Thorny-Oversight 0xa62abc…3aa8ff Create alert
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$6.95K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.43K
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved (90d)
89
Trades (90d)
670
2,835 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$142.9K
$380.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$1.13K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-02 15:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Tech
43% 88% +$17,422
Politics
35% 63% +$772
Other
14% 51% -$890
Sports
5% 50% -$451
Crypto
4% 50% +$1,129
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +310 $156 86¢ $268 +$113 11-01 16:11
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +215 $181 96¢ $207 +$27 09-19 09:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +213 $180 92¢ $195 +$15 10-30 19:03
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +148 $123 73¢ $108 -$15 11-02 14:35
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +135 $90 64¢ $87 -$3 10-24 13:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +127 $90 65¢ $83 -$8 10-24 14:30
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +76 $68 92¢ $70 +$1 10-29 17:46
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +52 $45 88¢ $46 +$1 10-31 17:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +31 $1,585 82¢ $26 -$1,559 10-29 17:54
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +18 $5 48¢ $9 +$4 10-30 17:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 10-21 16:29
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $6 29¢ $6 $0 10-16 18:58
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $4 28¢ $5 +$0 10-12 13:20
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +13 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 10-20 14:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $4 38¢ $4 +$0 11-02 15:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +28 $5 14¢ $4 -$1 10-30 23:45
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 $0 10-31 17:11
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 10-31 17:15