Realized P&L
-$4.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$420
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
206
Trades
1,279
lifetime
Volume
$66.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$4.37K
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 08-08 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
53% 64% +$2,644
Politics
38% 30% -$7,047
Crypto
8% 48% -$477
Tech
0% 100% +$40
Sports
0% 100% +$66
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -943 -$804 97¢ $-918 -$114 08-08 16:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -815 -$734 98¢ $-795 -$62 08-08 16:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -820 -$762 96¢ $-783 -$20 08-08 16:11
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -474 -$378 95¢ $-451 -$73 08-08 16:11
US recession by end of 2026? No -406 -$370 94¢ $-384 -$14 08-08 16:11
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -385 -$351 86¢ $-330 +$21 08-08 16:10
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -282 -$251 99¢ $-279 -$28 08-08 16:11
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -221 -$186 98¢ $-216 -$30 08-08 16:04
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -194 -$46 98¢ $-190 -$144 08-08 16:04
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -598 -$66 4¢ $-22 +$44 08-08 16:10