Nippy-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$4.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-09 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

38% 0% $-3

Tech

34% — —

Other

24% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-2

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	8	$622	330	330	+0	open	—	07-28 20:43
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	5	$531	300	300	+0	open	—	07-24 22:58
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	20	$352	650	466	+184	open	—	04-26 08:15
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	2	$305	297	297	+0	open	—	07-03 00:28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$211	185	185	+0	open	—	05-22 22:31
will trump say communist or communism during tele rallies 20260729141144279	2	$205	236	0	+236	open	—	07-29 22:54
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	12	$164	1,300	150	+1,150	open	—	07-24 16:58
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	13	$149	117	117	+0	open	—	05-22 23:56
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	7	$141	289	99	+190	open	—	05-22 23:41
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	16	$132	160	160	+0	open	—	04-13 04:56
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	3	$121	108	108	+0	open	—	07-06 05:10
will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	8	$120	235	135	+100	open	—	03-26 01:20
earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 nano banana 1 times	2	$100	120	120	+0	open	—	02-04 22:25
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?	2	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	04-29 19:16
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	5	$71	45	45	+0	open	—	02-23 08:38
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$69	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 14:49
will robinhood say silver during earnings call	5	$68	53	52	+0	open	—	02-10 23:23
will tesla say loyalty during earnings call	3	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	01-28 23:34
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 total 42pt5	4	$65	431	431	+0	open	—	01-25 22:17
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?	3	$64	80	80	+0	open	—	04-29 16:53
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	4	$56	45	45	+0	open	—	03-17 03:13
Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?	3	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?	2	$52	0	95	-95	open	—	06-12 17:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$45	62	62	+0	open	—	04-27 15:29
the ring high stakes ryan garcia vs mario barrios	6	$45	138	138	+0	open	—	02-22 05:41
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	29	$40	965	311	+654	open	—	04-23 02:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$35	130	0	+130	open	—	05-13 16:13
will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	2	$29	26	26	+0	open	—	03-05 22:45
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$28	0	50	-50	open	—	06-16 18:47
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	2	$27	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 08:44:16	lol ig1 lng 2026 08 09	LNG Esports	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0xe723e2…
08-09 08:42:43	lol ig1 lng 2026 08 09	LNG Esports	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe1442b…
08-09 08:42:34	lol ig1 lng 2026 08 09	LNG Esports	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd38c0e…
08-09 08:42:31	lol ig1 lng 2026 08 09	LNG Esports	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xab1542…
08-09 08:42:24	lol ig1 lng 2026 08 09	LNG Esports	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xca8527…
08-04 19:37:11	will spacex say fuel 3 times during earnings call 20260730164309234	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x63c2f5…
08-04 04:14:44	btc updown 15m 1785816000	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xa01cad…
08-03 07:43:21	btc updown 15m 1785742200	Down	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x5a9945…
08-03 07:24:54	btc updown 15m 1785741300	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa6c3ca…
08-03 07:21:41	btc updown 15m 1785741300	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd38250…
08-03 07:21:00	btc updown 15m 1785741300	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xa17dae…
08-03 06:57:35	btc updown 15m 1785739500	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf8de8f…
08-02 06:57:09	btc updown 15m 1785653100	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6390a8…
08-02 06:57:08	btc updown 15m 1785653100	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x167aa9…
08-02 05:42:14	btc updown 15m 1785648600	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x85f8b7…
08-02 05:42:14	btc updown 15m 1785648600	Up	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x326b85…
07-30 04:57:44	mlb bos oak 2026 07 29 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe7370c…
07-30 00:01:54	mlb tex tb 2026 07 29 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe9c90f…
07-29 22:54:36	will trump say communist or communism during tele rallies 20260729141144279	No	BUY	120	88¢	$105	0x3e2032…
07-29 22:53:24	will trump say communist or communism during tele rallies 20260729141144279	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x08504f…
07-29 21:50:35	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x4730e9…
07-29 21:25:33	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01e4f8…
07-29 21:14:54	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x4f3aef…
07-29 21:08:33	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x061bfd…
07-29 21:08:29	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb8c60b…
07-29 21:08:29	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b7366…
07-29 21:08:29	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3deeb0…
07-29 21:08:26	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x5a5c66…
07-29 21:08:23	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xd4fe29…
07-29 21:07:00	will meta say advertising during earnings call 20260727154156430	No	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x0d974c…
07-29 18:51:39	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b1cea…
07-29 18:48:26	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x339095…
07-29 18:48:12	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xf9824e…
07-28 20:43:01	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xe4072f…
07-28 20:42:56	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3bbb65…
07-28 20:42:56	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x102b49…
07-28 20:42:53	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x2895ab…
07-28 20:35:14	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6487ec…
07-28 20:09:04	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xc2bb8d…
07-28 19:36:28	btc updown 15m 1785267000	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x0fe73e…
07-28 19:35:34	btc updown 15m 1785267000	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x8d41fa…
07-28 19:35:31	btc updown 15m 1785267000	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2ab307…
07-28 19:35:29	btc updown 15m 1785267000	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xac9b3f…
07-28 19:35:29	btc updown 15m 1785267000	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5092bb…
07-28 18:40:04	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0327f9…
07-28 17:57:50	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x872395…
07-24 23:42:28	will trump say hell 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255809	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xab189b…
07-24 23:18:21	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x97c099…
07-24 23:17:10	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x34dfc0…
07-24 22:58:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xbfc95a…
07-24 19:50:45	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xd15276…
07-24 19:48:54	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x3a42bd…
07-24 16:58:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	752	0¢	$1	0xb77b66…
07-24 16:56:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0xf662cb…
07-24 16:56:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x7bf655…
07-24 16:56:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6ed067…
07-24 16:54:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd29fd7…
07-24 16:53:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xe10acb…
07-24 16:51:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8c20e9…
07-24 16:51:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xce585e…
07-24 16:47:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0xad3f10…
07-24 16:47:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x328fd8…
07-24 16:47:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0xb76b37…
07-24 16:45:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x96f901…
07-24 16:35:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xc182d5…
07-24 08:39:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x345f97…
07-24 04:53:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x339b0b…
07-23 19:17:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9c2023…
07-23 18:00:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x840d12…
07-17 01:17:50	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x2d6c8f…
07-17 01:14:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x8a6221…
07-17 01:06:35	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6d2f29…
07-17 00:43:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x4ad121…
07-17 00:06:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0af32c…
07-16 22:57:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1f68b6…
07-16 22:54:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x842234…
07-15 03:12:23	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb16086…
07-12 22:27:41	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x08a023…
07-12 03:39:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x1f2be0…
07-12 03:38:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x94989b…
07-07 04:03:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xc369b9…
07-06 13:17:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3a51c3…
07-06 05:10:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	108	88¢	$95	0x3a8da4…
07-06 02:59:50	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x1f0ca9…
07-06 02:55:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xbfd48d…
07-05 20:01:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x69e0f2…
07-04 17:22:29	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte2	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1428f8…
07-04 02:15:52	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x8d33bd…
07-03 23:48:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa69450…
07-03 23:30:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x502157…
07-03 23:27:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x1f1efe…
07-03 23:22:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x1c0f9d…
07-03 22:49:28	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x38408f…
07-03 05:44:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xc7ed11…
07-03 04:42:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb513bf…
07-03 04:42:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8baa10…
07-03 04:42:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x68360e…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf12895…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe861c0…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcbd868…