 14:20:23	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xdce365…
04-02 03:03:35	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4810e7…
04-02 03:02:11	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x90d5f0…
04-02 02:22:47	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x759e02…
04-02 02:22:47	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	125	41¢	$51	0x4d3268…
04-02 01:13:35	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xe758c6…
04-02 01:13:35	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xade7eb…
04-01 23:05:05	highest temperature in mexico city on april 1 2026 23c	No	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0xc45ec7…
04-01 23:04:17	highest temperature in mexico city on april 1 2026 23c	No	BUY	61	14¢	$9	0x8159a0…
04-01 21:56:51	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xeffdf8…
04-01 16:34:41	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	65	68¢	$44	0x4a21e0…
04-01 09:34:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0xfb0a06…
04-01 07:46:33	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0xe84970…
04-01 06:11:17	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xee3ffc…
04-01 02:15:53	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0x0ac6dc…
04-01 01:57:01	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x18f2c9…
03-31 23:49:59	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xafc2ab…
03-31 23:41:17	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x70bf2b…
03-31 23:30:13	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	76	76¢	$58	0x26b5ef…
03-31 23:24:59	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x29c6b1…
03-31 22:07:05	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$4	0xffef6e…
03-31 21:49:23	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	No	SELL	47	88¢	$41	0x210402…
03-31 21:08:55	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0xe9ba30…
03-31 20:17:07	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x51e33b…
03-31 13:33:01	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfe1123…
03-31 13:10:45	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x0b4673…
03-31 12:04:23	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 30 be between 2400000 and 2600000	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1f8d62…
03-31 10:39:07	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xa76e4f…