Realized P&L
+$11.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.7K
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
48
Trades
4,280
lifetime
Volume
$5.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.29K
Open exposure
$97.6K
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 07-21 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$672
Sports
26% 86% +$4,994
Other
18% 100% +$5,413
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -96,953 $-79,144 72¢ $-70291 +$8,854 07-16 22:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +19,114 $15,511 88¢ $16.7K +$1,214 07-21 19:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7,782 $6,216 76¢ $5.9K $-302 06-13 16:23
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +4,132 $3,744 96¢ $4.0K +$239 07-21 19:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -493 $-1,559 84¢ $-411 +$1,148 07-11 20:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -254 $-830 92¢ $-234 +$596 07-10 13:55