Live-Piglet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-19 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

33% 0% $-1

Crypto

33% 0% $-15

Other

29% 0% $-16

Sports

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776622800	2	$106	86	82	+4	open	—	04-19 18:25
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	4	$85	1,268	1,268	+0	open	—	05-17 19:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$80	61	61	+0	open	—	05-29 08:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$76	222	300	-78	open	—	06-16 08:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	5	$76	3,350	0	+3,350	open	—	06-14 23:20
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	3	$65	293	129	+164	open	—	05-25 08:16
btc updown 5m 1776615600	5	$49	38	38	+0	open	—	04-19 16:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$40	991	0	+991	open	—	06-11 20:17
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	2	$40	340	0	+340	open	—	06-05 23:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$36	0	51	-51	open	—	06-17 19:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$32	0	38	-38	open	—	06-03 21:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	07-19 13:34
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$22	0	31	-31	open	—	06-03 21:33
btc updown 5m 1776633000	2	$20	213	0	+213	open	—	04-19 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 10:20
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$19	120	120	+0	open	—	06-22 01:42
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$18	0	29	-29	open	—	06-03 21:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$17	142	0	+142	open	—	04-16 08:07
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$15	100	0	+100	open	—	07-19 13:36
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	1	$15	110	0	+110	open	—	05-29 08:57
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	1	$15	46	0	+46	open	—	05-29 08:57
btc updown 5m 1776633300	2	$15	202	0	+202	open	—	04-19 21:18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	3	$13	374	0	+374	open	—	06-21 12:07
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	1	$12	0	51	-51	open	—	06-14 21:32
btc updown 5m 1776616800	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	04-19 16:42
btc updown 5m 1776616200	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	04-19 16:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	$-10	04-19 21:22
btc updown 5m 1776618600	1	$10	250	0	+250	open	—	04-19 17:13
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	06-16 10:13
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	07-19 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 13:36:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xdeaf66…
07-19 13:36:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x8be304…
07-19 13:34:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x87c270…
06-22 10:20:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x006149…
06-22 01:42:38	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0x15d67d…
06-21 19:35:14	btc updown 15m 1782070200	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8dc445…
06-21 19:35:14	btc updown 15m 1782070200	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x602090…
06-21 12:07:35	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf86ed4…
06-21 12:07:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x5c6a41…
06-21 12:04:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x52d81c…
06-19 09:45:28	btc updown 5m 1781862300	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x27a2fa…
06-17 20:09:17	btc updown 15m 1781726400	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5c0279…
06-17 20:09:16	btc updown 15m 1781726400	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6922d9…
06-17 20:08:17	mlp tex stl 2026 06 17	Texas Ranchers	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x4fafbf…
06-17 20:06:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8a9c41…
06-17 20:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf4ae94…
06-17 20:01:55	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	1,093	0¢	$5	0xb4ccba…
06-17 20:00:07	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0xe2d76a…
06-17 19:59:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x0372f9…
06-17 19:58:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	70¢	$36	0x8aaba7…
06-16 10:16:18	btc updown 5m 1781604900	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb6c3e8…
06-16 10:15:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbaa8c6…
06-16 10:14:42	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xea797c…
06-16 10:14:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5bfa6c…
06-16 10:13:21	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3e1eb3…
06-16 10:13:01	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x1bcd9c…
06-16 08:33:57	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x82780f…
06-16 08:33:52	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcab798…
06-16 08:33:39	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x62604b…
06-16 08:33:19	will usd fall to 1pt7m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xfad20f…
06-16 08:33:07	will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa92a9c…
06-16 08:28:21	btc updown 5m 1781598300	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xba307f…
06-16 08:11:09	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0746a9…
06-16 08:03:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x8325ec…
06-16 08:03:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	12¢	$36	0x63a79b…
06-14 23:20:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	1,401	0¢	$4	0xeafabf…
06-14 23:16:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	1,336	1¢	$10	0xd39d1a…
06-14 21:35:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	414	3¢	$12	0x61d2b0…
06-14 21:32:33	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	SELL	51	24¢	$12	0x7a5c3a…
06-14 08:38:54	crint rwa bra2 2026 06 14	Brazil	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfc3dcf…
06-12 23:41:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x8b5b83…
06-12 23:41:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5d3702…
06-11 20:55:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x7d981f…
06-11 20:19:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x6d8e75…
06-11 20:17:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	991	4¢	$40	0x9bbe7d…
06-05 23:11:48	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x10deb3…
06-04 06:40:10	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x84ec04…
06-04 06:34:58	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdaf736…
06-04 06:34:58	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2d3f90…
06-04 05:31:10	btc updown 15m 1780551000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x25b6ac…
06-03 21:47:43	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	155	19¢	$30	0xf009cc…
06-03 21:44:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	38	82¢	$32	0xb39a6c…
06-03 21:36:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x20feea…
06-03 21:33:16	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x51ff0b…
06-03 21:32:54	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0x86b40c…
05-29 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0f9a18…
05-29 09:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa46578…
05-29 09:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1638cf…
05-29 09:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd8ff09…
05-29 09:06:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x168e4c…
05-29 08:57:58	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0xc87532…
05-29 08:57:34	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	14¢	$15	0xda96dd…
05-29 08:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x5bd6f0…
05-25 21:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x66280f…
05-25 20:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xca3c2f…
05-25 08:17:40	World Championships: USA vs. Hungary	Hungary	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x6d7174…
05-25 08:17:35	Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane	Thanasi Kokkinakis	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbd3198…
05-25 08:17:14	Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek	Emerson Jones	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x519b50…
05-25 08:17:03	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Botswana	Cameroon	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x5110e3…
05-25 08:16:00	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0x091c3e…
05-21 20:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x4957a6…
05-21 20:28:19	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	SELL	129	4¢	$5	0xc33fa3…
05-21 20:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x50038c…
05-21 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd18cda…
05-20 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd3eee7…
05-18 10:20:21	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf099a0…
05-18 10:15:58	ITF Kosice: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Nikola Farkasova	Nikola Farkasova	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xffc6a0…
05-18 10:15:30	World Championships: Canada vs. Denmark	Denmark	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x01cf64…
05-18 10:14:41	ITF Kosice: Ayla Aksu vs Kali Supova	Kali Supova	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1d681a…
05-18 10:14:17	Bengaluru 3: Ryuki Matsuda vs Yusuke Takahashi	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa5620a…
05-18 10:14:11	Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura	Kokoro Isomura	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9d9db7…
05-18 09:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9b31cb…
05-17 19:14:12	Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xff138a…
05-17 19:13:09	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xebadbb…
05-17 19:11:50	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,268	1¢	$9	0x1f59d1…
05-17 12:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x23f88c…
05-17 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7b481c…
05-15 23:17:40	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x300e44…
05-13 21:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xb1b693…
05-12 23:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3c3cf6…
05-11 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdd148e…
05-05 20:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x685f0c…
05-05 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5174c3…
05-05 20:06:10	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,207	6¢	$70	0x29b2c3…
05-05 20:05:10	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x242fb0…
05-01 22:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9ae76f…
05-01 10:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x996e03…
05-01 09:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xaa748b…
05-01 09:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3b27f0…
04-30 20:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8cf42b…