Shady-Wolf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$4.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-09 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-32

Politics

24% 0% $-16

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	1	$539	0	634	-634	open	—	06-08 13:14
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$503	447	447	+0	open	—	05-14 01:55
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	4	$349	340	553	-213	open	—	06-23 14:48
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	8	$266	10,237	0	+10,237	open	—	05-28 16:53
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$250	209	209	+0	open	—	05-15 07:39
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	3	$179	163	163	+0	open	—	05-21 18:00
will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	2	$117	327	327	+0	open	—	07-02 17:26
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$107	217	217	+0	open	—	05-26 20:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$102	416	416	+0	open	—	05-18 00:05
over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	7	$101	1,597	0	+1,597	open	—	06-30 19:39
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	4	$88	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	05-23 00:14
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	4	$71	2,242	0	+2,242	open	—	05-16 23:07
over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$70	2,006	0	+2,006	open	—	06-30 22:42
over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	2	$66	9,569	0	+9,569	open	—	07-01 11:18
over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	7	$59	6,150	0	+6,150	open	—	07-03 15:06
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	1	$50	278	0	+278	open	—	06-09 15:40
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	2	$49	444	0	+444	open	—	05-20 12:03
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	6	$49	5,527	0	+5,527	open	—	05-15 15:33
world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	1	$48	401	0	+401	open	—	06-14 13:54
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	2	$42	391	391	+0	open	—	06-12 17:08
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	1	$40	347	0	+347	open	—	05-16 09:42
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	2	$39	342	0	+342	open	—	07-04 10:20
over 2m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$38	527	0	+527	open	—	06-30 19:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$38	878	0	+878	open	—	05-26 10:05
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	5	$37	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	05-16 15:52
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	3	$37	550	384	+166	open	—	07-06 03:45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	2	$36	225	225	+0	open	—	06-09 08:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	1	$32	216	0	+216	open	—	06-08 13:18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	8	$31	280	0	+280	open	—	05-25 13:53
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	3	$30	639	0	+639	open	—	05-28 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 23:35:02	will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	159	7¢	$11	0x428f46…
07-09 23:34:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	417	6¢	$24	0x77e9b6…
07-06 03:45:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	166	5¢	$8	0xc474d8…
07-06 03:44:35	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x33249f…
07-06 03:42:44	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	384	4¢	$14	0x38f07a…
07-05 09:50:47	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	384	4¢	$14	0x345f63…
07-04 10:20:22	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	63	15¢	$9	0xb35195…
07-03 15:06:31	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x3e5316…
07-03 14:12:17	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	1,002	0¢	$3	0xfddd65…
07-03 09:27:58	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	278	11¢	$30	0x6c2c23…
07-03 09:10:11	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x74d769…
07-03 09:09:46	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x72f413…
07-02 22:38:37	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	375	2¢	$6	0xb185c6…
07-02 17:26:08	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	327	29¢	$94	0xc0a342…
07-02 02:52:40	over 18m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	310	2¢	$5	0x6f601c…
07-02 02:48:43	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xa70fda…
07-02 02:44:59	over 20m committed to the laso finance public sale 697 196 698 668	No	BUY	951	3¢	$28	0x18b807…
07-02 02:44:26	over 16m committed to the laso finance public sale 146	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x7f62a8…
07-01 13:22:19	over 14m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1,535	2¢	$29	0x4a734e…
07-01 11:18:35	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	No	BUY	9,198	0¢	$11	0x6939b3…
06-30 22:42:11	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1,124	1¢	$11	0xf8cfc2…
06-30 21:33:19	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	322	2¢	$6	0x03c566…
06-30 21:33:17	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1,080	1¢	$6	0x883b4e…
06-30 21:17:11	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	882	7¢	$59	0x5bb8f6…
06-30 21:16:29	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	371	15¢	$55	0x548191…
06-30 19:39:58	over 2m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	507	7¢	$36	0x202e93…
06-30 19:39:40	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	460	2¢	$10	0x75ddb9…
06-29 23:34:49	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	99	9¢	$9	0x9bca75…
06-26 19:57:16	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x4a7fd7…
06-26 12:55:11	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	650	8¢	$50	0xd32044…
06-25 15:48:46	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	104	8¢	$9	0x200f3a…
06-25 04:52:19	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	113	7¢	$8	0xd61a43…
06-24 13:30:07	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x7320a3…
06-24 13:29:23	over 2m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe78bad…
06-24 10:07:52	will cambria launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	327	7¢	$23	0x4e508d…
06-23 14:48:25	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	340	84¢	$284	0xf7a701…
06-22 11:14:22	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x2985d4…
06-22 11:10:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0xb49d10…
06-17 23:29:50	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2c833d…
06-17 23:29:26	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x00f641…
06-17 23:25:46	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	320	3¢	$9	0x4b0685…
06-17 23:25:32	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x4343ec…
06-14 13:54:18	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	No	BUY	401	12¢	$48	0x410de5…
06-13 00:29:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x35b339…
06-12 22:21:16	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	BUY	1,357	1¢	$7	0xf41a3c…
06-12 17:19:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0xd956c5…
06-12 17:08:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	No	SELL	391	3¢	$12	0xa3bc5f…
06-09 15:40:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x922c7e…
06-09 10:49:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0xa66540…
06-09 09:00:06	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	328	5¢	$17	0xe1071a…
06-09 08:44:25	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	No	SELL	225	3¢	$8	0xef5488…
06-08 19:17:10	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	340	3¢	$9	0x58e133…
06-08 18:52:58	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	No	BUY	225	12¢	$28	0x9dd91d…
06-08 17:32:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	No	BUY	391	8¢	$30	0x3ac211…
06-08 13:19:40	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x042918…
06-08 13:18:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	216	15¢	$32	0x4196bc…
06-08 13:14:00	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	634	85¢	$539	0x834080…
06-06 08:21:06	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	No	BUY	242	4¢	$10	0x5512da…
06-06 08:06:12	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x149665…
06-03 23:17:25	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	BUY	501	2¢	$10	0xcea40e…
06-03 22:11:12	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x5c3637…
06-03 22:10:28	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	213	14¢	$30	0xe8b743…
06-03 08:39:23	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	BUY	825	1¢	$11	0x49124f…
05-28 16:53:40	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	7,625	0¢	$10	0x8cddcd…
05-28 16:47:30	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,050	1¢	$10	0xe375ab…
05-28 16:34:19	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	181	11¢	$20	0xdc68e2…
05-28 16:34:04	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	No	BUY	347	3¢	$10	0x3a82c5…
05-28 09:14:31	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	266	18¢	$48	0xcefbc3…
05-28 09:13:49	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x410dbc…
05-28 08:42:49	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	434	18¢	$78	0x4784fe…
05-28 00:56:46	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x0616b5…
05-28 00:43:29	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	No	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x9c64a4…
05-28 00:43:21	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	No	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x6e82c3…
05-28 00:42:46	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	249	12¢	$30	0x06493e…
05-27 15:31:06	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by June 30?	No	BUY	11,620	0¢	$12	0x8732cd…
05-27 07:57:58	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	232	4¢	$9	0xc2d182…
05-27 07:37:49	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	448	2¢	$10	0x83bbdd…
05-26 20:40:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	217	25¢	$54	0x12cbc4…
05-26 17:04:54	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	217	24¢	$53	0x317563…
05-26 10:05:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x75aa7a…
05-25 13:53:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3764a7…
05-25 13:53:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x08b9ad…
05-25 13:53:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x07d4bb…
05-25 13:52:21	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xf6f5ca…
05-25 13:51:20	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x43de18…
05-25 13:17:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc3fdda…
05-25 13:09:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x20b8de…
05-25 13:09:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd66c09…
05-25 13:09:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e8788…
05-25 12:07:48	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	590	1¢	$4	0xd28b6d…
05-25 12:02:59	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	590	2¢	$10	0x820f1f…
05-24 20:59:38	Will Bernie say "Elon" or "Musk" in Maine?	No	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0x865652…
05-24 12:45:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	423	8¢	$33	0xd2d6d7…
05-24 00:04:06	Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	No	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x9a0abf…
05-24 00:02:49	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	827	0¢	$3	0xeef0f1…
05-23 22:32:50	Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	No	BUY	307	4¢	$11	0xb0533e…
05-23 22:30:58	Will Trump say "Bird" in May?	No	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x2558a4…
05-23 11:26:35	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	303	3¢	$9	0xf849a1…
05-23 11:15:38	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	524	3¢	$15	0x35090a…
05-23 00:26:04	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbcca22…