Thorny-Oversight 0xa62abc…3aa8ff
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$46
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
573
lifetime
Volume
$66.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$1.68K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-10 00:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
42% — —
Other
34% 0% $-44
Tech
17% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +463 $296 62¢ $285 $-12 06-09 17:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $252 82¢ $248 $-4 06-04 20:04
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -268 $-225 92¢ $-245 $-20 05-31 20:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -240 $-202 84¢ $-203 $-1 05-31 14:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +230 $199 88¢ $201 +$2 06-03 06:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -205 $-193 95¢ $-194 $-1 06-01 20:02
New pandemic in 2026? No +179 $160 88¢ $158 $-2 06-04 20:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +90 $74 90¢ $81 +$8 05-31 15:04
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +55 $53 96¢ $53 +$0 05-27 21:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-03 17:04