Sardonic-Lentil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,563

lifetime

Volume

$6.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.33K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 08-11 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$672

Sports

23% 86% +$4,994

Other

17% 100% +$5,413

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	99	$203.8K	459,389	19,653	+439,736	open	—	02-28 16:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	111	$192.9K	120,467	120,467	+0	open	—	04-22 17:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	57	$187.0K	56,899	170,916	-114,017	open	—	08-12 03:44
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	77	$177.4K	186,169	106,664	+79,505	open	—	04-08 03:47
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	7	$161.8K	162,294	0	+162,294	open	—	03-05 22:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	120	$144.9K	134,213	134,213	+0	open	—	04-22 03:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	458	$141.7K	320,973	0	+320,973	open	—	02-25 18:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	54	$138.5K	85,945	85,945	+0	open	—	04-22 00:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	80	$136.5K	88,332	88,332	+0	open	—	04-21 22:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	35	$131.0K	74,321	74,321	+0	open	—	05-06 20:56
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	43	$128.4K	84,490	50,200	+34,290	New York Mets	+$6,190	05-07 04:24
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	54	$124.7K	96,649	96,517	+132	open	—	04-04 18:05
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	113	$123.2K	74,325	74,325	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$1,699	05-09 02:16
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	5	$116.2K	116,512	0	+116,512	open	—	03-05 07:17
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	26	$107.5K	56,229	56,229	+0	Athletics	+$4,710	05-09 02:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$105.5K	107,612	0	+107,612	open	—	03-04 21:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	173	$99.7K	871,691	79,009	+792,682	open	—	03-08 23:02
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	36	$88.7K	47,797	51,000	-3,203	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$10,000	05-07 04:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$84.3K	46,871	46,871	+0	open	—	04-08 15:10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	10	$77.5K	40,770	40,770	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$3,925	05-07 02:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	15	$75.0K	37,663	37,663	+0	open	—	08-02 21:27
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	45	$66.2K	37,226	37,226	+0	open	—	08-04 23:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	29	$65.2K	79,728	69,838	+9,890	open	—	04-07 23:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	22	$61.9K	31,339	31,339	+0	open	—	08-05 06:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$57.7K	30,450	30,450	+0	open	—	05-22 04:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	30	$55.0K	29,288	29,288	+0	open	—	04-26 20:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	86	$54.3K	27,776	37,996	-10,219	open	—	06-29 09:45
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	37	$52.2K	52,424	8,424	+43,999	open	—	03-31 22:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$51.0K	28,220	28,220	+0	open	—	05-25 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	45	$49.6K	62,364	6,000	+56,364	open	—	04-30 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 03:46:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	474	98¢	$463	0x2ed710…
08-12 03:45:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	342	97¢	$333	0x315636…
08-12 03:44:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4,126	82¢	$3,383	0xf29592…
08-12 02:42:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0xb90663…
08-12 02:24:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x0bf78d…
08-12 02:13:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x7c61fd…
08-12 01:06:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,259	73¢	$1,640	0x749fde…
08-12 01:06:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x227666…
08-11 21:11:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8,632	95¢	$8,200	0x80be8d…
08-11 21:10:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	82¢	$8,200	0xc0f586…
08-11 21:09:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	25,895	95¢	$24,600	0xe20dd2…
08-11 21:09:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30,000	82¢	$24,600	0xcedf10…
08-11 21:08:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x951b78…
08-11 21:08:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3,158	95¢	$3,000	0x116772…
08-11 21:08:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4,337	95¢	$4,120	0x1e4624…
08-11 21:07:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1,110	79¢	$872	0x4c54c8…
08-11 21:07:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	82¢	$8,200	0xd27471…
08-10 21:32:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,938	96¢	$1,860	0x03dd3c…
08-10 21:31:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xba58e1…
08-10 21:31:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	195	95¢	$185	0xc25214…
08-10 21:30:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	199	93¢	$185	0xc1390f…
08-10 16:21:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	623	96¢	$598	0x89b62e…
08-10 16:12:31	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	2,012	95¢	$1,911	0xc626ec…
08-10 16:01:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	196	95¢	$186	0x64c8e1…
08-10 16:00:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x67bb8a…
08-10 16:00:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	444	95¢	$422	0x159c3e…
08-10 16:00:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	453	93¢	$421	0xa7b6f2…
08-09 20:34:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4,873	93¢	$4,532	0x502d39…
08-09 20:34:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,151	93¢	$2,000	0xd6f149…
08-09 20:33:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	6,335	95¢	$6,018	0x80fbce…
08-09 20:32:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3,700	94¢	$3,478	0x5405a2…
08-09 20:16:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	16,077	100¢	$16,029	0x39d2ab…
08-07 11:36:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	425	88¢	$374	0x484013…
08-07 11:36:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,939	89¢	$1,726	0x5535cc…
08-07 11:35:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2,206	95¢	$2,098	0x76a1f2…
08-07 02:10:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,604	82¢	$1,315	0xaf7bb8…
08-06 12:44:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	415	89¢	$369	0xc00c9b…
08-06 12:44:15	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xd754b4…
08-06 12:44:05	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	318	99¢	$315	0x36e2da…
08-05 20:12:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,895	94¢	$1,781	0xf16189…
08-05 20:12:06	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,825	98¢	$1,783	0x8c126d…
08-05 20:10:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,261	93¢	$1,167	0x5cdb2e…
08-05 20:10:00	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$977	0xba26bd…
08-05 20:09:47	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	No	SELL	182	98¢	$179	0xba4ce2…
08-05 18:00:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1,148	87¢	$999	0x691309…
08-05 17:58:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	654	87¢	$569	0x08d09a…
08-05 17:57:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2,137	95¢	$2,030	0x35ea45…
08-05 17:56:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	3,616	100¢	$3,608	0x128198…
08-05 13:15:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9,159	85¢	$7,785	0xe506c3…
08-05 13:15:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	7,800	100¢	$7,784	0x912a0d…
08-05 11:06:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0x966600…
08-05 11:06:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6,362	84¢	$5,344	0x1201e4…
08-05 11:06:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,788	84¢	$2,342	0x0aafa9…
08-05 11:04:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	602	86¢	$518	0x58dcb5…
08-05 11:04:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0x3db939…
08-05 11:03:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xcba328…
08-05 06:27:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	11,036	100¢	$11,014	0xd08860…
08-05 05:53:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc2f5b8…
08-05 04:11:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xd6108e…
08-05 03:50:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb3a616…
08-05 03:17:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1bf8e4…
08-05 02:57:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11,732	85¢	$9,972	0x392c70…
08-05 02:56:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,970	0xf85038…
08-05 01:22:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11,894	84¢	$9,991	0xf7c9fc…
08-05 01:05:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	559	88¢	$492	0xe17e6d…
08-05 01:00:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3,022	83¢	$2,508	0x85712c…
08-05 00:59:44	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x22b48a…
08-04 23:44:00	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1,135	96¢	$1,090	0x514dd0…
08-04 23:43:02	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2,407	95¢	$2,287	0x0feaa2…
08-04 23:42:54	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xd3f307…
08-04 23:42:48	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xb48f63…
08-04 23:42:45	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x0e05b5…
08-04 23:42:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	3,997	100¢	$3,989	0x255e82…
08-04 23:40:33	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3,165	95¢	$2,995	0x50b24f…
08-04 23:40:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0x93372e…
08-04 23:39:03	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	235	95¢	$223	0x35c357…
08-04 23:38:42	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	263	95¢	$250	0xda06b9…
08-04 23:38:23	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xa5bbf9…
08-04 23:38:11	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xd96556…
08-04 23:37:50	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	625	96¢	$600	0x079422…
08-04 23:37:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x39edbd…
08-04 23:37:14	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0xc0cd87…
08-04 23:36:57	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xae2333…
08-04 23:36:24	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x9e249d…
08-04 23:35:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0x57ad44…
08-04 23:35:02	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	541	96¢	$519	0x771a53…
08-04 23:34:24	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xc032cb…
08-04 23:34:15	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	301	96¢	$289	0x1b4f0e…
08-04 23:34:12	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	301	96¢	$289	0xc52eca…
08-04 23:29:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	1,025	87¢	$890	0x52b8e4…
08-04 23:29:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0xd13dc2…
08-04 13:46:17	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,887	94¢	$1,773	0x7afb48…
08-04 13:41:03	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	1,896	90¢	$1,706	0x823065…
08-04 13:40:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,886	92¢	$1,735	0xc926fa…
08-04 13:35:30	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,130	87¢	$1,853	0x04ec02…
08-04 13:34:51	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,119	93¢	$2,901	0xe19148…
08-04 07:32:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	9,674	100¢	$9,665	0x79a9b8…
08-04 07:14:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3427da…
08-04 06:51:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0xea6023…
08-04 06:27:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb1ac4b…