Insignificant-Priesthood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,000

lifetime

Volume

$217.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-16 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

80% 33% $-200

Politics

19% 100% +$103

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	26	$14.9K	11,449	10,028	+1,421	open	—	04-17 18:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	47	$12.4K	7,333	7,333	+0	open	—	04-18 11:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	35	$10.5K	7,290	5,516	+1,775	open	—	04-21 16:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	15	$9.0K	5,038	5,038	+0	open	—	05-16 01:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	15	$6.6K	4,640	4,564	+76	open	—	04-20 21:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$5.0K	10,328	10,328	+0	open	—	04-05 00:26
cs2 uvs wopa 2026 01 09	7	$4.2K	4,249	0	+4,249	open	—	01-09 11:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	72	$4.1K	12,660	12,660	+0	open	—	03-23 19:52
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	22	$4.1K	2,580	2,580	+0	open	—	03-29 09:20
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	31	$3.8K	3,931	3,931	+0	open	—	03-30 15:27
ice shooter charged by march 31	20	$3.7K	3,196	1,222	+1,974	open	—	04-01 00:56
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	26	$3.5K	3,698	440	+3,258	open	—	01-25 23:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	36	$3.4K	3,151	3,091	+60	open	—	03-30 23:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	9	$3.4K	1,846	1,846	+0	open	—	03-23 18:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	12	$3.3K	1,922	1,922	+0	open	—	03-29 10:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	10	$3.2K	2,978	450	+2,528	open	—	03-31 19:36
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	8	$2.9K	2,207	2,207	+0	open	—	04-09 06:16
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	19	$2.8K	2,343	2,081	+262	open	—	03-30 23:51
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	21	$2.7K	1,938	2,218	-279	open	—	02-14 19:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$2.6K	1,636	1,636	+0	open	—	05-16 01:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$2.6K	2,956	2,956	+0	open	—	02-01 00:49
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	59	$2.4K	738	1,762	-1,024	open	—	01-31 21:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	7	$2.4K	1,706	1,684	+22	open	—	04-20 20:58
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	15	$2.4K	2,795	400	+2,395	open	—	02-15 19:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	6	$2.1K	1,103	1,098	+4	open	—	04-08 04:39
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	05-07 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	3	$2.0K	1,199	1,191	+8	open	—	04-20 20:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$1.8K	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	04-01 08:07
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	6	$1.7K	1,250	625	+625	open	—	04-14 17:30
minnesota somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported	6	$1.7K	1,008	756	+252	open	—	02-21 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 01:50:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xda3ca2…
05-16 01:50:37	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0xc565ec…
05-16 01:50:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	333	11¢	$37	0x1831c5…
05-16 01:50:27	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	306	10¢	$32	0x47e358…
05-16 01:50:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	249	22¢	$55	0x949b46…
05-16 01:50:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	294	10¢	$30	0xe6fbef…
05-16 01:50:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	23¢	$77	0x037098…
05-16 01:49:01	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x9c84f0…
05-16 01:48:58	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x4049a7…
05-16 01:48:40	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	118	94¢	$111	0x58f362…
05-16 01:48:21	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	175	92¢	$161	0x740b98…
05-16 01:47:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	253	76¢	$193	0x3816df…
05-16 01:47:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	540	37¢	$200	0x3e6be1…
05-16 01:46:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xc39021…
05-16 01:46:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	400	94¢	$376	0xc24d5f…
05-16 01:45:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	674	89¢	$600	0x9f2ff5…
05-16 01:45:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	SELL	702	87¢	$609	0x6cab1f…
05-16 01:45:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	668	97¢	$647	0x6577db…
05-16 01:42:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	3,437	96¢	$3,306	0xcd40f8…
05-08 16:06:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	97	72¢	$70	0xb05475…
05-08 05:08:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x8063ff…
05-08 05:08:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0x2e9bb7…
05-08 05:08:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x04de4e…
05-08 05:06:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	449	89¢	$400	0x1f8c32…
05-08 05:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	540	56¢	$300	0x4f039d…
05-08 05:04:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	223	96¢	$213	0xc64656…
05-08 05:02:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	870	23¢	$200	0x0c23d0…
05-08 04:56:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0x0f7376…
05-08 04:46:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xab8ac3…
05-07 20:43:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe2665c…
05-07 20:39:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x959975…
05-07 20:35:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9798d0…
05-07 20:21:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xda764c…
05-07 20:17:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x918c39…
05-07 20:17:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x54d33f…
05-07 20:15:35	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	526	99¢	$520	0x5e8aef…
05-07 06:16:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xdb638b…
05-07 06:15:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	565	18¢	$100	0x3e582e…
05-07 05:34:38	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	526	99¢	$518	0xf2203a…
05-07 03:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	162	8¢	$13	0x56936b…
05-07 02:24:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xf17ceb…
05-06 20:40:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	600	94¢	$564	0x8e1d43…
05-06 20:13:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xc94b01…
05-06 19:56:40	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	306	10¢	$30	0x6da73d…
05-04 17:53:50	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x562de2…
05-03 18:35:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xe0b2b1…
05-02 18:06:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xe2e32c…
05-02 17:55:26	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfc8f75…
05-02 17:12:10	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xfc0557…
05-02 05:11:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xa52b50…
05-02 05:11:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x99aae9…
05-02 02:47:48	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x8dc2a2…
04-30 23:31:10	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x56fc9e…
04-30 19:13:44	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcfacca…
04-30 19:10:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0xe9095b…
04-30 19:07:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0xfa26f5…
04-30 08:30:22	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xa5d298…
04-30 05:57:28	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7ae522…
04-30 05:55:50	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x16cea2…
04-30 05:55:44	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x419948…
04-30 05:49:40	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xbe7b77…
04-30 05:48:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xff9c3b…
04-30 05:48:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x006e6a…
04-30 05:47:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0x98129c…
04-29 22:18:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x304c48…
04-29 20:33:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	121	90¢	$109	0xfc4b15…
04-29 19:14:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	769	91¢	$700	0xb6f672…
04-29 09:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x8d4060…
04-29 08:10:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xfaa29a…
04-27 21:01:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xa8dd93…
04-27 05:13:12	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xab940e…
04-27 04:36:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	130	66¢	$86	0x9f382c…
04-27 02:33:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xe9e627…
04-26 21:43:04	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x794bc5…
04-26 19:34:46	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x013cb8…
04-26 16:56:30	Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xe1a859…
04-26 10:50:36	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xa2fba5…
04-26 09:49:32	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7780b3…
04-26 07:22:48	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x56a19c…
04-26 07:21:36	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	74	15¢	$11	0x88e77c…
04-26 06:34:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfe53be…
04-26 06:34:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3c4631…
04-26 06:26:32	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	77	17¢	$13	0x370c77…
04-26 06:24:02	Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd690f6…
04-26 06:21:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x5a7951…
04-26 06:17:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x7dac78…
04-26 06:07:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x72b811…
04-26 06:06:06	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x63fa3d…
04-26 06:05:54	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd9a28d…
04-26 06:05:44	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x6fb573…
04-26 06:04:48	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xa24fd2…
04-26 06:01:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xab6831…
04-26 05:59:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x5087db…
04-26 03:34:30	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xe37db7…
04-26 03:30:10	Major US official out by April 30?	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x0346b9…
04-26 01:10:16	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb1c192…
04-25 20:32:52	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	91	54¢	$49	0xbebb0c…
04-25 18:30:08	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xd4b196…
04-25 18:25:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	SELL	211	3¢	$6	0xc2a561…
04-25 18:11:00	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x2b95da…