Realized P&L
+$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$155
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
201
Trades
2,622
lifetime
Volume
$178.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.22K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 08-21 09:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Sports
56% 67% +$4,035
Politics
24% 39% -$909
Other
15% 65% -$1,451
Crypto
4% 100% +$11
Tech
1% 62% -$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -599 -$217 92¢ $-554 -$337 06-15 03:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +423 $454 97¢ $412 -$42 08-21 09:34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +276 $216 94¢ $258 +$42 07-07 00:04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +160 $136 97¢ $156 +$20 06-12 03:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -190 -$131 82¢ $-155 -$24 05-02 03:47
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +220 $163 57¢ $125 -$37 05-12 06:08
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +298 $71 34¢ $103 +$31 05-21 17:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +101 $35 92¢ $92 +$58 06-15 07:42
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +197 $47 34¢ $68 +$21 05-22 13:18
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $56 3¢ $53 -$3 06-24 21:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +304 $33 16¢ $47 +$14 08-10 17:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +400 $80 8¢ $30 -$50 05-22 12:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +400 $24 7¢ $27 +$3 05-09 15:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +200 $28 12¢ $23 -$5 05-21 12:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +65 $36 30¢ $20 -$16 05-22 03:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +400 $12 5¢ $19 +$7 05-19 14:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +500 $31 2¢ $12 -$19 06-04 00:36
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-02 04:17
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-02 04:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +34 $10 29¢ $10 +$0 06-01 16:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 05-05 18:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 05-17 13:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $49 8¢ $8 -$40 05-20 15:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 05-09 18:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$9 98¢ $1 +$10 06-11 01:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$34 97¢ $1 +$35 06-15 00:10
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +500 $77 0¢ $1 -$76 06-02 19:36
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +0 -$12 93¢ $0 +$12 06-17 21:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 -$240 40¢ $0 +$240 07-03 03:00