Far-Probability 0x1c50c2…7ed904 Create alert
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$110
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
73.9%
Resolved
678
Trades
1,183
lifetime
Volume
$3.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$8
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 09-10 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
72% 51% -$63
Sports
18% 50% -$42
Crypto
5% 58% +$4
Politics
5% 53% -$8
Tech
1% 62% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 09-10 05:18
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 04-29 21:27
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +11 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 07-14 21:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +36 $4 2¢ $1 -$4 07-22 05:35
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +19 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 08-03 20:20
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +16 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 08-11 07:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? Yes +16 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-30 17:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 08-29 16:32
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-31 15:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-14 21:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -10 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 11:52
fetterman leaves the democrats by december 31 2026 Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-10 05:17