Prudent-Twine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

546

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$96

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-20 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Politics

16% 0% $-24

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes		+100	$96	96¢	$96	$-0	07-23 15:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	11	$1.1K	611	611	+0	open	—	04-24 01:10
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	17	$1.0K	1,243	0	+1,243	open	—	06-09 15:28
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?	6	$633	656	0	+656	open	—	04-07 14:11
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	5	$577	434	200	+234	open	—	03-27 15:29
nba tor uta 2026 03 23	6	$560	611	0	+611	open	—	03-24 02:11
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	13	$558	695	158	+538	open	—	05-23 01:28
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	13	$464	484	0	+484	open	—	04-01 22:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	02-26 20:14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	13	$349	351	0	+351	open	—	05-17 04:10
nba tor phx 2026 03 22	12	$333	354	10	+344	open	—	03-23 02:39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner	13	$308	340	0	+340	open	—	05-17 14:12
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	7	$307	320	0	+320	open	—	03-25 13:24
nba tor min 2026 03 05	11	$288	309	0	+309	open	—	03-06 03:14
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	12	$279	292	0	+292	open	—	02-27 03:58
nba tor chi 2026 03 18	12	$217	231	0	+231	open	—	03-19 01:00
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	11	$216	238	0	+238	open	—	06-02 18:27
nba tor lac 2026 03 25	3	$210	228	0	+228	open	—	03-26 04:06
will brandon herrera be the republican nominee for tx 23 672	11	$207	119	119	+0	open	—	03-04 04:24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	5	$202	210	0	+210	open	—	05-17 13:10
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$200	201	5	+196	open	—	01-28 15:50
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	7	$187	253	109	+144	open	—	03-30 12:57
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	8	$185	227	0	+227	open	—	04-11 16:13
nba sac tor 2026 04 01	12	$176	125	125	+0	open	—	04-02 01:53
will avi lewis win the canadian ndp leadership election	5	$162	187	0	+187	open	—	03-29 15:33
will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	1	$157	158	0	+158	open	—	03-04 04:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$155	95	95	+0	open	—	03-03 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	05-23 02:59
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	02-27 17:06
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$136	90	90	+0	open	—	03-04 02:03
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	4	$134	151	0	+151	open	—	06-02 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:17:52	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf0084c…
06-20 15:21:50	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	FURIA	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc84e67…
06-17 18:52:59	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x75a3c1…
06-17 18:48:29	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x60b8ae…
06-17 18:47:20	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x9d43e0…
06-17 18:46:35	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x68366e…
06-17 02:26:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xd07b85…
06-14 18:00:30	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x96c9f0…
06-14 17:48:46	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xdcda51…
06-14 17:19:21	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x668878…
06-14 17:16:55	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf97ab9…
06-12 21:51:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xfc3dac…
06-09 15:28:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa79812…
06-09 15:27:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x17e683…
06-09 15:27:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x56e7ff…
06-09 15:24:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x91b5a3…
06-09 15:23:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x186c4e…
06-09 15:23:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x74de08…
06-09 15:23:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0x40729a…
06-09 15:21:18	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xcfdb3b…
06-09 15:20:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	191	88¢	$168	0x069106…
06-09 15:19:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x99c539…
06-09 13:55:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x909a44…
06-09 13:52:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x85478b…
06-09 13:47:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	285	77¢	$219	0x9446a1…
06-09 13:45:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x0f00c1…
06-09 13:45:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	48	72¢	$35	0xf077a5…
06-09 13:44:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x1e5a14…
06-09 13:40:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x782bfc…
06-09 13:39:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x42eff0…
06-02 20:04:54	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xbd3cd2…
06-02 20:03:04	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa36b7f…
06-02 19:37:13	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x49c23b…
06-02 19:13:03	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x617fe9…
06-02 19:10:51	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x70c65d…
06-02 19:10:08	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x5ddf7e…
06-02 19:07:27	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2d8224…
06-02 19:05:12	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x457b33…
06-02 19:02:36	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xfcef7e…
06-02 18:58:07	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x63fb9f…
06-02 18:58:07	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4ec25b…
06-02 18:58:03	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x25eabe…
06-02 18:56:53	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x3174f7…
06-02 18:54:58	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8fc0e7…
06-02 18:53:39	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x811fc3…
06-02 18:52:27	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xfcc353…
06-02 18:52:25	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xf53fe5…
06-02 18:52:20	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4f1f3f…
06-02 18:49:08	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xb88b58…
06-02 18:49:08	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x4a1854…
06-02 18:48:27	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x1903d3…
06-02 18:27:57	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6e375b…
06-02 18:22:37	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7f4b69…
06-02 18:22:25	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x034cfa…
06-02 18:21:41	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xd3393e…
06-02 18:20:55	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1a9494…
06-02 18:09:19	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0e0f5d…
06-02 18:04:44	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2145e2…
06-02 18:02:57	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x34daf4…
06-02 18:01:12	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x7e734f…
06-02 18:01:04	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xb6c6e1…
06-02 18:00:04	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	M80	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6066d8…
06-02 17:34:47	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x7cf751…
06-02 17:32:48	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8ffa1d…
06-02 17:29:37	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x13f77e…
06-02 17:28:41	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x157331…
06-02 17:22:27	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	NRG	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x14528c…
06-02 17:19:47	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	NRG	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfc2af1…
06-02 17:17:03	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	NRG	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xfbd756…
06-02 17:14:57	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	NRG	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x343c35…
06-02 14:56:16	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x909f6f…
06-02 14:43:05	Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Liquid	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdd789b…
06-01 12:18:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	16¢	$23	0xa7fa0d…
05-23 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x04633b…
05-23 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x75e7a9…
05-23 02:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x42ad84…
05-23 02:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0b47bd…
05-23 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdd676d…
05-23 02:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x92692e…
05-23 02:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5732e1…
05-23 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcae6c8…
05-23 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x84c7dd…
05-23 01:28:13	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x1961f3…
05-23 01:27:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x97566f…
05-22 23:46:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcb3bfe…
05-22 23:41:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xf7a814…
05-22 23:41:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x68626c…
05-22 23:40:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x8347be…
05-22 23:39:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x23bd21…
05-22 23:39:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	158	1¢	$1	0x8ccc63…
05-22 23:31:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xb440ba…
05-22 22:36:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x34f67e…
05-22 22:33:26	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x33c0e1…
05-22 22:32:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x7ddde4…
05-22 22:31:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	48	22¢	$11	0x521c13…
05-22 22:28:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x0b84ac…
05-22 22:27:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xa2df00…
05-22 20:24:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x8c649f…
05-22 15:14:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x81d2ce…
05-22 15:12:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x5ce9db…