Whopping-Kilogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$221

Open exposure

$97

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-26 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$65

Other

42% 72% -$64

Crypto

2% 67% -$18

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+25	$24	97¢	$24	$0	10-01 12:37
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+24	$24	100¢	$24	+$0	05-09 02:03
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	05-10 09:36
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	+17	$17	100¢	$17	+$0	05-09 01:18
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+12	$12	97¢	$12	$0	05-09 01:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	11	$11.9K	11,976	0	+11,976	Yes	+$57	05-13 11:01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$10.9K	5,738	5,738	+0	No	-$78	05-13 09:20
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$4	05-13 15:22
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$562	282	282	+0	No	+$1	06-18 13:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	6	$425	218	218	+0	No	+$0	05-13 15:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	17	$227	117	117	+0	No	+$2	05-29 15:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	06-26 01:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 02:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-28 17:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	10-26 15:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	1	$54	55	0	+55	No	+$1	07-02 20:24
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-04 18:46
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-16 01:15
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	3	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-13 15:22
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	08-28 21:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$1	07-24 08:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-09 01:39
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 02:41
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-07 01:22
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-09 01:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-09 01:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	10-01 12:37
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-09 02:03
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-22 05:44
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-20 03:02
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-21 01:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-09 02:10
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-10 09:36
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-09 11:06
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-09 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:39:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfc7705…
10-26 14:57:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x11e014…
10-26 12:40:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa2888a…
10-25 17:41:29	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x340c8f…
10-01 12:37:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x0c87e3…
10-01 12:35:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xa3fd53…
10-01 12:33:54	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x41e906…
08-28 21:21:30	Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5fedf7…
08-28 17:06:31	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79c3d5…
08-19 15:26:51	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2aeb2d…
08-19 15:25:09	will bitcoin reach 72k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x28d8d4…
08-03 08:46:14	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x87301c…
08-03 08:40:41	will trump meet with kim jong un in august 2026 20260731154202608	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6f928…
07-24 08:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x15db1b…
07-22 00:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x76a0c6…
07-07 01:22:25	Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xeca235…
07-04 18:46:37	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb046e4…
07-02 20:30:52	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7adb16…
07-02 20:24:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xbd6972…
06-26 01:25:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x717f61…
06-26 01:23:19	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x90f1a1…
06-26 01:23:08	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8889e2…
06-26 01:22:37	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2980bd…
06-26 01:22:29	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19b5f6…
06-26 01:22:22	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x148fca…
06-26 01:21:46	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd886ee…
06-26 01:21:32	Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc7b33c…
06-26 01:21:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x766bc7…
06-26 01:21:04	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5eedab…
06-26 01:20:41	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x25cab6…
06-26 01:20:35	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2b9e50…
06-21 01:20:07	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b0f0…
06-20 03:02:10	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb9ce49…
06-18 13:10:11	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0xff5138…
06-10 02:40:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0xb44a78…
05-29 15:04:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xb9bc6f…
05-29 15:04:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9f0864…
05-29 15:01:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xce260a…
05-29 15:00:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe24ea1…
05-29 14:58:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x82b259…
05-29 14:58:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x49209f…
05-29 14:55:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xeab23a…
05-29 14:53:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe60b68…
05-29 14:53:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4e4df7…
05-29 14:53:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x428fd9…
05-29 14:51:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x89a388…
05-29 14:50:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xdaf5e9…
05-29 14:50:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9d9a8c…
05-29 14:48:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xca5a13…
05-29 14:47:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x5dd2bc…
05-29 14:47:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3c4723…
05-28 17:34:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x178277…
05-22 05:44:16	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8c6350…
05-16 01:15:22	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb9f808…
05-13 15:25:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0xb0e91d…
05-13 15:22:41	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4d4324…
05-13 15:22:26	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x976625…
05-13 11:01:37	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,668	100¢	$5,639	0xc16957…
05-13 10:54:35	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x4002e9…
05-13 10:33:06	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xce84e4…
05-13 10:33:04	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	99¢	$306	0xc1dd2b…
05-13 10:33:04	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	100¢	$336	0x0d585e…
05-13 10:24:29	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x94ba10…
05-13 10:24:26	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$597	0xdcc93f…
05-13 10:24:10	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x8c4fa7…
05-13 10:23:56	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xa78e8a…
05-13 10:23:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x1a97a5…
05-13 09:21:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xe1738f…
05-13 09:20:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,391	94¢	$1,304	0x584e36…
05-13 09:20:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0xe1509d…
05-13 09:20:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3,363	94¢	$3,161	0xbd32d6…
05-13 09:20:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	381	94¢	$359	0x4a667a…
05-13 09:19:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x272b61…
05-13 09:16:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x8e1241…
05-13 09:16:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	264	95¢	$250	0x53c969…
05-13 09:10:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f1665…
05-13 09:10:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x8781e6…
05-13 09:10:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$50	0x4b56b2…
05-13 09:10:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	292	94¢	$276	0xc05ed0…
05-13 09:09:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,775	95¢	$1,693	0x11286f…
05-13 09:08:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd2f076…
05-13 09:08:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa9feed…
05-13 09:07:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9e748b…
05-13 09:07:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	677	95¢	$646	0xe3d74b…
05-13 09:07:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	823	95¢	$785	0xaf4d4d…
05-13 09:07:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	800	95¢	$763	0x85d6dc…
05-13 09:06:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	438	95¢	$418	0x584957…
05-13 09:06:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xa8d631…
05-13 09:06:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	217	95¢	$207	0x55cd78…
05-13 09:06:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xf572dd…
05-13 09:04:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	494	96¢	$472	0xf96cbc…
05-13 09:04:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	106	96¢	$101	0xcfa5ee…
05-10 09:36:15	Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc5bc45…
05-10 02:44:08	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4f5fc5…
05-10 00:36:54	Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4b8eb6…
05-09 11:06:20	Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x14643e…
05-09 09:57:34	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e5ce5…
05-09 03:36:47	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf8a7c1…
05-09 02:56:01	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x903c22…
05-09 02:46:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xe46498…