Sardonic-Lentil 0x88c491…f1129a
whale hot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$65.2K
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
440
Trades
6,486
lifetime
Volume
$11.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.73K
Open exposure
$1.06M
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 10-26 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
68% 71% +$17,678
Other
19% 84% +$10,584
Sports
13% 89% -$21,529
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -697,584 -$623,741 82¢ $-568531 +$55,210 10-10 13:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +167,860 $142,676 92¢ $155.3K +$12,594 10-26 16:56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +124,744 $116,026 92¢ $114.1K -$1,885 10-26 14:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +106,711 $88,112 84¢ $90.2K +$2,058 10-24 23:03
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +73,416 $71,005 98¢ $72.2K +$1,200 10-26 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -33,086 -$26,138 94¢ $-30935 -$4,797 04-30 20:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +6,370 $6,176 98¢ $6.2K +$35 10-26 12:10
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -7,159 -$7,921 86¢ $-6192 +$1,729 10-02 19:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +6,825 $5,802 84¢ $5.8K -$35 10-14 11:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +2,966 $2,622 92¢ $2.7K +$92 10-26 04:37
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -2,741 -$2,485 97¢ $-2657 -$173 05-22 12:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +626 $565 97¢ $609 +$44 10-23 17:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +4 -$88 100¢ $4 +$91 10-26 15:29
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +0 $947 74¢ $0 -$947 10-24 15:46