Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$115

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$97.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$398

Open exposure

$3.45K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-12 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

66% 0% $-3,736

Other

33% 50% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+3,814	$3,336	90¢	$3.5K	+$115	06-12 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$7.5K	7,518	0	+7,518	open	—	03-14 21:28
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$6.7K	6,684	0	+6,684	open	—	02-22 04:06
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	1	$5.0K	5,144	0	+5,144	open	—	01-19 08:24
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$5.0K	4,989	0	+4,989	open	—	01-18 22:04
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	1	$4.6K	4,762	0	+4,762	open	—	03-04 13:11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$4.0K	2,595	2,595	+0	open	—	04-03 16:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$4.0K	4,096	0	+4,096	open	—	04-04 22:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.7K	3,870	0	+3,870	Yes	$-3,736	05-08 11:14
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	1	$3.6K	3,630	0	+3,630	open	—	01-10 16:07
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$3.6K	3,000	750	+2,250	open	—	01-13 20:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	9	$3.3K	3,814	0	+3,814	open	—	06-12 14:05
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$3.2K	3,216	0	+3,216	open	—	01-15 04:27
will henrique gouveia e melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$3.1K	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	01-18 22:02
will lus marques mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$2.6K	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	01-18 21:59
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$2.5K	2,506	0	+2,506	open	—	02-25 02:03
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$2.5K	2,496	0	+2,496	open	—	02-24 02:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$2.4K	1,444	1,444	+0	open	—	02-25 11:12
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$2.4K	2,487	0	+2,487	open	—	02-25 21:04
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	5	$2.0K	1,508	650	+858	open	—	02-27 02:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,960	0	+1,960	open	—	03-29 15:26
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$1.8K	928	928	-0	open	—	01-18 22:00
will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	15	$1.8K	1,861	0	+1,861	open	—	03-05 07:02
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	15	$1.8K	1,009	939	+70	open	—	01-18 22:00
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$1.8K	1,794	0	+1,794	open	—	01-10 16:04
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	5	$1.7K	1,740	0	+1,740	open	—	02-27 21:02
will lus marques mendes win between 24 and 26 of votes in the first round	38	$1.7K	838	838	+0	open	—	01-18 21:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$1.5K	1,512	0	+1,512	open	—	01-25 22:18
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	12	$1.4K	1,509	0	+1,509	open	—	02-23 17:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$1.3K	1,320	0	+1,320	open	—	02-27 21:03
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	3	$1.0K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-25 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:05:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	308	87¢	$268	0xc87d08…
06-12 13:46:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	154	87¢	$134	0xdb3ac8…
06-12 13:02:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x32eb0f…
06-12 12:29:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x7ce98d…
06-12 11:29:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0xa46aaf…
06-12 11:27:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x3d927a…
06-12 09:31:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x57a726…
06-12 05:55:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	897	87¢	$780	0x350723…
06-12 00:45:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	375	98¢	$369	0xf1b73b…
06-12 00:02:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$139	0x4b9b66…
06-11 23:36:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9b4b75…
06-11 23:03:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xb5b2b5…
06-11 22:47:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x759752…
06-11 21:50:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,808	88¢	$1,591	0x777c32…
06-11 21:49:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	198	98¢	$195	0x261294…
05-08 11:14:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,467	97¢	$3,349	0xcdc51d…
05-07 18:28:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	96¢	$338	0x8ffe05…
05-07 18:27:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x184ae6…
05-07 18:24:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa8f287…
04-26 09:18:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,029	100¢	$1,025	0x5b1c11…
04-15 15:32:16	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x7ab481…
04-15 15:32:00	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x9de861…
04-15 15:30:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xe76a41…
04-15 15:28:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x970b8c…
04-15 15:24:34	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	96	72¢	$69	0xbb29d2…
04-15 15:23:50	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	403	72¢	$290	0x7c730d…
04-15 15:23:06	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	153	73¢	$111	0x4c165f…
04-15 14:49:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x267f3d…
04-12 13:45:59	will progressive bulgaria pb win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x8bda59…
04-08 17:42:59	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$58	0x0295d4…
04-08 16:54:51	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x830399…
04-08 15:24:49	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x004dd8…
04-08 15:22:29	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa0fd32…
04-08 13:30:33	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf3679c…
04-08 11:45:37	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9646ed…
04-08 08:07:37	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc6e717…
04-08 07:31:47	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb9e692…
04-08 06:23:51	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5bf4cc…
04-07 23:37:17	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	339	0¢	$1	0xa90856…
04-04 23:51:23	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x89eb6f…
04-04 22:05:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,096	98¢	$4,031	0x0389f8…
04-04 22:02:19	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7dca8c…
04-04 22:02:17	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	334	80¢	$267	0xeb7ae1…
04-04 22:00:43	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	268	94¢	$252	0x1f785b…
04-03 21:25:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xeedbee…
04-03 16:12:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0x86277c…
04-03 16:08:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,095	90¢	$1,886	0x415b9c…
04-01 05:16:01	Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?	No	BUY	99	90¢	$89	0xa0650c…
03-31 23:55:11	Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?	No	BUY	179	94¢	$168	0xda7554…
03-31 07:24:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	288	99¢	$286	0x8d101d…
03-29 15:26:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	435	97¢	$422	0xc091d3…
03-28 11:43:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,440	65¢	$936	0xbebf26…
03-28 11:15:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,155	66¢	$762	0xf6e2c7…
03-28 11:12:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde69e8…
03-28 11:12:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	459	97¢	$445	0x5d40a9…
03-28 11:08:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,065	97¢	$1,033	0x3044ba…
03-28 08:35:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	42¢	$26	0x13f738…
03-28 08:34:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xa68e20…
03-27 22:29:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x6e05f4…
03-27 22:26:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	179	98¢	$175	0x491cf1…
03-27 22:25:05	will progressive bulgaria pb win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	262	98¢	$257	0x20b771…
03-27 22:24:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 75 79 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	360	97¢	$349	0x458e4b…
03-27 22:16:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	398	96¢	$382	0x78633d…
03-27 22:15:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x32dc95…
03-14 21:28:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,407	100¢	$7,385	0x56fc78…
03-14 21:28:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x09ddb0…
03-06 22:31:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x701ede…
03-06 14:26:29	will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x946b9f…
03-05 23:38:11	will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xafc6d4…
03-05 23:35:59	will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x37e39b…
03-05 22:26:07	will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x58f0e3…
03-05 07:02:41	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd74611…
03-04 13:11:03	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	4,762	96¢	$4,562	0x640a3f…
03-04 13:10:11	will pcc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	861	100¢	$858	0xd0db98…
03-04 13:08:33	will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xe56b8f…
02-27 21:03:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	372	99¢	$368	0x50aaee…
02-27 21:02:21	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	266	99¢	$264	0xbd608c…
02-27 21:02:11	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0x32a9e8…
02-27 02:25:38	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x8b04cc…
02-27 00:27:34	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xbc385d…
02-27 00:25:34	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x408471…
02-27 00:23:36	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0xd35455…
02-26 13:38:44	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x852be9…
02-26 11:41:06	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xcc19dd…
02-26 11:36:48	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0x1b85e3…
02-26 11:36:30	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	165	95¢	$157	0xa98edd…
02-26 11:36:06	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	163	96¢	$156	0xf184b5…
02-26 11:35:52	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	179	96¢	$171	0x301290…
02-26 11:35:40	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	179	96¢	$171	0x181d0a…
02-26 11:35:28	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	194	95¢	$185	0xd90c3c…
02-26 11:35:18	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	75	94¢	$70	0x5a224c…
02-26 11:35:10	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xeab759…
02-26 11:35:10	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	1,056	96¢	$1,019	0x46aca8…
02-26 06:02:46	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	650	99¢	$641	0xb2f26c…
02-25 22:01:32	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xda0e12…
02-25 22:01:30	will wesley hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x3a1620…
02-25 21:04:26	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x9c0f11…
02-25 13:43:36	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	143	96¢	$138	0x169ecf…
02-25 13:21:26	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x8eeb8d…
02-25 13:15:14	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x4a1243…