Frequent-Cornmeal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$20.0K

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

622

Trades

3,629

lifetime

Volume

$2.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$778

Open exposure

$16.4K

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-27 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 61% +$57,464

Politics

15% 89% +$1,470

Other

14% 79% -$15,357

Sports

11% 84% +$10,474

Tech

0% 100% +$2,006

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	+17,068	$6,144	60¢	$10.2K	+$4,011	10-27 14:02
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	+46,916	$17,264	10¢	$4.5K	-$12,807	10-15 19:17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	+12,054	$7,129	14¢	$1.6K	-$5,501	10-15 15:12
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+6,356	$5,847	3¢	$168	-$5,679	10-02 12:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	28	$124.7K	125,092	0	+125,092	No	+$375	06-04 00:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$99.8K	50,000	50,000	+0	Yes	-$50	04-21 18:54
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	28	$84.9K	44,482	44,482	+0	Yes	+$3,839	03-17 01:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$83.2K	66,666	16,666	+50,000	Yes	+$117	06-17 22:37
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$70.1K	70,638	0	+70,638	No	+$577	03-31 19:09
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$69.9K	70,000	0	+70,000	Yes	+$70	04-08 09:23
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$63.6K	51,074	49,687	+1,387	No	+$72	04-28 13:57
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	56	$53.6K	77,428	7,072	+70,356	$80k	+$24,440	05-04 02:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$100	04-08 15:43
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$150	05-03 02:07
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 8	2	$48.0K	48,468	0	+48,468	No	+$485	06-08 13:58
bitcoin up or down on march 8	44	$43.3K	43,394	0	+43,394	Down	+$56	03-08 19:09
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$40.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	+$40	03-11 22:18
will aleksandra goryachkina win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	2	$38.5K	38,706	0	+38,706	No	+$226	04-15 15:37
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$37.0K	37,076	0	+37,076	No	+$78	03-17 20:19
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$34.8K	37,777	0	+37,777	Yes	+$3,022	07-19 15:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$33.2K	33,333	0	+33,333	Yes	+$100	04-30 22:02
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 9	4	$31.0K	31,294	0	+31,294	No	+$288	06-10 03:10
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in august 2026	3	$30.5K	15,581	15,078	+503	No	+$86	08-29 16:47
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	2	$29.9K	30,069	0	+30,069	No	+$135	08-01 01:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	9	$29.9K	55,792	10,000	+45,792	Yes	+$28,479	04-29 11:10
Will Victor Osimhen record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?	3	$28.7K	28,857	0	+28,857	No	+$149	05-05 21:15
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	9	$27.7K	28,000	0	+28,000	Yes	+$272	03-17 01:38
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	68	$27.5K	14,483	13,832	+651	No	+$755	07-16 04:23
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$26.5K	29,449	0	+29,449	Yes	+$2,955	07-18 22:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	1	$26.3K	26,366	0	+26,366	Yes	+$26	05-04 15:44
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	4	$26.2K	26,360	0	+26,360	No	+$191	05-03 23:23
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	5	$26.0K	13,491	13,491	+0	No	+$747	06-29 04:23
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	1	$25.9K	25,890	0	+25,890	No	+$26	03-16 01:12
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	8	$25.7K	41,606	2,252	+39,354	No	+$15,920	07-07 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:02:53	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	17,068	36¢	$6,144	0x547835…
10-25 15:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x29c696…
10-25 15:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xa2ba25…
10-25 15:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x93ce34…
10-25 15:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x81ec4c…
10-25 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	73	49¢	$36	0xa79160…
10-25 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x9c3397…
10-25 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	58	49¢	$28	0x41c6ab…
10-25 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	322	49¢	$158	0x318c18…
10-22 06:42:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,266	96¢	$1,215	0x79764c…
10-22 06:42:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	360	96¢	$345	0x322e9d…
10-22 06:40:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	240	94¢	$226	0x8f2409…
10-19 15:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x48b477…
10-19 15:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb16c7f…
10-19 15:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd35522…
10-19 14:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x86f0c2…
10-19 12:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa8304b…
10-19 11:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe58fb5…
10-19 08:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4f3d75…
10-18 15:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0xd4b3bd…
10-17 15:55:12	bitcoin up or down on october 18 2026	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xb62b3a…
10-17 15:25:59	bitcoin up or down on october 18 2026	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x8c3bc3…
10-16 20:31:48	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in october 2026 from october 16	Yes	BUY	743	85¢	$631	0x7a700d…
10-16 19:17:41	Will Aleksei Sarana finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 20?	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,940	0x5b1967…
10-16 19:17:19	Will Haik Martirosyan finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 20?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$386	0x1af30d…
10-16 15:59:03	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	192	49¢	$94	0x6be852…
10-16 15:59:03	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0x6b6c6c…
10-16 15:55:40	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	5,324	49¢	$2,609	0x707dce…
10-16 10:37:15	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x8b5853…
10-15 19:17:56	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	109	34¢	$37	0xe08ecc…
10-15 19:17:53	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	732	34¢	$249	0x3ae725…
10-15 19:17:50	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	480	34¢	$163	0x567ef6…
10-15 19:17:46	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	23,545	35¢	$8,127	0x7e3bb3…
10-15 18:50:35	Will Cap dip to $0.015 before 2027?	No	BUY	162	75¢	$121	0x067194…
10-15 15:13:49	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	907	40¢	$363	0xe171d4…
10-15 15:12:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	336	62¢	$208	0xb6b55a…
10-15 02:25:38	will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	318	84¢	$267	0xeb654e…
10-15 02:23:20	will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	1,068	80¢	$854	0xe7577a…
10-13 00:10:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,886	55¢	$2,687	0xe3575c…
10-09 20:39:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,156	44¢	$2,269	0x821884…
10-09 03:25:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	404	95¢	$384	0x1b28f1…
10-08 22:12:48	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	92	85¢	$78	0x9cb957…
10-08 21:33:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,271	53¢	$1,734	0x855006…
10-08 21:32:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	6,832	62¢	$4,233	0x9085b5…
10-07 02:27:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,079	56¢	$604	0x0a8d7d…
10-02 12:37:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,016	92¢	$935	0x96e25d…
10-02 12:37:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	129	92¢	$119	0x8d7c2d…
10-02 12:36:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,211	92¢	$4,794	0x8f288d…
10-01 18:43:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	12,715	34¢	$4,323	0x3a0fa9…
10-01 16:16:20	will bitcoin reach 85k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0xa5ea26…
10-01 15:59:53	will bitcoin reach 85k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	1,694	88¢	$1,491	0x44b2ea…
09-30 19:39:03	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	900	1¢	$10	0xb34dd0…
09-30 19:37:35	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x32a985…
09-30 19:22:15	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	1,430	1¢	$16	0x80f02b…
09-30 17:09:44	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	5,225	1¢	$73	0x55ac72…
09-30 12:44:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	SELL	2,856	0¢	$3	0x4e63de…
09-30 12:30:39	will bitcoin dip to 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xc3f058…
09-30 05:24:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	6,604	96¢	$6,348	0x02ce75…
09-30 05:23:54	will bitcoin dip to 80k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5,735	3¢	$157	0x316cb2…
09-30 03:31:32	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	6,083	98¢	$5,987	0xa6a19f…
09-29 15:14:45	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	Yes	BUY	2,340	31¢	$726	0xd6ceab…
09-29 15:14:26	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	Yes	BUY	502	31¢	$156	0xe3af28…
09-29 15:12:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	Yes	BUY	371	31¢	$115	0x6f89bb…
09-29 15:04:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	Yes	BUY	704	34¢	$239	0xb4932c…
09-29 14:56:20	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 27	Yes	BUY	714	43¢	$307	0x9e2a5a…
09-27 06:48:05	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x5707cd…
09-27 05:35:18	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x572be5…
09-27 05:18:36	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8eb535…
09-26 23:07:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	SELL	9,592	0¢	$29	0xc769f6…
09-26 18:19:03	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	124	5¢	$6	0xcfe080…
09-26 16:44:38	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x3c9df1…
09-26 15:40:39	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x98e9c5…
09-25 14:46:21	Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	5,248	2¢	$104	0x126eb2…
09-25 01:52:29	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	4,817	87¢	$4,191	0x772952…
09-24 16:41:38	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	870	94¢	$818	0x5f086c…
09-24 14:32:53	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	346	92¢	$318	0xf447ad…
09-24 14:32:47	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	531	92¢	$489	0xb25e9b…
09-24 13:37:56	Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	683	7¢	$47	0x46e728…
09-24 12:51:50	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	709	31¢	$220	0x3eb2da…
09-24 12:47:17	Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	154	2¢	$3	0xe49bc9…
09-23 04:36:31	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	108	92¢	$99	0x1cd5b8…
09-23 04:35:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	888	29¢	$255	0xdbd4c6…
09-23 04:34:58	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	435	92¢	$401	0xa31d97…
09-23 04:34:37	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xac0e20…
09-23 04:33:23	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	278	93¢	$259	0x085fcc…
09-23 04:33:22	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	790	93¢	$735	0xaac0a6…
09-22 13:08:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	10,010	14¢	$1,451	0xa4b0cf…
09-22 12:30:48	friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,902	1¢	$19	0x01a2af…
09-22 00:37:45	Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x715204…
09-21 23:46:00	Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	673	1¢	$8	0xee23d4…
09-21 23:32:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	317	82¢	$260	0xe7708f…
09-21 23:19:10	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	801	82¢	$657	0xee336a…
09-21 22:14:58	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	324	83¢	$269	0x61de54…
09-21 22:14:04	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	14,655	84¢	$12,310	0x43d574…
09-21 22:07:48	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	270	83¢	$224	0x81a149…
09-20 17:49:00	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	17,443	5¢	$790	0x07af66…
09-20 17:37:55	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	319	2¢	$6	0xaef6ee…
09-20 16:16:34	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	12¢	$40	0x8de6b5…
09-20 03:50:18	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	31¢	$130	0x7f3526…
09-19 04:20:22	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18	Yes	BUY	2,737	40¢	$1,107	0x0769f8…