Soulful-Controversy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

199

Trades

617

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-20 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

58% 42% +$13

Politics

21% 54% +$3

Sports

15% 40% -$5

Crypto

3% 50% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% 17% $0

Tech

1% 9% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	5¢	$0	+$0	10-12 19:03
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+5	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	10-09 03:19
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-09 03:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	32	$90	204	204	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 20:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$68	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 20:50
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	9	$63	35	35	+0	No	+$0	03-16 00:35
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	20	$61	52	52	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 23:06
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$41	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 02:15
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	9	$36	42	30	+12	Yes	-$3	05-31 14:27
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-16 00:11
cs2 ta zomb 2026 03 21	2	$21	20	20	+0	Team Aether	+$3	03-22 02:56
will avatar fire and ash win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 01:57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 20:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-18 18:41
will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	4	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 18:26
nba mia hou 2026 03 21	3	$18	26	26	+0	Rockets	+$0	03-22 00:41
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	5	$15	15	10	+5	Yes	$0	06-26 02:34
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	06-01 12:29
will enrique leao win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	5	$15	15	13	+2	No	+$1	03-21 23:28
nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	2	$14	16	16	+0	Canadiens	-$3	03-22 00:07
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	3	$13	10	15	-5	Yes	-$2	03-17 00:53
cbb day ncw 2026 03 21	3	$13	30	30	+0	Dayton Flyers	-$4	03-22 00:14
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$12	10	5	+5	No	+$1	03-16 02:30
hok wz mtg 2026 03 22	1	$12	20	0	+20	Mighty Tiger Gaming	-$12	03-22 03:06
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-31 22:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-18 18:41
will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-16 00:23
nhl tor ott 2026 03 21	2	$10	30	30	+0	Senators	$0	03-22 00:07
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-15 23:55
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-16 00:16
New pandemic in 2026?	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	10-09 01:26
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-16 21:21
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 06:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd63aba…
10-20 00:12:33	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x14c2bc…
10-19 20:44:38	Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xac4ebf…
10-13 01:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x62d658…
10-12 19:03:45	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0e9060…
10-10 01:53:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x96f3ca…
10-09 09:12:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x43eb60…
10-09 05:16:47	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x668ca1…
10-09 03:50:29	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x112ee5…
10-09 03:19:09	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x527552…
10-09 03:19:03	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x483fa6…
10-09 03:18:59	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x1597b8…
10-09 02:23:29	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8021f1…
10-09 02:04:26	Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x061565…
10-09 01:26:33	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x272aed…
10-08 23:53:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x24b2b4…
10-08 17:05:26	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb41960…
10-08 01:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xff19f2…
10-07 16:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd84775…
10-07 14:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb987d6…
10-07 14:16:08	Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8bc5cb…
10-07 05:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x03bfc6…
10-07 04:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x68120c…
10-07 03:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd18520…
10-06 23:30:01	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd05bc3…
10-06 16:21:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x61664b…
10-06 11:08:18	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x107fa5…
10-06 10:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x647752…
10-06 06:10:28	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xacdd31…
10-06 04:01:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xddaeb2…
10-06 03:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf21add…
10-05 18:31:43	Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x40682d…
09-27 17:20:11	Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x318bc8…
09-23 15:26:31	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf2d1c8…
09-16 01:51:36	Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f0da6…
07-25 16:53:34	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd024c5…
07-14 20:46:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x19c5bc…
07-14 20:27:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa5dfcf…
07-14 20:24:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1bd256…
07-14 20:22:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf5e00a…
07-14 13:07:58	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8eccbe…
07-13 17:24:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3819e6…
07-13 17:24:17	Will Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe9df62…
07-13 17:24:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x56ed59…
07-13 17:24:11	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc90cbd…
07-13 17:24:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc44b8a…
07-13 17:24:02	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbdb7d8…
07-13 17:23:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x15928b…
07-13 17:23:55	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x96e35a…
07-13 17:23:50	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x01f30c…
07-13 17:23:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x983c06…
07-13 17:23:44	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5099b0…
07-13 17:23:41	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7cd817…
07-13 17:23:37	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb5f991…
07-13 17:23:34	Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x73dd90…
07-13 17:23:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9c3150…
07-13 17:23:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x389055…
07-13 17:23:22	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x646578…
07-13 17:23:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf0d0f3…
07-13 17:23:16	Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x4ee7d2…
07-13 17:23:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc0a318…
07-13 17:23:07	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x69eb39…
07-13 17:23:04	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x70728b…
07-13 17:23:01	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x197191…
07-13 17:22:56	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x720282…
07-13 17:22:53	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x1f50b4…
07-13 17:22:49	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x3e782f…
07-13 17:22:41	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xabecb1…
07-13 17:22:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x342fc6…
07-13 17:03:13	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd87e62…
07-13 09:00:53	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x82e124…
07-12 16:03:13	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe5c758…
07-12 01:43:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x75d8ba…
07-12 00:28:14	Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x998c7d…
07-12 00:15:07	Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x58b228…
07-11 22:39:32	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4f0d8d…
07-11 22:24:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4a7c9f…
07-11 19:10:46	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x472daa…
07-11 18:34:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x44c823…
07-11 17:51:02	Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf9442d…
07-11 16:24:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x34cdac…
07-11 14:13:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc85922…
07-11 08:44:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe3afba…
07-11 08:43:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9860a9…
07-11 03:46:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2b52dd…
07-11 02:25:49	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7e3d13…
07-11 02:20:50	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe58c99…
07-04 11:43:16	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd344ba…
06-30 02:06:08	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xf3033d…
06-29 06:06:04	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x19f218…
06-29 03:11:47	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb91ee6…
06-29 01:49:26	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf1dbe7…
06-27 12:46:08	Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x64bd3c…
06-27 12:26:34	Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc38119…
06-26 10:27:50	Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc5f99b…
06-26 05:23:10	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x023adf…
06-26 02:34:31	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1671e0…
06-25 20:42:05	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xde1094…
06-25 11:25:17	Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x45a568…
06-25 00:32:31	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf68196…