Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

8,240

lifetime

Volume

$64.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-15 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

64% 29% $-161

Politics

25% 50% +$1

Crypto

9% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	No	-22	$-19	83¢	$-19	+$1	07-15 13:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	16¢	$3	+$0	07-15 14:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+10	$1	28¢	$3	+$1	06-14 21:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	No	-1	$-1	77¢	$-1	$-0	06-16 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
maduro mugshot released by monday	131	$1.3K	1,958	420	+1,538	open	—	01-05 13:52
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	27	$1.0K	1,200	1,000	+200	open	—	02-08 16:39
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	75	$901	971	1,030	-59	open	—	01-15 14:52
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	33	$690	610	515	+95	open	—	01-05 19:48
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	46	$628	903	1,088	-185	open	—	01-19 10:05
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	33	$563	1,146	1,000	+146	open	—	02-08 16:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	44	$558	485	435	+50	open	—	01-15 14:51
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	33	$545	271	289	-18	open	—	01-08 05:10
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	49	$505	671	416	+255	open	—	02-23 23:53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	46	$500	689	549	+140	open	—	02-18 10:49
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	17	$493	260	250	+10	open	—	02-23 21:10
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	14	$491	250	250	+0	open	—	02-10 09:56
us strikes yemen by december 31	11	$461	264	274	-10	open	—	01-01 16:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	24	$447	1,235	1,252	-17	open	—	04-30 14:57
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in january 418	51	$425	493	200	+293	open	—	02-13 13:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	43	$421	925	705	+220	open	—	01-23 19:55
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	3	$409	0	410	-410	open	—	01-01 16:32
clavicular charged by jan 31	26	$389	1,978	2,335	-357	open	—	01-01 19:03
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 380 399	25	$385	480	100	+380	open	—	02-18 17:02
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	33	$379	294	304	-11	open	—	01-31 02:58
spx up or down on february 6 2026	30	$375	872	0	+872	open	—	02-06 14:22
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	12	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 12:15
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in january 965	81	$361	596	173	+423	open	—	02-13 11:37
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of february 882 138 877 117 343 764 976	12	$353	182	182	+0	open	—	02-24 15:09
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	36	$351	490	200	+290	open	—	01-15 13:48
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	34	$326	511	431	+80	open	—	03-30 02:42
will israel strike lebanon on january 6 2026	16	$323	181	171	+10	open	—	01-06 13:11
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	20	$318	280	170	+110	open	—	01-05 19:48
spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	6	$288	200	200	-0	open	—	02-12 07:32
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	9	$288	200	150	+50	open	—	02-10 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 14:17:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x59c962…
07-15 13:13:13	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0x21aa9b…
06-16 13:06:16	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xb384e6…
06-14 21:31:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x46cc47…
06-04 23:05:34	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcf7dc6…
05-20 16:14:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x694d7a…
05-06 13:36:00	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x929d66…
05-06 11:45:42	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x3685a3…
05-06 11:45:38	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x836b10…
05-01 17:27:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xf962ad…
05-01 15:28:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xcb7e0f…
05-01 13:23:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xef9f5d…
05-01 13:05:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x9c8fd0…
04-30 19:40:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x9c5649…
04-30 19:31:12	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xfb75e4…
04-30 18:14:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x88590e…
04-30 17:40:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5fb6a5…
04-30 16:59:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xa9f41b…
04-30 16:29:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc3a2f0…
04-30 16:27:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xcbdaf4…
04-30 15:19:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x47fbf9…
04-30 14:57:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x9270f3…
04-30 14:57:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x361ad6…
04-30 14:49:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$0	0x3f534e…
04-30 14:49:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	243	0¢	$0	0xdb0668…
04-30 14:48:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x0dc98f…
04-30 14:48:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x53b844…
04-30 14:48:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x55b080…
04-30 14:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5fdd8d…
04-30 14:37:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	210	0¢	$0	0x7df622…
04-30 14:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	955	0¢	$1	0xd09745…
04-30 14:35:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3551ac…
04-30 14:34:08	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x79d5ce…
04-30 14:32:50	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2f98f8…
04-30 14:29:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x433c3c…
04-30 04:18:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0x3164fb…
04-30 04:06:04	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x1af91f…
04-29 16:28:18	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x2fbb94…
04-29 15:58:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8e030e…
04-29 15:13:56	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x8648d8…
04-29 15:00:18	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe84669…
04-29 15:00:16	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x0c075f…
04-29 14:54:36	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd35753…
04-29 14:53:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xccf9fa…
04-29 14:33:00	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$18	0x351e93…
04-29 14:28:28	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xadad8a…
04-29 14:23:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$8	0xb9a24b…
04-29 14:18:24	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0xa297af…
04-27 13:45:56	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x082fe1…
04-27 07:30:36	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xe0a425…
04-27 07:18:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5a20cf…
04-27 07:09:36	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xb9ea35…
04-26 10:18:54	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0xe9f189…
04-26 07:41:28	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9de3ec…
04-25 22:05:18	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xbbe07a…
04-25 00:04:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x5b9160…
04-24 18:22:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x55833e…
04-24 17:11:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xe774d3…
04-24 17:07:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x880d6c…
04-24 08:08:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$25	0x001e44…
04-24 07:08:14	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4be579…
04-23 17:58:28	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xb12767…
04-23 17:56:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$25	0x614966…
04-23 01:58:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x948d44…
04-22 15:31:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x482c66…
04-22 15:23:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6f1fc8…
04-22 12:03:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x6e3d9f…
04-22 11:52:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x188b29…
04-22 11:21:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x135dd9…
04-22 11:08:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xd749d0…
04-22 11:07:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x65e171…
04-22 08:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x37bb88…
04-22 05:52:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd88c82…
04-22 01:48:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x9aea97…
04-22 01:06:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe295c7…
04-22 00:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x9da695…
04-21 23:26:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x10d701…
04-21 20:03:54	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x9ed0b7…
04-21 16:59:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x4477fb…
04-21 16:25:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0xdde015…
04-21 15:48:26	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xfce300…
04-21 15:26:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x4cc015…
04-21 14:49:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$21	0x5f41a4…
04-20 23:12:00	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xb3abec…
04-20 23:11:20	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xc0f07b…
04-20 20:39:22	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x314ed9…
04-20 14:52:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$19	0xab9dc9…
04-20 14:00:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x877598…
04-20 13:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x169ee2…
04-20 13:58:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x2853ec…
04-20 13:44:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x7d38e1…
04-20 13:43:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x115dca…
04-20 12:08:12	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x724197…
04-20 11:57:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x0a04c5…
04-20 11:48:48	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xc57947…
04-20 11:33:30	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb1bb87…
04-20 09:35:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x31de55…
04-20 08:47:16	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcd8dce…
04-20 08:45:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$29	0x4c9374…
04-20 07:25:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0xf0d6ee…