Thorny-Oversight 0xa62abc…3aa8ff
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$46
Unrealized P&L
-$1.59K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,741
lifetime
Volume
$178.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$1.99K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-22 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
60% — —
Tech
20% — —
Other
17% 0% $-44
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
1% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -577 $-520 94¢ $-545 $-25 06-19 17:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -370 $1,293 72¢ $-265 $-1,557 07-17 16:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -240 $-202 86¢ $-208 $-6 05-31 14:15
New pandemic in 2026? No +213 $190 94¢ $199 +$9 06-18 15:19
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +240 $200 80¢ $193 $-7 07-01 20:42
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No -161 $-150 94¢ $-151 $-1 07-22 19:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +143 $100 78¢ $112 +$12 06-29 11:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +115 $101 86¢ $99 $-1 06-29 17:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +110 $98 74¢ $81 $-17 07-14 17:00
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$1 05-27 21:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $45 89¢ $44 $-1 07-22 13:42
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +45 $39 83¢ $38 $-2 07-22 13:49