Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,111
lifetime
Volume
$43.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$435
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-21 02:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
28%
Tech
13%
Sports
8%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +111 $51 58¢ $65 +$14 07-05 07:52
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +96 $50 58¢ $56 +$6 06-24 11:26
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +84 $45 64¢ $54 +$9 06-28 00:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +77 $50 68¢ $52 +$2 07-20 14:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +111 $47 42¢ $46 $-1 07-06 09:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +96 $30 42¢ $40 +$11 06-26 04:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -111 $-53 36¢ $-39 +$14 06-16 16:38
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +97 $36 34¢ $33 $-2 06-04 21:28
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +84 $39 36¢ $30 $-9 06-21 18:47
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $2 24¢ $7 +$5 07-20 13:50
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? Yes +9 $-3 43¢ $4 +$6 07-17 16:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2 $-0 82¢ $2 +$2 06-15 14:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3 $-0 56¢ $2 +$2 06-29 05:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $0 88¢ $1 +$1 06-26 03:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-0 79¢ $1 +$1 06-13 17:16
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $-2 16¢ $1 +$3 07-09 22:28
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 07-07 10:10
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 $0 $-2 06-29 00:22