Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,577
lifetime
Volume
$32.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$933
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 06:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
44%
Politics
29%
Tech
16%
Sports
9%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +193 $122 64¢ $123 +$1 06-29 03:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +239 $98 40¢ $95 $-3 06-30 14:57
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $75 54¢ $76 +$1 07-01 07:08
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +122 $74 56¢ $69 $-5 06-30 08:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +111 $43 60¢ $67 +$24 06-30 22:23
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +96 $50 55¢ $53 +$3 06-24 11:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -111 $-53 44¢ $-48 +$5 06-16 16:38
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +55 $50 84¢ $46 $-4 06-30 04:42
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays +111 $50 39¢ $43 $-7 06-30 03:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +96 $30 45¢ $43 +$14 06-26 04:31
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +84 $39 52¢ $43 +$5 06-21 18:47
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +84 $45 48¢ $41 $-4 06-28 00:28
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? Yes +74 $26 46¢ $34 +$9 06-29 15:49
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +97 $36 35¢ $34 $-2 06-04 21:28
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +200 $34 16¢ $31 $-3 07-01 07:51
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +94 $23 27¢ $26 +$3 06-30 03:36
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +79 $15 16¢ $13 $-2 06-29 00:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +55 $10 20¢ $11 +$0 06-16 20:17
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +39 $7 22¢ $9 +$2 07-01 06:26
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +71 $5 11¢ $8 +$3 06-30 08:42
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $7 18¢ $6 $-1 06-30 23:42
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $5 12¢ $4 $-0 06-23 23:19
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +26 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 06-23 22:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3 $-0 80¢ $2 +$2 06-29 05:59
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2 $-0 76¢ $2 +$2 06-15 14:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $0 84¢ $1 +$1 06-26 03:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-0 64¢ $1 +$1 06-13 17:16
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +3 $2 22¢ $1 $-2 06-29 00:22