Sardonic-Lentil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.20K

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,165

lifetime

Volume

$5.41M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.30K

Open exposure

$136.8K

10 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-29 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$672

Sports

26% 86% +$4,994

Other

17% 100% +$5,413

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-96,195	$-78,561	86¢	$-83209	$-4,648	06-27 12:22
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+19,175	$15,564	86¢	$16.5K	+$927	06-17 12:19
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	-10,219	$-12,675	100¢	$-10209	+$2,465	06-29 09:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+11,583	$9,103	86¢	$10.0K	+$916	06-27 12:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	+7,782	$6,216	90¢	$7.0K	+$827	06-13 16:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	+5,480	$4,537	94¢	$5.1K	+$587	06-28 13:40
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	+4,152	$3,764	94¢	$3.9K	+$118	06-28 14:29
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	-394	$-358	99¢	$-392	$-34	06-11 02:47
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	+236	$209	100¢	$236	+$27	06-01 20:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+210	$166	84¢	$175	+$9	06-23 11:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	99	$203.8K	459,389	19,653	+439,736	open	—	02-28 16:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	111	$192.9K	120,467	120,467	+0	open	—	04-22 17:35
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	77	$177.4K	186,169	106,664	+79,505	open	—	04-08 03:47
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	7	$161.8K	162,294	0	+162,294	open	—	03-05 22:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	120	$144.9K	134,213	134,213	+0	open	—	04-22 03:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	458	$141.7K	320,973	0	+320,973	open	—	02-25 18:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	54	$138.5K	85,945	85,945	+0	open	—	04-22 00:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	80	$136.5K	88,332	88,332	+0	open	—	04-21 22:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	35	$131.0K	74,321	74,321	+0	open	—	05-06 20:56
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	43	$128.4K	84,490	50,200	+34,290	New York Mets	+$6,190	05-07 04:24
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	54	$124.7K	96,649	96,517	+132	open	—	04-04 18:05
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	113	$123.2K	74,325	74,325	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$1,699	05-09 02:16
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	5	$116.2K	116,512	0	+116,512	open	—	03-05 07:17
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	26	$107.5K	56,229	56,229	+0	Athletics	+$4,710	05-09 02:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$105.5K	107,612	0	+107,612	open	—	03-04 21:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	173	$99.7K	871,691	79,009	+792,682	open	—	03-08 23:02
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	36	$88.7K	47,797	51,000	-3,203	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$10,000	05-07 04:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	39	$88.6K	5,963	102,158	-96,195	open	—	06-27 12:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$84.3K	46,871	46,871	+0	open	—	04-08 15:10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	10	$77.5K	40,770	40,770	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$3,925	05-07 02:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	29	$65.2K	79,728	69,838	+9,890	open	—	04-07 23:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$57.7K	30,450	30,450	+0	open	—	05-22 04:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	30	$55.0K	29,288	29,288	+0	open	—	04-26 20:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	86	$54.3K	27,776	37,996	-10,219	open	—	06-29 09:45
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	37	$52.2K	52,424	8,424	+43,999	open	—	03-31 22:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$51.0K	28,220	28,220	+0	open	—	05-25 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	45	$49.6K	62,364	6,000	+56,364	open	—	04-30 04:16
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	17	$48.8K	25,435	25,435	+0	Ducks	+$2,015	05-07 04:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	103	$48.8K	33,243	33,243	+0	open	—	03-30 23:33
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	26	$47.3K	88,977	0	+88,977	open	—	02-28 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 09:46:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1,327	89¢	$1,181	0x9b4438…
06-29 09:45:44	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1,190	99¢	$1,181	0x6761d9…
06-29 06:18:16	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1,680	89¢	$1,495	0x2c686e…
06-29 06:17:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1,499	99¢	$1,490	0x54986c…
06-29 06:17:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	575	89¢	$512	0x869d65…
06-28 21:08:49	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	1,626	94¢	$1,528	0x5998df…
06-28 20:53:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$493	0xc0c287…
06-28 20:42:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	895	99¢	$883	0x9971ef…
06-28 20:40:23	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	4,245	93¢	$3,948	0x429229…
06-28 20:40:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,948	0x0868a9…
06-28 20:38:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0x7a81de…
06-28 20:30:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0xbeaf3c…
06-28 20:30:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	870	99¢	$859	0xfaec98…
06-28 20:30:05	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	3,448	87¢	$3,000	0xaa92b6…
06-28 20:29:47	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,975	0x92cb1d…
06-28 20:29:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1,085	99¢	$1,072	0xb8a37b…
06-28 14:29:08	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	3,083	92¢	$2,837	0x66cb97…
06-28 14:28:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	2,773	92¢	$2,551	0xb85262…
06-28 14:27:43	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	1,662	91¢	$1,512	0x3345d8…
06-28 14:27:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	7,000	99¢	$6,909	0x8fd005…
06-28 13:40:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	116	89¢	$103	0x0eefe5…
06-28 13:39:58	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x21bf21…
06-28 13:39:49	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	7,609	92¢	$7,000	0xc9f41b…
06-28 13:39:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	2,064	86¢	$1,767	0xbf2f15…
06-28 13:39:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	10,000	99¢	$9,870	0x153657…
06-27 19:24:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	2,318	85¢	$1,970	0x686dd6…
06-27 19:24:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,970	0x78d29c…
06-27 12:23:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	517	84¢	$434	0x637994…
06-27 12:22:56	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xe42b16…
06-27 12:22:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1,353	84¢	$1,139	0xc5bc73…
06-27 12:22:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	86¢	$2,580	0x757aa3…
06-26 21:09:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	1,576	87¢	$1,371	0xd755cd…
06-26 21:08:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	1,598	92¢	$1,470	0x66bf4e…
06-26 21:07:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1,753	86¢	$1,500	0x7ddeca…
06-26 21:05:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0xafa093…
06-26 21:04:17	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	5,090	85¢	$4,350	0x0bb825…
06-26 21:03:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0x563039…
06-25 08:04:22	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	88	92¢	$81	0x8a9344…
06-25 08:04:04	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	No	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0x89effd…
06-25 08:02:26	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	2,941	94¢	$2,765	0xd6090b…
06-25 08:01:32	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	3,809	87¢	$3,314	0xa42568…
06-25 08:00:56	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x98d7a4…
06-25 08:00:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	6,157	100¢	$6,127	0x8d48f6…
06-24 15:59:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	8,378	89¢	$7,456	0x7ea84a…
06-24 15:58:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	402	84¢	$338	0x1f967b…
06-24 15:58:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	3,138	100¢	$3,122	0xec924c…
06-24 15:58:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	4,704	99¢	$4,676	0xbe0d6a…
06-23 11:39:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	2,599	94¢	$2,443	0xbf2106…
06-23 11:36:13	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	382	90¢	$344	0x7e47c4…
06-23 11:35:29	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	210	79¢	$166	0xbcaaae…
06-17 18:06:35	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	SELL	688	16¢	$108	0xa6d676…
06-17 17:29:01	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	SELL	1,000	14¢	$141	0xa48fa1…
06-17 17:23:52	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	2,022	18¢	$369	0x23903d…
06-17 17:21:58	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	600	21¢	$126	0x6039d8…
06-17 17:19:08	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1,000	19¢	$190	0x827c55…
06-17 16:28:08	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1,000	18¢	$180	0xb11097…
06-17 16:26:05	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	760	19¢	$144	0x572ca4…
06-17 16:03:01	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1,000	21¢	$211	0x5320f0…
06-17 16:01:10	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	172	30¢	$52	0xca4405…
06-17 15:46:38	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1,000	41¢	$408	0x33b4de…
06-17 15:40:53	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1,000	46¢	$464	0x9d493b…
06-17 15:40:10	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	1,000	52¢	$517	0x9d8d19…
06-17 14:03:19	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xb4f137…
06-17 14:02:34	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xb18760…
06-17 14:00:28	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x5074e9…
06-17 13:37:40	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	No	BUY	897	83¢	$742	0x1529f0…
06-17 13:37:17	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1,151	87¢	$1,000	0x839b4f…
06-17 13:35:34	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	180	86¢	$155	0x690355…
06-17 13:28:46	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	407	81¢	$330	0x5cd563…
06-17 12:25:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xad3979…
06-17 12:24:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,425	93¢	$1,322	0xf333ab…
06-17 12:24:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	434	92¢	$400	0x616dd1…
06-17 12:24:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	542	91¢	$494	0x2f80d5…
06-17 12:24:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x998494…
06-17 12:22:29	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	328	92¢	$302	0x29bc8c…
06-17 12:20:58	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	299	92¢	$275	0x644337…
06-17 12:20:13	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	4,647	93¢	$4,322	0x81a181…
06-17 12:19:26	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	14,602	82¢	$12,000	0x1e4ca0…
06-14 19:16:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x928fe0…
06-14 19:15:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	86	73¢	$63	0x7d5505…
06-14 19:15:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2,205	73¢	$1,605	0x03664a…
06-14 19:14:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	84¢	$1,680	0x4bb5db…
06-14 19:13:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	928	72¢	$668	0x3bc055…
06-14 19:13:40	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1,127	55¢	$620	0x98494e…
06-14 19:13:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	170	71¢	$121	0x614f73…
06-14 19:12:57	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	280	60¢	$169	0x60e337…
06-14 19:12:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x04a7c8…
06-14 19:12:34	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x1b5622…
06-14 19:03:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0xff911d…
06-14 19:03:03	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x293420…
06-14 19:02:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	79	70¢	$55	0xcb161d…
06-14 19:02:43	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xc7f8d0…
06-14 19:02:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb86a2d…
06-14 19:02:18	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x83f48e…
06-14 18:39:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	96	79¢	$76	0xa2ad35…
06-14 18:38:48	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	122	63¢	$77	0x6d4f5e…
06-14 18:38:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	69	77¢	$53	0xab017f…
06-14 18:38:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0xfe7671…
06-14 18:37:54	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	90	64¢	$58	0xfb17b7…
06-14 18:37:48	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x6007ea…