Nippy-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-17 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Tech

34% — —

Other

34% — —

Politics

29% 0% $-3

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	20	$352	650	466	+184	open	—	04-26 08:15
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	2	$305	297	297	+0	open	—	07-03 00:28
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	4	$234	300	0	+300	open	—	07-17 01:14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$211	185	185	+0	open	—	05-22 22:31
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	13	$149	117	117	+0	open	—	05-22 23:56
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	7	$141	289	99	+190	open	—	05-22 23:41
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	16	$132	160	160	+0	open	—	04-13 04:56
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	3	$121	108	108	+0	open	—	07-06 05:10
will trump say cheat cheater cheated cheating 10 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	8	$120	235	135	+100	open	—	03-26 01:20
earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 nano banana 1 times	2	$100	120	120	+0	open	—	02-04 22:25
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?	2	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	04-29 19:16
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	5	$71	45	45	+0	open	—	02-23 08:38
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$69	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 14:49
will robinhood say silver during earnings call	5	$68	53	52	+0	open	—	02-10 23:23
will tesla say loyalty during earnings call	3	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	01-28 23:34
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 total 42pt5	4	$65	431	431	+0	open	—	01-25 22:17
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?	3	$64	80	80	+0	open	—	04-29 16:53
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	4	$56	45	45	+0	open	—	03-17 03:13
Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?	3	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?	2	$52	0	95	-95	open	—	06-12 17:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$45	62	62	+0	open	—	04-27 15:29
the ring high stakes ryan garcia vs mario barrios	6	$45	138	138	+0	open	—	02-22 05:41
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	29	$40	965	311	+654	open	—	04-23 02:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$35	130	0	+130	open	—	05-13 16:13
will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	2	$29	26	26	+0	open	—	03-05 22:45
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$28	0	50	-50	open	—	06-16 18:47
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	2	$27	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 05:28
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	4	$26	400	28	+372	open	—	04-03 23:50
will the 2026 state of the union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long	5	$24	350	0	+350	open	—	02-25 03:41
will trump say transgender this week january 18	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	01-13 19:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 01:17:50	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x2d6c8f…
07-17 01:14:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x8a6221…
07-17 01:06:35	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6d2f29…
07-17 00:43:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x4ad121…
07-17 00:06:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0af32c…
07-16 22:57:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1f68b6…
07-16 22:54:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x842234…
07-15 03:12:23	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb16086…
07-12 22:27:41	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x08a023…
07-12 03:39:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x1f2be0…
07-12 03:38:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x94989b…
07-07 04:03:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xc369b9…
07-06 13:17:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3a51c3…
07-06 05:10:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	108	88¢	$95	0x3a8da4…
07-06 02:59:50	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x1f0ca9…
07-06 02:55:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xbfd48d…
07-05 20:01:01	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x69e0f2…
07-04 17:22:29	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte2	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1428f8…
07-04 02:15:52	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x8d33bd…
07-03 23:48:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa69450…
07-03 23:30:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x502157…
07-03 23:27:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x1f1efe…
07-03 23:22:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x1c0f9d…
07-03 22:49:28	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 7pt5	Over	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x38408f…
07-03 05:44:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xc7ed11…
07-03 04:42:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb513bf…
07-03 04:42:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8baa10…
07-03 04:42:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x68360e…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf12895…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe861c0…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcbd868…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9257fa…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x740d4e…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x64f189…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5028e8…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4f58ce…
07-03 04:42:25	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0c2d19…
07-03 04:42:19	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0ca59b…
07-03 02:30:32	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3f0664…
07-03 01:13:14	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7556e5…
07-03 00:40:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xdea6cb…
07-03 00:40:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xf50bf6…
07-03 00:32:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9ef853…
07-03 00:28:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	SELL	297	99¢	$294	0xc8ee30…
07-03 00:24:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x442fe5…
07-03 00:19:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	297	4¢	$12	0x110f0a…
07-02 21:15:35	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe961e2…
07-01 07:16:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x7e0d04…
07-01 06:55:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf72240…
07-01 03:48:41	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc91332…
07-01 03:48:34	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	188	0¢	$1	0x5ecd77…
06-19 02:40:07	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88d498…
06-19 00:16:56	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 goals julian quinones gte1	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xe9f0b7…
06-16 18:47:26	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xcedddd…
06-12 17:45:57	Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?	Yes	SELL	70	55¢	$38	0x72d72a…
06-09 06:15:07	Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x80a8cf…
05-22 23:56:10	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xea1e68…
05-22 23:55:53	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6897ee…
05-22 23:55:16	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xebe271…
05-22 23:52:35	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x422549…
05-22 23:41:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xf7a814…
05-22 23:41:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x68626c…
05-22 23:22:08	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb8fea5…
05-22 23:20:58	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2daf41…
05-22 22:57:00	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x4ae913…
05-22 22:55:57	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x3f1aad…
05-22 22:49:42	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe0a2a7…
05-22 22:46:24	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb2a303…
05-22 22:41:29	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x2eb8a8…
05-22 22:40:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xe75d66…
05-22 22:40:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd47473…
05-22 22:40:03	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x938882…
05-22 22:32:23	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc2eaea…
05-22 22:31:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x212382…
05-21 23:48:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x8c78b6…
05-21 23:39:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x8d6669…
05-19 09:41:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	34	60¢	$20	0x077835…
05-19 08:52:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	73	60¢	$44	0x5d2eff…
05-18 23:56:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0x62efdd…
05-15 15:25:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x42015b…
05-15 14:16:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xad9c17…
05-14 14:49:20	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x6b525e…
05-14 09:25:27	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	35	36¢	$13	0xe37134…
05-14 04:29:56	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x4b5143…
05-13 16:13:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0dfc35…
05-13 05:21:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0xc77f9d…
05-13 02:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x16dc3f…
05-11 20:20:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x7b5dbf…
05-10 07:52:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x6e13c3…
05-06 17:49:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x7200f0…
05-06 17:47:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x9f91e8…
05-06 17:24:51	Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" at the Military Mothers event?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf5e4c5…
05-03 23:18:04	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xc08dee…
05-03 20:50:24	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x496a0b…
05-03 18:41:26	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x4a9bc5…
05-02 23:36:26	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfd41cb…
04-30 21:14:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2751d7…
04-29 21:05:40	Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x9712b6…
04-29 20:18:08	Will Google say "Cutting-edge" during earnings call?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xdb8023…
04-29 19:55:10	Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9b23cf…