Realized P&L
+$5.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.25K
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
437
Trades
2,075
lifetime
Volume
$247.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$18.7K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-16 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
79%
48%
+$8,831
Politics
19%
52%
-$3,540
Sports
1%
30%
+$480
Crypto
0%
20%
-$16
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | -7,735 | -$4,090 | 82¢ | $-6304 | -$2,214 | 05-16 01:42 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -5,439 | -$3,825 | 84¢ | $-4541 | -$716 | 05-16 01:42 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -3,797 | -$3,266 | 97¢ | $-3689 | -$423 | 05-16 01:43 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -2,517 | -$2,076 | 96¢ | $-2403 | -$327 | 05-16 01:44 | |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | -600 | -$358 | 84¢ | $-507 | -$149 | 05-16 01:45 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | -328 | -$194 | 90¢ | $-294 | -$100 | 05-02 18:17 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -295 | -$177 | 86¢ | $-255 | -$78 | 05-16 01:45 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | -268 | -$150 | 92¢ | $-246 | -$96 | 05-16 01:48 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | -244 | -$153 | 92¢ | $-223 | -$69 | 05-06 20:02 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | -154 | -$97 | 84¢ | $-130 | -$32 | 05-16 01:49 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | -177 | -$37 | 45¢ | $-80 | -$42 | 05-07 02:26 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | 26 | $14.9K | 11,449 | 10,028 | +1,421 | Yes | +$658 | 04-17 18:18 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 47 | $12.4K | 7,333 | 7,333 | +0 | No | +$1,140 | 04-18 11:55 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | 35 | $10.5K | 7,290 | 5,516 | +1,775 | No | +$691 | 04-21 16:23 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 15 | $9.0K | 5,038 | 5,038 | +0 | No | +$296 | 05-16 01:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 15 | $6.6K | 4,640 | 4,564 | +76 | No | +$1,213 | 04-20 21:12 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 23 | $5.0K | 10,328 | 10,328 | +0 | Yes | -$2,831 | 04-05 00:26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 2 | $4.4K | 400 | 5,839 | -5,439 | open | — | 05-16 01:42 |
| cs2 uvs wopa 2026 01 09 | 7 | $4.2K | 4,249 | 0 | +4,249 | WOPA Esport | +$49 | 01-09 11:22 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 72 | $4.1K | 12,660 | 12,660 | +0 | Yes | +$1,085 | 03-23 19:52 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | 5 | $4.1K | 22 | 7,758 | -7,735 | open | — | 05-16 01:42 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294 | 22 | $4.1K | 2,580 | 2,580 | +0 | No | +$799 | 03-29 09:20 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 31 | $3.8K | 3,931 | 3,931 | +0 | No | +$591 | 03-30 15:27 |
| ice shooter charged by march 31 | 20 | $3.7K | 3,196 | 1,222 | +1,974 | No | +$505 | 04-01 00:56 |
| will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31 | 26 | $3.5K | 3,698 | 440 | +3,258 | Yes | -$2,761 | 01-25 23:10 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 36 | $3.4K | 3,151 | 3,091 | +60 | No | +$767 | 03-30 23:39 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 9 | $3.4K | 1,846 | 1,846 | +0 | No | +$273 | 03-23 18:35 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621 | 12 | $3.3K | 1,922 | 1,922 | +0 | No | +$430 | 03-29 10:36 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 1 | $3.3K | 0 | 3,797 | -3,797 | open | — | 05-16 01:43 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 10 | $3.2K | 2,978 | 450 | +2,528 | No | +$175 | 03-31 19:36 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 8 | $2.9K | 2,207 | 2,207 | +0 | No | -$531 | 04-09 06:16 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 19 | $2.8K | 2,343 | 2,081 | +262 | No | +$873 | 03-30 23:51 |
| will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28 | 21 | $2.7K | 1,938 | 2,218 | -279 | No | +$521 | 02-14 19:13 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 7 | $2.6K | 1,636 | 1,636 | +0 | No | -$89 | 05-16 01:46 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 11 | $2.6K | 2,956 | 2,956 | +0 | No | +$118 | 02-01 00:49 |
| will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026 | 59 | $2.4K | 738 | 1,762 | -1,024 | No | +$14 | 01-31 21:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | 7 | $2.4K | 1,706 | 1,684 | +22 | No | +$102 | 04-20 20:58 |
| will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437 | 15 | $2.4K | 2,795 | 400 | +2,395 | No | +$733 | 02-15 19:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 2 | $2.1K | 0 | 2,517 | -2,517 | open | — | 05-16 01:44 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | 6 | $2.1K | 1,103 | 1,098 | +4 | No | +$65 | 04-08 04:39 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 3 | $2.0K | 1,316 | 1,316 | +0 | open | — | 05-16 01:45 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||