Well-Groomed-Climate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

Trades

621

lifetime

Volume

$9.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-05 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 19% $-15

Politics

31% — —

Other

15% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	2	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-29 13:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$1.1K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	05-26 04:51
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	7	$900	500	500	+0	open	—	06-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$600	879	0	+879	open	—	04-29 01:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	30	$307	110,000	106,537	+3,463	open	—	05-29 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$300	534	0	+534	open	—	04-29 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$291	376	285	+90	open	—	04-29 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$250	375	0	+375	open	—	04-29 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$201	285	6	+279	open	—	04-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$200	279	0	+279	open	—	04-29 00:14
Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	4	$186	966	1,000	-34	open	—	06-01 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$161	223	91	+132	open	—	04-29 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$149	254	0	+254	open	—	04-29 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$146	185	185	+0	open	—	04-29 01:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 02:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$140	177	42	+136	open	—	04-29 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$111	152	20	+132	open	—	04-28 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$109	151	84	+67	open	—	04-29 01:47
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	05-11 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$100	124	0	+124	open	—	04-28 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$100	163	0	+163	open	—	04-29 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	04-29 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$100	129	0	+129	open	—	04-29 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$100	170	0	+170	open	—	04-29 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$88	99	68	+32	open	—	04-29 01:59
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	05-28 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$80	121	0	+121	open	—	04-29 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$77	91	0	+91	open	—	04-28 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$74	65	49	+16	open	—	04-28 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 00:14:15	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x583971…
06-04 00:51:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	287	80¢	$229	0xdd41ff…
06-04 00:51:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xce3f1f…
06-04 00:51:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x9dfbeb…
06-04 00:50:57	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x48ec41…
06-04 00:50:52	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x594893…
06-04 00:49:48	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	143	80¢	$115	0xd1450c…
06-01 06:11:02	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x3de4d0…
06-01 02:58:15	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xceb40c…
06-01 02:58:15	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x4befc0…
06-01 02:34:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x8ffc9b…
06-01 02:30:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x964050…
06-01 02:23:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf1ca0e…
06-01 02:21:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x76b8eb…
05-31 19:35:47	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	SELL	841	10¢	$84	0xd6519a…
05-31 19:35:23	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9c897d…
05-31 12:55:55	Will Trump say "NATO" this week?	Yes	BUY	966	10¢	$97	0xfdaa51…
05-30 01:32:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xfc17d7…
05-29 16:29:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x86c6f7…
05-29 16:29:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x75642c…
05-29 16:29:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x549313…
05-29 16:29:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x39fca5…
05-29 13:56:28	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,400	91¢	$1,274	0xb1c815…
05-29 05:37:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	100,699	0¢	$101	0x4447a5…
05-29 05:21:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x8de6ee…
05-29 05:16:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xba3d1e…
05-29 05:12:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9ed9c2…
05-29 05:12:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6b270e…
05-29 04:59:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	204	0¢	$0	0x7966ca…
05-29 04:58:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	320	0¢	$0	0xa28384…
05-29 04:56:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x34116d…
05-29 04:56:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x282dfd…
05-29 04:55:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd22bee…
05-29 04:55:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3ef2be…
05-29 04:49:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0d2801…
05-29 04:48:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbea18f…
05-29 04:43:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xdde325…
05-29 04:43:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x1244f2…
05-29 04:42:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8ca514…
05-29 04:41:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x00d362…
05-29 04:34:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	1,030	0¢	$1	0x723e64…
05-29 04:30:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x22549b…
05-29 04:29:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	203	0¢	$0	0x39a5ed…
05-29 04:23:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x251e0f…
05-29 04:23:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x8b6b7b…
05-29 04:22:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	194	0¢	$0	0xcfbe97…
05-29 04:19:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	202	0¢	$0	0x17b046…
05-29 04:19:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	277	0¢	$0	0xa72e0d…
05-29 04:05:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	10,931	0¢	$11	0x6f87e7…
05-29 04:04:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	971	0¢	$1	0x2771e2…
05-29 04:03:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xf985be…
05-29 04:02:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	68,098	0¢	$68	0x0d9777…
05-29 00:19:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xc9eb7a…
05-28 19:54:35	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x733969…
05-28 18:48:42	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x26d859…
05-28 00:42:47	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe0f2f8…
05-26 04:51:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10,000	1¢	$90	0x199b29…
05-26 00:30:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x8ab645…
05-26 00:06:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0xa82aed…
05-23 01:50:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x56b5d9…
05-23 01:42:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	949	1¢	$9	0xed9153…
05-22 23:38:33	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	240	1¢	$2	0xbd3241…
05-22 22:36:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe27047…
05-22 22:34:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x5f018e…
05-22 22:22:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa8943c…
05-22 22:13:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	59	14¢	$8	0xb95ae3…
05-22 22:09:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x806175…
05-21 23:38:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x72d3c9…
05-21 15:56:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xce776b…
05-16 15:49:12	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe2cdf2…
05-15 18:37:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x377cc7…
05-11 21:51:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x51efce…
05-09 13:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8af8a7…
05-08 03:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9c12c8…
05-08 03:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8202f0…
05-08 03:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xff4a2f…
05-08 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1f20aa…
05-08 03:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbcc1cf…
05-08 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x058c19…
05-06 08:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8eabd5…
05-06 08:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf0d1b2…
05-06 08:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd0a73d…
05-06 08:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xca4790…
05-06 08:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xa0319a…
05-06 08:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x27beff…
05-06 08:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc42669…
05-06 08:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x3086f4…
05-06 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x81dd7c…
05-06 08:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x423ab5…
05-06 08:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x711eb2…
05-06 08:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xe63cd9…
05-06 08:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xc71030…
05-06 08:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xefd70b…
05-06 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x2c3584…
05-06 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x17975a…
05-06 08:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xf4e082…
05-06 08:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xdde4c8…
05-06 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe7fedc…
05-06 07:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77a6f9…
05-06 07:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x8aad15…