Realized P&L
-$765
Unrealized P&L
-$115
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved
272
Trades
2,020
lifetime
Volume
$48.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.97K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 10:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
52% 62% -$899
Other
44% 58% -$212
Tech
2% 100% +$350
Pop-Culture
1% 33% +$11
Crypto
1% 67% +$3
Sports
0% 40% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,036 $966 97¢ $1.0K +$37 08-01 03:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +903 $831 99¢ $892 +$61 08-12 14:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -240 -$37 92¢ $-221 -$185 09-29 17:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No -213 -$183 98¢ $-208 -$25 05-01 15:57
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -202 -$185 93¢ $-188 -$3 07-24 15:11
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -180 -$161 99¢ $-179 -$18 05-01 07:47
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -147 -$148 98¢ $-144 +$4 10-22 10:36
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -60 -$53 98¢ $-59 -$6 05-03 09:52
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? No -49 -$44 94¢ $-46 -$2 05-09 01:25
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -98 -$49 28¢ $-28 +$22 06-16 04:17