Rare-Netball 0x03e1b2…71e180 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$661
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
1,313
Trades
10,279
lifetime
Volume
$257.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$10.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 10-22 12:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
61% 35% -$1,552
Politics
29% 37% -$353
Tech
6% 45% -$45
Sports
3% 52% +$190
Crypto
1% 17% -$41
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,844 $2,814 82¢ $3.2K +$357 07-26 15:11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,160 $2,061 97¢ $3.1K +$1,013 09-13 13:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +3,844 $1,047 18¢ $673 -$374 08-03 10:53
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +555 $375 96¢ $530 +$155 08-01 04:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +600 $474 86¢ $513 +$39 07-28 22:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +423 $243 82¢ $349 +$106 09-14 18:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +243 $158 72¢ $176 +$18 10-05 17:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +180 $161 96¢ $174 +$13 09-14 20:22
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +200 $187 86¢ $173 -$14 08-03 10:26
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +200 $150 74¢ $148 -$2 10-05 18:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +163 $126 87¢ $142 +$15 09-28 16:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +132 $86 99¢ $131 +$44 09-20 19:34
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +125 $131 94¢ $118 -$13 09-07 19:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +130 $61 90¢ $118 +$57 09-12 15:50
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +125 $58 86¢ $108 +$50 09-23 13:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +153 $124 68¢ $104 -$20 10-12 09:17
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +100 $39 99¢ $99 +$60 09-02 09:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +130 $88 74¢ $96 +$8 10-12 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +130 $56 74¢ $96 +$40 10-02 15:42
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +92 $45 98¢ $90 +$45 08-21 18:18
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +117 $64 77¢ $90 +$26 09-26 13:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +600 $120 15¢ $87 -$33 07-28 22:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,160 $1,105 3¢ $85 -$1,020 08-19 19:53
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +98 $47 78¢ $77 +$30 09-05 04:48
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +79 $50 93¢ $74 +$24 06-19 20:11
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +107 $81 68¢ $73 -$7 09-23 17:08
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +84 $45 82¢ $68 +$23 06-28 00:28
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $66 67¢ $67 +$2 09-26 14:41
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +80 $60 84¢ $67 +$7 10-09 18:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +106 $53 62¢ $66 +$13 10-07 13:43