Realized P&L
-$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
11,297
Trades
66,736
lifetime
Volume
$295.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 09-10 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
58% 44% -$7,986
Crypto
31% 75% -$974
Politics
9% 20% -$587
Sports
1% 15% -$919
Tech
0% 14% -$54
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 1588 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +270 $121 88¢ $239 +$118 08-02 21:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +287 $165 64¢ $185 +$20 08-03 02:59
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $126 90¢ $179 +$53 07-26 23:10
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572 No +200 $96 52¢ $105 +$8 07-29 11:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +287 $121 36¢ $102 -$19 07-31 13:33
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572 Yes +200 $104 48¢ $95 -$9 07-26 19:52
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +80 $47 70¢ $56 +$10 08-02 21:21
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +103 $48 54¢ $55 +$8 08-01 14:21
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +103 $55 46¢ $48 -$7 08-01 16:10
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +45 $25 100¢ $45 +$20 07-26 21:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +61 $32 70¢ $43 +$11 08-04 13:07
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50 $17 70¢ $35 +$19 08-16 23:27
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +35 $16 98¢ $34 +$19 08-15 03:53
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +34 $26 99¢ $34 +$7 07-13 00:44
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +49 $27 66¢ $32 +$6 08-16 03:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +270 $149 12¢ $31 -$118 08-02 04:55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +46 $31 62¢ $28 -$3 08-02 21:35
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +40 $23 62¢ $25 +$2 08-06 08:06
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +80 $33 30¢ $24 -$9 07-31 21:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +200 $72 11¢ $21 -$51 07-26 21:30
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +61 $32 30¢ $18 -$14 07-30 00:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +46 $20 38¢ $17 -$3 08-01 23:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +49 $25 34¢ $17 -$9 08-01 10:57
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $19 38¢ $15 -$4 08-06 08:04
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $29 30¢ $15 -$14 08-10 02:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $12 54¢ $11 -$1 08-02 21:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $15 46¢ $9 -$6 08-17 05:58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4 $13 66¢ $3 -$11 08-02 21:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $5 34¢ $2 -$4 08-04 08:59
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +35 $17 2¢ $1 -$16 08-06 01:24