Forceful-Infant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,939

lifetime

Volume

$211.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-20 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

86% 100% +$2

Other

10% 100% +$2

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	07-05 19:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		-10	$-10	97¢	$-10	+$0	07-04 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	19	$4.7K	2,536	2,179	+356	open	—	05-29 00:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	12	$3.9K	2,012	1,920	+92	open	—	05-22 03:12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	26	$3.5K	2,300	1,310	+990	open	—	05-24 06:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	24	$3.2K	1,683	1,593	+90	open	—	05-28 20:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	17	$3.2K	2,659	600	+2,059	open	—	05-26 03:25
israel closes its airspace by june 9	20	$3.0K	2,260	957	+1,303	open	—	06-09 21:55
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	42	$3.0K	2,362	1,141	+1,221	open	—	06-26 21:22
israel closes its airspace by june 10	23	$2.6K	1,903	808	+1,095	open	—	06-11 04:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	8	$2.5K	1,501	1,000	+501	open	—	06-08 01:42
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	17	$2.5K	2,511	0	+2,511	open	—	04-05 00:33
will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	5	$2.4K	1,231	1,231	+0	open	—	03-02 00:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	32	$2.4K	2,209	248	+1,961	open	—	05-29 05:44
israel closes its airspace by june 12	13	$2.2K	2,224	0	+2,224	open	—	06-13 03:29
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026?	8	$2.2K	2,175	0	+2,175	open	—	04-03 16:54
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	18	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-01 23:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	5	$2.1K	1,900	200	+1,700	open	—	06-06 00:16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	21	$2.1K	1,860	310	+1,550	open	—	05-30 03:46
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	18	$2.1K	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	04-08 01:24
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	5	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	04-04 19:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$2.0K	1,200	900	+300	open	—	06-17 13:30
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	18	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	open	—	03-29 00:30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	15	$2.0K	1,033	1,015	+18	open	—	05-14 18:59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	6	$2.0K	2,013	0	+2,013	open	—	04-02 23:42
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	5	$1.9K	1,940	0	+1,940	open	—	04-08 02:30
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	13	$1.8K	1,250	600	+650	open	—	04-24 11:55
israel closes its airspace by june 8	22	$1.8K	1,720	180	+1,540	open	—	06-08 19:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	14	$1.8K	1,101	750	+351	open	—	06-12 20:16
will iran strike israel on march 4	41	$1.8K	1,190	1,200	-10	open	—	03-06 19:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	8	$1.8K	1,500	300	+1,200	open	—	05-27 03:02
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	6	$1.7K	1,252	500	+752	open	—	04-06 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:50:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc86129…
07-20 08:28:06	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x2bbe4c…
07-19 12:28:25	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x17353f…
07-19 12:14:12	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x541895…
07-19 12:09:48	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4eb849…
07-15 18:52:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6c9b29…
07-14 21:00:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals pedri gte1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x049668…
07-14 20:59:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37cefa…
07-14 20:58:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2135aa…
07-14 20:53:47	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff02c3…
07-13 21:46:58	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xe3db95…
07-13 20:31:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0x853de9…
07-13 15:34:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x375f5d…
07-11 20:51:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x8cc1fd…
07-11 20:41:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x413598…
07-11 15:49:05	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x97dc12…
07-07 11:33:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc6cb17…
07-05 19:25:35	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdbec18…
07-04 08:10:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd24fb8…
07-03 22:03:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe0c2b1…
06-30 17:47:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2c9a32…
06-30 17:16:10	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x613ed4…
06-30 17:13:16	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9b0f6a…
06-30 15:22:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xccaafd…
06-30 15:20:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x543058…
06-30 14:59:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0x5ae0e0…
06-30 12:33:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x3ff2d8…
06-30 12:33:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xd80538…
06-30 12:33:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x148b00…
06-30 12:30:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xfb7952…
06-30 12:30:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xed35be…
06-30 12:30:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xb9f13d…
06-30 12:25:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	24	88¢	$22	0xc4b45c…
06-30 12:24:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x845882…
06-30 12:24:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xec45d2…
06-30 12:24:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xe4e812…
06-30 12:24:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa58955…
06-30 12:24:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9a2b36…
06-30 12:24:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x722d64…
06-30 12:21:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	39	88¢	$35	0x598264…
06-30 12:20:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x5bdbc0…
06-30 12:20:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0x89a891…
06-30 12:20:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x735fdc…
06-30 12:20:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x72d4dd…
06-29 22:38:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0x030cc4…
06-29 20:41:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x979ef7…
06-29 14:26:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x74c03f…
06-27 21:00:01	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58227d…
06-27 07:28:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0cd03e…
06-26 21:22:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0xbf1e60…
06-24 21:09:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	34	80¢	$27	0xfd22bc…
06-24 21:08:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0x8e7fb6…
06-24 17:23:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x45b136…
06-24 17:16:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	250	70¢	$175	0x34a957…
06-24 17:10:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	171	70¢	$120	0xa33967…
06-24 16:53:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x74d3d7…
06-24 16:51:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x94a751…
06-24 16:49:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xdf61f9…
06-24 16:45:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	150	78¢	$117	0x4616b3…
06-24 16:07:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe1d591…
06-24 15:57:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	850	92¢	$782	0xc35527…
06-23 23:34:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	81	88¢	$71	0xb1a5a1…
06-23 22:56:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x86cab0…
06-23 13:54:46	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdfa18f…
06-23 11:30:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xb36ad4…
06-23 11:22:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xcc4dfb…
06-23 11:06:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7fbe4e…
06-23 11:01:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xdb0d6b…
06-23 10:56:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	91	85¢	$78	0x21ac11…
06-23 10:25:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0x568f11…
06-23 10:07:46	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	BUY	505	98¢	$497	0xb234e6…
06-23 09:55:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0x001563…
06-23 08:24:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x929f68…
06-23 08:21:08	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xef0452…
06-23 08:20:26	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe5fce9…
06-23 08:20:26	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x1ccf45…
06-23 03:59:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x949110…
06-23 03:50:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe474b3…
06-23 03:47:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x0541b9…
06-23 03:43:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf659b3…
06-23 03:42:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xa44409…
06-23 02:14:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc5c95f…
06-22 20:52:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdc0b37…
06-22 20:47:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x2c8b1e…
06-22 20:32:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d02c0…
06-22 20:05:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x2a8105…
06-22 20:01:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0xf45271…
06-22 19:41:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x0add56…
06-22 10:07:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x6421b5…
06-22 09:58:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2bae65…
06-22 09:58:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xbbc455…
06-22 09:43:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0xd76e5c…
06-22 09:36:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3cdebf…
06-22 08:35:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x383459…
06-22 08:26:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xeb39c5…
06-22 08:23:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x7d3cf4…
06-22 08:20:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x08cfee…
06-21 21:08:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	51	91¢	$47	0x6b937f…
06-21 15:03:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	80	73¢	$58	0x957829…
06-21 14:56:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xc4c7f3…