Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$798
Trades
50
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$24
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-31 11:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $282 | $2 | +$279 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $378 | $3 | +$375 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $35 | $3 | +$31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $16 | $4 | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $335 | $2 | +$333 |
| Median | 1 | $44 | — | +$44 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $35 | $4 | +$30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $282 | $0 | +$282 |
| unranked | 7 | $16 | $2 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | +331 | $325 | $325 | 8 | 07-28 13:15 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | +283 | $282 | $282 | 2 | 07-31 11:07 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-31 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbf1…b72d | No | +72 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 08:20 |
| Shady-Wolf 0xc93f…445d | No | +70 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-28 13:15 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +70 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 03:15 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-30 15:20 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 12:02 |
| Round-Nutrient 0x6b48…9c41 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-30 09:34 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | +6 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 06-09 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | No | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | No | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8893…07ed | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 18:29 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-31 07:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 100¢ | $194 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 11:07:11 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d13db… |
| 07-31 07:12:15 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x38469c… |
| 07-31 07:12:15 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 84 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x38469c… |
| 07-31 07:12:15 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x38469c… |
| 07-30 09:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81cc46… |
| 07-30 09:34:50 | Round-Nutrient 0x6b48…9c41 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x81cc46… |
| 07-28 13:15:46 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x557603… |
| 07-28 13:15:46 | Shady-Wolf 0xc93f…445d | No | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x557603… |
| 07-28 13:15:34 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x725e8b… |
| 07-28 13:15:34 | Shady-Wolf 0xc93f…445d | No | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x725e8b… |
| 07-25 18:29:07 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd8a71… |
| 07-25 18:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x8893…07ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd8a71… |
| 07-08 08:20:47 | (anonymous) 0xbbf1…b72d | No | BUY | 72 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2b9f59… |
| 07-08 08:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2b9f59… |
| 07-08 08:20:47 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x2b9f59… |
| 07-08 03:15:53 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x287e89… |
| 07-08 03:15:53 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x287e89… |
| 07-08 03:15:53 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 99¢ | $168 | 0x287e89… |
| 07-06 09:14:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaab973… |
| 07-06 09:14:01 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xaab973… |
| 07-06 09:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaab973… |
| 06-13 08:30:27 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x89a829… |
| 06-13 08:30:27 | Posh-Illustration 0xf686…c793 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x89a829… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x562314… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x562314… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x562314… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 97¢ | $43 | 0x562314… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x562314… |
| 06-03 13:50:58 | Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | No | SELL | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x5f4ef7… |
| 06-03 13:50:58 | Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a…a638 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 95¢ | $35 | 0x5f4ef7… |
| 06-01 12:02:04 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9d8112… |
| 06-01 12:02:04 | Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9d8112… |
| 06-01 12:02:04 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x9d8112… |
| 05-30 15:20:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2b7263… |
| 05-30 15:20:46 | Wordy-Criminal 0x3d0a…f795 | No | SELL | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2b7263… |
| 05-30 15:20:46 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2b7263… |
| 05-30 15:19:57 | Wordy-Criminal 0x3d0a…f795 | No | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0333f0… |
| 05-30 15:19:57 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0333f0… |
| 05-30 15:19:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0333f0… |
| 05-28 08:39:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf4769f… |
| 05-28 08:39:00 | Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a…a638 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 95¢ | $35 | 0xf4769f… |
| 05-28 08:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf4769f… |