Thorny-Oversight 0xa62abc…3aa8ff
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$46
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,225
lifetime
Volume
$127.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$6.78K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-01 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
64% — —
Other
20% 0% $-44
Tech
12% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,347 $3,788 86¢ $3.8K $-27 06-29 02:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +665 $609 96¢ $639 +$30 06-30 16:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +613 $532 90¢ $555 +$23 06-21 21:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -577 $-520 94¢ $-539 $-20 06-19 17:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -240 $-202 86¢ $-208 $-6 05-31 14:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +241 $200 84¢ $202 +$2 06-28 04:51
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -205 $-193 98¢ $-201 $-9 06-01 20:02
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +240 $200 84¢ $200 +$0 07-01 20:42
New pandemic in 2026? No +213 $190 92¢ $195 +$5 06-18 15:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +143 $100 74¢ $106 +$6 06-29 11:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +115 $101 88¢ $101 +$0 06-29 17:04
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$1 05-27 21:00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +25 $22 88¢ $22 +$0 06-27 15:56