Realized P&L
+$119.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.20K
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved
588
Trades
7,730
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$200
Open exposure
$49.4K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Politics
69% 54% +$110,285
Other
27% 62% +$13,865
Sports
2% 62% +$395
Tech
1% 27% -$5,799
Crypto
1% 91% +$1,162
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +28,414 $16,795 56¢ $15.8K -$1,026 10-28 01:37
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +6,837 $4,088 64¢ $4.3K +$254 10-26 21:22
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +9,879 $4,446 42¢ $4.2K -$247 10-28 18:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,947 $1,168 98¢ $3.9K +$2,692 10-21 10:22
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,000 $3,500 72¢ $3.6K +$75 09-13 20:48
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +3,426 $2,432 74¢ $2.5K +$86 10-25 20:04
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +3,203 $695 70¢ $2.2K +$1,547 10-26 21:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,849 $1,864 78¢ $2.2K +$344 06-30 05:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,000 -$800 82¢ $-1630 -$830 10-25 22:56
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,000 $531 29¢ $1.4K +$894 09-13 20:34
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +1,668 $1,184 70¢ $1.2K -$8 10-22 07:33
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +4,882 $2,143 22¢ $1.0K -$1,093 09-11 03:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,200 -$823 86¢ $-1031 -$208 05-26 03:27
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,662 $3,154 22¢ $1.0K -$2,152 09-18 19:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,000 -$690 86¢ $-865 -$175 05-25 08:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -882 -$541 97¢ $-858 -$317 05-20 21:59
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +663 -$2,197 94¢ $620 +$2,817 07-21 20:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +7,494 $1,199 6¢ $412 -$787 09-13 04:43
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +11,041 $7,573 2¢ $265 -$7,308 10-22 08:49
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +385 $141 52¢ $200 +$59 10-21 09:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +188 $100 71¢ $134 +$34 10-21 10:23
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$151 42¢ $0 +$151 10-06 20:23