Outlandish-Treatment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

816

lifetime

Volume

$156.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

$6.04K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-09 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 72% $-2,035

Other

7% — —

Sports

7% 60% +$193

Politics

6% 100% +$180

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+5,319	$5,000	94¢	$5.0K	+$27	06-09 03:52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+1,053	$1,000	96¢	$1.0K	+$9	06-09 03:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	11	$6.0K	7,577	718	+6,859	Down	+$1,317	05-08 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	7	$5.8K	6,313	0	+6,313	Down	+$513	05-08 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$5.3K	5,599	0	+5,599	Down	+$265	05-08 22:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$5.0K	5,319	0	+5,319	open	—	06-09 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$4.2K	4,552	0	+4,552	Up	$-4,200	05-08 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$4.0K	4,227	0	+4,227	open	—	05-20 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	8	$3.8K	4,091	311	+3,780	Down	$-265	05-08 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$3.6K	3,699	0	+3,699	open	—	04-28 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$3.4K	3,565	0	+3,565	Down	$-23	05-08 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$2.8K	2,937	0	+2,937	open	—	05-20 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	7	$2.7K	3,011	43	+2,967	open	—	05-20 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$2.7K	3,817	0	+3,817	Down	+$175	05-08 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$2.6K	2,942	1,153	+1,789	open	—	04-28 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$2.4K	2,801	0	+2,801	Up	+$401	05-08 07:54
nba phx por 2026 02 03	6	$2.1K	3,370	0	+3,370	open	—	02-04 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$2.0K	2,294	2,294	+0	Up	$-1,957	05-08 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$2.0K	3,098	0	+3,098	open	—	04-28 06:41
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2.0K	2,062	0	+2,062	open	—	05-23 03:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	17	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$180	05-08 12:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-11 23:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-08 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$1.7K	1,680	157	+1,524	open	—	05-20 06:39
wta badosa sasnovi 2026 02 02	12	$1.6K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-02 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$1.6K	1,927	0	+1,927	Down	$-1,600	05-08 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	17	$1.5K	1,990	1,081	+909	open	—	05-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$1.4K	2,300	140	+2,160	Up	+$725	05-08 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$1.4K	1,689	526	+1,163	Up	+$193	05-08 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$1.3K	1,429	311	+1,118	Up	$-142	05-08 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$1.3K	1,467	937	+529	open	—	05-20 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$1.3K	1,505	0	+1,505	Up	+$205	05-07 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:47:36	btc updown 5m 1781055900	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x704669…
06-10 01:29:42	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x809da5…
06-10 01:27:49	btc updown 5m 1781054700	Up	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x948322…
06-10 01:03:15	btc updown 5m 1781053200	Down	SELL	145	88¢	$128	0xa886e4…
06-10 01:02:12	btc updown 5m 1781053200	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x37933d…
06-09 03:55:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x5391e6…
06-09 03:52:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5,319	94¢	$5,000	0xeea28c…
06-09 03:43:52	btc updown 5m 1780976400	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x580f54…
06-09 03:16:37	btc updown 5m 1780974900	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xe818c6…
06-09 03:14:09	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2b37ba…
06-09 02:57:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 8pt5	Spurs	BUY	726	96¢	$697	0xa7e8d3…
06-09 02:57:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 8pt5	Spurs	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x21b5bc…
06-09 02:57:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 8pt5	Spurs	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x1ad421…
06-09 02:56:55	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 8pt5	Spurs	BUY	87	96¢	$84	0x66928e…
06-09 02:55:46	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	Spurs	BUY	900	85¢	$765	0xeaec9d…
06-09 02:55:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 8pt5	Spurs	BUY	92	96¢	$88	0xbdbffc…
06-09 02:49:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 6pt5	Spurs	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xde0941…
06-09 02:46:55	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Under	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x9b05c1…
06-09 02:46:55	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Under	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x0694a8…
06-09 02:46:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Under	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xa56607…
06-09 02:46:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Under	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xd03344…
06-09 02:42:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	Under	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x844abd…
06-09 02:37:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x6a0cf7…
06-09 02:34:51	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1d0a16…
06-09 02:34:36	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Down	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x3d5edd…
06-09 02:33:54	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Down	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x65a37d…
06-09 02:33:52	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Down	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0x10af6d…
06-08 19:37:58	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x01fb31…
06-08 00:16:09	btc updown 5m 1780877700	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xe333e3…
06-07 21:53:27	btc updown 5m 1780869000	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x9f86fb…
06-07 05:17:28	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd1220e…
06-07 05:17:28	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa04b0b…
06-07 05:17:28	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x21be3c…
06-07 05:16:30	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Up	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xd848a9…
06-07 05:16:30	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Up	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x939604…
06-07 05:16:30	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x75505e…
06-07 05:16:01	btc updown 5m 1780809300	Up	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x8b2e9f…
06-07 02:41:42	btc updown 5m 1780800000	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xe56ec5…
06-07 01:37:37	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb2e8dc…
06-06 23:56:45	btc updown 5m 1780790100	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x97d5b6…
06-06 23:56:45	btc updown 5m 1780790100	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5e0e61…
06-06 23:51:07	btc updown 5m 1780789800	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x18ddd6…
06-06 23:47:48	btc updown 5m 1780789500	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x150c6e…
06-06 22:46:52	btc updown 5m 1780785900	Up	BUY	309	65¢	$200	0xb61875…
06-06 22:06:55	mlb cws phi 2026 06 06	Chicago White Sox	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xd0db19…
06-06 22:05:55	mlb cws phi 2026 06 06	Chicago White Sox	BUY	200	84¢	$169	0x0bf8fc…
06-06 20:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x3a0128…
06-06 20:19:21	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xb9d372…
06-06 19:57:48	btc updown 5m 1780775700	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xabd9b0…
06-05 02:35:09	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Golden Knights	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0e4c71…
06-05 02:34:48	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd63667…
06-05 02:30:55	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	No	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x646d8d…
06-05 02:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x41c67b…
06-05 02:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0xe899d4…
06-05 02:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xdeba16…
06-05 02:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0xd3a3b2…
06-05 02:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x290cf5…
06-05 02:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x1c0322…
06-05 02:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd2f8ec…
06-05 02:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0xa9ac72…
06-05 02:15:34	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa5a321…
06-05 02:13:06	btc updown 5m 1780625400	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x346d8e…
06-05 02:07:33	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Golden Knights	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4e349e…
06-04 23:54:10	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Golden Knights	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe5b0e7…
06-04 23:53:30	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6a1eba…
06-04 22:37:49	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xa22419…
06-04 22:37:49	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x40320f…
06-04 22:37:49	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x3f0e35…
06-04 22:37:49	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x334064…
06-04 22:35:55	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x8e8e2d…
06-04 22:32:48	btc updown 5m 1780612200	Down	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xb0348d…
06-04 22:32:31	btc updown 5m 1780612200	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xc1b954…
06-04 03:54:58	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Up	SELL	333	98¢	$325	0x3e3f34…
06-04 03:51:22	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x45a440…
06-04 03:50:55	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x64da25…
06-04 03:50:31	btc updown 5m 1780545000	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb697bb…
06-04 03:49:12	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x62ff6f…
06-04 03:48:52	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xf90848…
06-03 20:53:57	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Up	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x4a2467…
06-03 05:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x7b2191…
06-03 05:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x6de5db…
06-03 05:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x04cb95…
06-03 05:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x120792…
06-03 05:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x7b280f…
06-03 05:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x42ab3a…
06-03 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd0967f…
06-03 05:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x4d4736…
06-03 05:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x4b57f4…
06-03 05:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0d92a8…
06-03 04:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x994598…
06-02 03:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x9a3643…
06-02 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9a3dc9…
06-02 03:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xec7ff9…
06-02 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xdb75a7…
06-02 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x434dab…
06-02 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x27561d…
06-02 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x190ff8…
06-02 03:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,013	99¢	$1,000	0xe189cb…
06-02 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd61c7d…
06-02 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcad247…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	250	$288.5K	8,042	06-10 01:51
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	233	$87.1K	12,583	06-10 01:48
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	222	$74.1K	9,917	06-10 01:48
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	216	$142.2K	19,979	06-10 01:48
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	213	$61.7K	17,873	06-10 01:48
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	213	$58.3K	17,064	06-10 01:48
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	213	$54.2K	14,813	06-10 01:49
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	211	$41.9K	6,842	06-10 01:48