Well-Groomed-Climate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$287

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

647

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-02 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 19% $-15

Politics

30% — —

Other

24% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-811	$285	0¢	$-2	$-287	06-29 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	2	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-29 13:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$1.1K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	05-26 04:51
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	7	$900	500	500	+0	open	—	06-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$600	879	0	+879	open	—	04-29 01:04
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	10	$560	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-27 08:56
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	3	$400	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-02 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$309	1,189	2,000	-811	open	—	06-29 22:11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	30	$307	110,000	106,537	+3,463	open	—	05-29 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$300	534	0	+534	open	—	04-29 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$291	376	285	+90	open	—	04-29 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$250	375	0	+375	open	—	04-29 00:18
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	4	$236	164	164	+0	open	—	07-02 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$201	285	6	+279	open	—	04-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$200	279	0	+279	open	—	04-29 00:14
Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	4	$186	966	1,000	-34	open	—	06-01 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$161	223	91	+132	open	—	04-29 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$149	254	0	+254	open	—	04-29 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$146	185	185	+0	open	—	04-29 01:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 02:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$140	177	42	+136	open	—	04-29 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$111	152	20	+132	open	—	04-28 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$109	151	84	+67	open	—	04-29 01:47
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$103	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-01 16:02
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	05-11 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$100	124	0	+124	open	—	04-28 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$100	163	0	+163	open	—	04-29 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	04-29 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$100	129	0	+129	open	—	04-29 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$100	170	0	+170	open	—	04-29 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:02:29	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	310	20¢	$62	0x53d816…
07-02 17:02:25	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	690	20¢	$138	0xc78533…
07-02 16:45:10	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x14b569…
07-02 16:31:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x49f162…
07-02 15:27:41	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	SELL	154	72¢	$111	0x57d527…
07-02 15:19:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	154	72¢	$111	0xc7d421…
07-02 15:19:11	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd2e301…
07-02 14:19:29	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x94bb1b…
07-02 14:19:23	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x177b3e…
07-01 16:02:31	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	999	0¢	$3	0x2cfd64…
06-29 22:11:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$12	0x8339b7…
06-27 08:56:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	117	40¢	$47	0xba4aaf…
06-27 08:56:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x80ab64…
06-27 08:50:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x6ecf42…
06-27 08:47:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf76710…
06-27 08:46:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xd28c80…
06-27 08:45:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xce9ca9…
06-27 08:45:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x46552b…
06-27 08:44:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	141	40¢	$56	0x0875a3…
06-27 08:43:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	132	40¢	$53	0xabbe8a…
06-26 06:37:13	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x76a973…
06-25 15:18:35	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x720959…
06-25 13:42:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	750	48¢	$360	0x2a5ace…
06-14 22:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	189	25¢	$47	0x65ceca…
06-14 22:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x4d7c85…
06-14 14:36:39	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xc251a9…
06-05 00:14:15	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x583971…
06-04 00:51:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	287	80¢	$229	0xdd41ff…
06-04 00:51:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xce3f1f…
06-04 00:51:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x9dfbeb…
06-04 00:50:57	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x48ec41…
06-04 00:50:52	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x594893…
06-04 00:49:48	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	143	80¢	$115	0xd1450c…
06-01 06:11:02	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x3de4d0…
06-01 02:58:15	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xceb40c…
06-01 02:58:15	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x4befc0…
06-01 02:34:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x8ffc9b…
06-01 02:30:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x964050…
06-01 02:23:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf1ca0e…
06-01 02:21:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x76b8eb…
05-31 19:35:47	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	SELL	841	10¢	$84	0xd6519a…
05-31 19:35:23	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9c897d…
05-31 12:55:55	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	BUY	966	10¢	$97	0xfdaa51…
05-30 01:32:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xfc17d7…
05-29 16:29:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x86c6f7…
05-29 16:29:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x75642c…
05-29 16:29:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x549313…
05-29 16:29:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x39fca5…
05-29 13:56:28	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,400	91¢	$1,274	0xb1c815…
05-29 05:37:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	100,699	0¢	$101	0x4447a5…
05-29 05:21:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x8de6ee…
05-29 05:16:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xba3d1e…
05-29 05:12:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9ed9c2…
05-29 05:12:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6b270e…
05-29 04:59:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	204	0¢	$0	0x7966ca…
05-29 04:58:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	320	0¢	$0	0xa28384…
05-29 04:56:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x34116d…
05-29 04:56:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x282dfd…
05-29 04:55:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd22bee…
05-29 04:55:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3ef2be…
05-29 04:49:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0d2801…
05-29 04:48:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbea18f…
05-29 04:43:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xdde325…
05-29 04:43:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x1244f2…
05-29 04:42:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8ca514…
05-29 04:41:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x00d362…
05-29 04:34:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	1,030	0¢	$1	0x723e64…
05-29 04:30:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x22549b…
05-29 04:29:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	203	0¢	$0	0x39a5ed…
05-29 04:23:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x251e0f…
05-29 04:23:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x8b6b7b…
05-29 04:22:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	194	0¢	$0	0xcfbe97…
05-29 04:19:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	202	0¢	$0	0x17b046…
05-29 04:19:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	277	0¢	$0	0xa72e0d…
05-29 04:05:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	10,931	0¢	$11	0x6f87e7…
05-29 04:04:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	971	0¢	$1	0x2771e2…
05-29 04:03:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xf985be…
05-29 04:02:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	68,098	0¢	$68	0x0d9777…
05-29 00:19:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xc9eb7a…
05-28 19:54:35	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x733969…
05-28 18:48:42	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x26d859…
05-28 00:42:47	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe0f2f8…
05-26 04:51:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10,000	1¢	$90	0x199b29…
05-26 00:30:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x8ab645…
05-26 00:06:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0xa82aed…
05-23 01:50:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x56b5d9…
05-23 01:42:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	949	1¢	$9	0xed9153…
05-22 23:38:33	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	240	1¢	$2	0xbd3241…
05-22 22:36:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe27047…
05-22 22:34:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x5f018e…
05-22 22:22:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa8943c…
05-22 22:13:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	59	14¢	$8	0xb95ae3…
05-22 22:09:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x806175…
05-21 23:38:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x72d3c9…
05-21 15:56:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xce776b…
05-16 15:49:12	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe2cdf2…
05-15 18:37:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x377cc7…
05-11 21:51:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x51efce…
05-09 13:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8af8a7…
05-08 03:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9c12c8…