Admired-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$37

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

1,836

Trades

17,705

lifetime

Volume

$1.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$6.26K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Politics

42% 81% -$3,916

Crypto

37% 63% -$13,834

Other

20% 87% +$4,937

Tech

2% 81% +$499

Sports

0% 86% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 1340 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-4,500	-$4,266	96¢	$-4320	-$54	07-17 03:06
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,599	$1,261	86¢	$1.4K	+$116	10-27 12:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+930	$349	32¢	$302	-$47	10-08 19:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+750	$278	32¢	$244	-$34	10-22 01:36
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$32	14¢	$14	-$18	10-20 02:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	375	$118.9K	74,599	78,434	-3,835	No	-$243	04-16 04:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	114	$52.6K	26,389	27,009	-620	No	+$223	03-29 21:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	130	$35.2K	27,638	26,107	+1,530	Yes	-$4,085	04-16 18:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	25	$29.5K	14,661	15,135	-475	Yes	-$5	04-07 22:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	80	$20.4K	13,176	13,176	+0	open	—	10-20 05:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$17.6K	8,845	8,845	+0	Yes	+$9	04-21 19:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	30	$14.2K	7,369	7,369	+0	No	+$58	04-15 10:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	191	$13.9K	8,003	7,279	+723	Yes	+$42	03-03 18:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	43	$13.8K	8,532	8,532	+0	No	+$990	08-20 22:08
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	106	$13.1K	9,869	7,219	+2,651	No	+$37	01-30 05:01
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	17	$12.1K	6,043	6,043	+0	No	+$6	02-03 04:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	71	$11.9K	7,986	5,771	+2,215	No	+$300	05-03 13:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	61	$10.7K	6,797	6,797	+0	No	+$1,055	09-28 12:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	151	$10.7K	6,413	6,603	-190	No	-$7	04-01 04:06
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	47	$9.7K	6,204	3,558	+2,646	No	+$8	01-24 06:41
will iran strike israel on march 6	39	$9.5K	3,773	5,779	-2,006	No	$0	03-11 04:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	116	$8.5K	7,171	7,226	-55	No	-$259	05-24 09:30
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$8.3K	4,171	4,171	+0	Yes	+$5	04-08 06:18
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	67	$7.8K	5,283	2,584	+2,699	No	+$10	01-16 03:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	8	$7.6K	2,000	6,500	-4,500	open	—	07-17 03:06
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	11	$7.5K	3,748	3,738	+10	Yes	+$4	03-24 05:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$7.4K	3,712	3,712	+0	No	+$5	04-19 00:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	54	$7.3K	4,766	5,286	-519	No	-$135	05-06 11:22
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	37	$6.8K	3,785	3,146	+639	Yes	+$52	01-25 03:01
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	109	$6.7K	3,928	3,165	+763	No	+$30	01-18 02:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	27	$6.6K	3,770	3,270	+500	No	+$138	03-15 02:39
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$6.3K	3,196	3,196	+0	No	+$36	05-21 13:09
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	48	$5.8K	3,454	2,347	+1,107	No	+$8	02-01 04:52
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	61	$5.6K	3,660	2,051	+1,610	No	+$17	01-17 04:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	6	$5.6K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$311	09-17 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:42:06	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x444af4…
10-26 03:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd6b74a…
10-26 03:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb02237…
10-26 03:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x22c63a…
10-25 05:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa2fe0a…
10-25 04:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x65076a…
10-25 04:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xba2608…
10-25 04:57:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	400	33¢	$132	0xd8493d…
10-25 04:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9e74f5…
10-25 04:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x667570…
10-25 04:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	83	13¢	$11	0x0ece07…
10-25 04:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbcb636…
10-25 04:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x732e90…
10-25 04:38:45	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xfb96b6…
10-25 04:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x669f94…
10-25 04:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6f216e…
10-25 04:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x372550…
10-25 04:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xde8ff9…
10-25 04:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0xaa88a6…
10-25 04:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0xddad55…
10-25 04:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xdfbbe3…
10-25 04:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x3754c8…
10-25 04:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3f6f1b…
10-25 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	185	70¢	$129	0xc5e984…
10-25 04:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x1c34cf…
10-25 04:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x49de6f…
10-25 04:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xfcd13e…
10-25 04:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	106	83¢	$88	0xffffe7…
10-25 04:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x65f463…
10-25 04:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x6e216d…
10-25 04:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xe24d4b…
10-25 04:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	162	40¢	$64	0xd797a1…
10-25 04:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0xffdccf…
10-25 04:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfdb87f…
10-25 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x99f070…
10-25 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x38fe12…
10-25 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x21faf5…
10-25 04:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0xd43739…
10-25 04:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbfc562…
10-25 04:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x185c79…
10-25 04:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	89	26¢	$23	0x6d81a1…
10-25 04:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0xcf4c4a…
10-25 04:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x5aa8d7…
10-25 04:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x1a26fa…
10-25 04:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	58	61¢	$35	0xf45fc7…
10-25 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x6641fd…
10-25 04:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	347	73¢	$254	0x418c01…
10-25 04:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x9afe90…
10-25 04:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x76df5d…
10-25 04:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0x20a1f9…
10-25 04:00:14	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0x77d9a1…
10-25 03:16:18	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	99	92¢	$91	0x7623f7…
10-25 03:10:09	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb51417…
10-25 02:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc1f999…
10-25 02:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x43b6f9…
10-25 02:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5b37c5…
10-25 02:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x79d46f…
10-25 02:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9319bb…
10-25 02:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x629fb7…
10-25 02:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	221	16¢	$35	0xe48a51…
10-25 02:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x517d2f…
10-25 02:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xe744f6…
10-25 02:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x4db686…
10-25 02:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xee7658…
10-25 02:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	116	7¢	$9	0xd06af8…
10-25 02:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd08626…
10-25 02:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x428fff…
10-25 02:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xe7f51c…
10-25 02:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	155	80¢	$124	0x98d99d…
10-25 02:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xf2fd4b…
10-25 02:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb1b54a…
10-25 02:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0xc3c8a4…
10-25 02:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x2a9d60…
10-25 02:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9b0b31…
10-25 02:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x42f7b4…
10-25 02:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	59	76¢	$45	0xa9bcc5…
10-25 02:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	59	77¢	$45	0x3ecd3c…
10-25 02:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xd94734…
10-25 02:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x0f5d1d…
10-25 02:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd17a57…
10-25 02:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	210	60¢	$126	0x875010…
10-25 02:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x3a026b…
10-25 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x2f7d50…
10-25 02:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb2b44…
10-25 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xdda4b4…
10-25 02:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xfc5a50…
10-25 02:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xc28343…
10-25 02:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x30279d…
10-25 02:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8dd9d4…
10-25 02:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6ff092…
10-25 02:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0xc6850d…
10-25 02:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	83	91¢	$76	0x3a3ba2…
10-25 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x21de52…
10-25 02:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x87b00f…
10-25 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x4090c8…
10-25 02:30:08	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xc1aec3…
10-25 02:29:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	65	79¢	$51	0x30310b…
10-25 02:28:51	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe5a78d…
10-25 02:28:48	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x38503c…
10-25 02:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	145	83¢	$120	0xc99cc1…